Match Overview
| Match Details |
Information |
| Competition |
Premier League |
| Matchday |
24 |
| Date |
Sunday 1 February 2026 |
| Kick-off Time |
16:30 |
| Venue |
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium |
| Broadcast |
Sky Sports Main Event |
Key Predictions & Confidence Score
| Market |
Prediction |
Confidence |
| Full-Time Result |
Man City to Win |
★★★★☆ |
| Correct Score |
1-3 Man City |
★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score |
Yes |
★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals |
Over |
★★★★☆ |
Top Betting Tips & Value Analysis
1. Value Bet: Man City to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 9/5 with Betfred
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: City come into this fixture with the league’s best attacking record, having scored 47 goals in 23 matches—averaging more than two per game. Their 59.5% average possession reflects their attacking intent, and they boast an impressive pass completion rate of 88.2%. The Cityzens have also won 10 of the last 22 meetings between the sides, including a 4-0 demolition away at Spurs last season. With Erling Haaland in clinical form (20 goals from just 11.47 xG), and Tottenham conceding in 8 of their last 10 home league games, the value lies in backing City to win in a high-scoring contest.
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2. Player Prop Bet: Erling Haaland to Score Anytime
Odds: 4/5 with SkyBet
Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: Haaland leads the scoring charts with 20 goals from 22 starts, converting 44.2% of his shots on target. His expected goals tally (11.47) shows he’s scoring at a rate far above the quality of chances he’s getting—a mark of truly elite finishing. Spurs’ defence has shipped 31 goals this season, and with City’s creative force (35 assists, led by Mathis Rayan Cherki’s 7), Haaland should get chances here. The Norwegian has scored in each of his last three starts against Tottenham.
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In-Depth Match Analysis
Recent Form and Performance
Tottenham have struggled for consistency, winning just 7 of their 23 league fixtures and sitting 14th in the table. Their last outing saw them defeat Burnley 2-0, but that followed a run of just one win in six. Spurs average 1.4 goals per game (33 in 23) but have found clean sheets hard to come by, keeping only 7 so far this season.
Man City, by contrast, are in fine fettle – second in the league, 46 points from 23 games, and a massive +26 goal difference. Guardiola’s men have won 14 matches and conceded just 21 goals (0.91 per game), with their possession-based style suffocating opponents. Their last five away trips in the league have yielded four wins, including a 2-0 win at this ground in August.
Tactical Breakdown
Thomas Frank typically sets Spurs up in a 4-2-3-1, with a focus on transitions and utilising pace on the flanks. However, their possession average of 52.1% suggests they are comfortable on the ball, though not dominant. Defensive frailties persist, as seen in their higher save count (59) and goals conceded.
Guardiola’s Cityzens continue to employ a possession-heavy 4-3-3, with full-backs often inverting and a midfield three rotating between controlling possession and breaking lines. With 59.5% possession per game and the league’s highest pass accuracy, City will look to control the tempo and suffocate Spurs’ attempts to counter-attack. Expect Cherki to drift between the lines and Haaland to spearhead the attack, targeting Tottenham’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Player Matchups
- Richarlison vs. City Defence: The Brazilian leads Spurs’ line and will hope to exploit any rare gaps left by City’s back four. However, with City conceding only 21 goals and 10 clean sheets, he faces a stern challenge.
- Mathys Tel vs. Matheus Nunes: Tel’s pace will test City’s right-back, but Nunes’ athleticism should be enough to keep him in check.
Head-to-Head Record & Statistical Analysis
| Statistic |
Tottenham |
Man City |
| League Position |
14th |
2nd |
| Goals Scored |
33 |
47 |
| Goals Conceded |
31 |
21 |
Last 5 Meetings
| Date |
Result |
Competition |
| 23 Aug 2025 |
Tottenham 0-2 Man City |
Premier League |
| 26 Feb 2025 |
Man City 0-1 Tottenham |
Premier League |
| 23 Nov 2024 |
Tottenham 0-4 Man City |
Premier League |
| 30 Oct 2024 |
Man City 2-1 Tottenham |
League Cup |
| 14 May 2024 |
Man City 0-2 Tottenham |
Premier League |
Across their last 22 meetings in all competitions, City have won 10 and Spurs 9, with three draws. However, City have taken three of the last four, including a 4-0 win at this venue last season.
Player Spotlight: Erling Haaland
Haaland is the division’s most feared forward, with 20 league goals in just 22 starts. He’s operating at an astonishing efficiency—scoring from 44.2% of his shots on target, and his total goals dramatically outpace his xG (11.47). Haaland’s movement, strength, and link-up with creators like Cherki make him the focal point of City’s attack. Spurs’ defensive record suggests he’ll get chances, and his recent record against them is strong. Expect him to be at the centre of any major attacking moments for the visitors.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Tottenham vs. Man City match?
A: Based on current form, squad quality, and statistical dominance, Man City are the clear favourites to claim all three points in North London.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The most appealing selections are City to win & Over 2.5 Goals, and Haaland to score anytime.
Q: Where can I watch the Tottenham vs. Man City match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Main Event.
Conclusion & Key Takeaways
Man City’s superior attacking record, defensive solidity, and historic edge in this fixture make them deserved favourites. Spurs have struggled for consistency and are unlikely to keep the visitors at bay for 90 minutes. Haaland’s form and City’s creative output point to a high-scoring away win. The best value lies in combining a City win with over 2.5 goals, and in backing Haaland to add to his tally. As always, consider the odds and gamble responsibly.
Disclaimer & Responsible Gambling
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