Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds
Liverpool and Arsenal arrive with a clear contrast in their early-season records. Our Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction assesses their position in the Premier League predictions: Liverpool are 4th on 15 points and Arsenal 2nd on 21.
Arsenal are the selection on Arsenal’s 14 big chances to Liverpool’s 6, Arsenal’s 12.39 xG to Liverpool’s 11.15, Arsenal conceding 5 to Liverpool’s 8.
The case against is real: Liverpool are at home, Arsenal’s 35 shots on target to Liverpool’s 39. The lead call is Arsenal to win, with 1-2 describing the same likely match shape. The choice is not a claim that the selected side lead every measure; it is a judgment about which advantages matter most in this fixture.
Liverpool vs Arsenal Predictions
| Market | Selection | William Hill | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Arsenal to win | 13/10 | 3 stars |
| Correct score | 1-2 | 15/2 | 3 stars |
Arsenal’s 14 big chances to Liverpool’s 6, Arsenal’s 12.39 xG to Liverpool’s 11.15, Arsenal conceding 5 to Liverpool’s 8 That supports the main result, while 1-2 is the more precise version of the same read.
Team News
Liverpool: Hugo Ekitiké, Giovanni Leoni, Conor Bradley and Jeremie Frimpong are ruled out. Dominik Szoboszlai is rated 50%.
Arsenal: Bukayo Saka, William Saliba, Christos Tzolis and Max Dowman are ruled out, with Dowman suspended. Riccardo Calafiori, Declan Rice and Noni Madueke are all rated 50%.
Head-to-Head
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 8 January 2026 | Arsenal 0-0 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 31 August 2025 | Liverpool 1-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| 11 May 2025 | Liverpool 2-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
| 27 October 2024 | Arsenal 2-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 4 February 2024 | Arsenal 3-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 7 January 2024 | Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool | FA Cup |
| 23 December 2023 | Liverpool 1-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| 9 April 2023 | Liverpool 2-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
Liverpool have won 2 of these eight, Arsenal have won 1 and 5 were drawn. Those matches produced 21 goals at 2.62 a game, both teams scored in 5 and 4 went over 2.5. That is context for the goals markets rather than the main case for the result.
Where the Game Will Be Decided
Liverpool have created 6 big chances and 39 shots on target, with 11.15 xG. Arsenal have created 14 big chances and 35 shots on target, with 12.39 xG.
Liverpool most recently drew with Chelsea 1-1 at home in the League Cup; beat Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 at home in the Premier League. Arsenal most recently drew with Fleetwood Town 1-1 away in the League Cup; beat Everton 2-0 at home in the Premier League. Competition labels matter here: a cup or European result is not presented as league form.
The crucial issue is whether the selected side’s advantages can outweigh the figures that point the other way. That keeps the conclusion tied to the actual balance of evidence, rather than simply listing every stat as though it supports the same team. Liverpool need to make their better spells count; Arsenal will be dangerous if the game turns toward the areas where their figures are stronger. Both sides need to be decisive when the clearest opening arrives, rather than simply accumulating possession without a decisive final action.
Liverpool vs Arsenal Odds
| Market | Selection | William Hill | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Arsenal to win | 13/10 | 43.5% |
| Both Teams To Score | Yes | 8/13 | 61.9% |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 5/6 | 54.5% |
| Result & BTTS | Arsenal & Yes | 7/2 | 22.2% |
The William Hill prices imply 43.5% for the main result, 61.9% for both teams to score and 54.5% for over 2.5 goals. That is a market view of the likely shape of the game, not proof that every part of the statistical case points the same way.
Betting Tips
Arsenal to win is the selection, on Arsenal’s 12.39 xG to Liverpool’s 11.15, Arsenal conceding 5 to Liverpool’s 8 and Arsenal’s 14 big chances to Liverpool’s 6. The counter-evidence is real: Liverpool are at home, Arsenal’s 35 shots on target to Liverpool’s 39.
Both Teams To Score is the supporting goals angle because the selected scoreline needs both attacks to contribute. It complements the result call rather than replacing it; our football tips this weekend cover the wider card.
Where the Value Is
The market gives Arsenal to win an implied probability of 43.5%. The price is therefore asking the selection to win more often than not, while the counter-case remains part of the assessment.
Arsenal & Yes is the higher-priced combination, while Over 2.5 Goals is the simpler alternative. The goals bets suit a match in which both sides have a credible route to the net.
Prediction
Arsenal to win is preferred, but only on the elements that genuinely favour it. The opposing evidence is acknowledged rather than repurposed as a reason for the pick.
Predicted score: 1-2.
Liverpool vs Arsenal: Your Questions Answered
When is Liverpool vs Arsenal?
The match is on 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 GMT.
Where is the match being played?
It takes place at Anfield.
What is the main prediction?
Arsenal To Win is the lead call.
What is the correct-score prediction?
The scoreline pick is 1-2.
When are the lineups confirmed?
The confirmed teams are announced before kick-off. Team News covers the relevant absences and doubts.
More from FootballTips: Read our Bet of the Day, acca tips and other match previews.
