Newcastle United vs Everton Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds
Newcastle United and Everton arrive with a clear contrast in their early-season records. Our Newcastle United vs Everton Prediction assesses their position in the Premier League predictions: Newcastle United are 8th on 11 points and Everton 11th on 10.
The teams are separated by 1 points, with neither holding a decisive all-round edge.
Newcastle United have home advantage, while Everton have their own route through the game. The lead call is the draw, with 1-1 describing the same likely match shape. The choice is not a claim that the selected side lead every measure; it is a judgment about which advantages matter most in this fixture.
Newcastle United vs Everton Predictions
These sides are a single point apart, but the underlying numbers favour Everton, who lead on big chances, shots on target and expected goals. That supports the main result, while 1-1 is the more precise version of the same read.
Team News
Newcastle United: Valentino Livramento is ruled out. Matías Fernández-Pardo is rated 50%, Lewis Miley and William Osula 25%.
Everton: Jack Grealish is ruled out. Jarrad Branthwaite is rated 50% after concussion assessment.
Head-to-Head
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 29 October 2026 | Everton 3-1 Newcastle United | League Cup |
| 28 February 2026 | Newcastle United 2-3 Everton | Premier League |
| 29 November 2025 | Everton 1-4 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 25 May 2025 | Newcastle United 0-1 Everton | Premier League |
| 5 October 2024 | Everton 0-0 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 2 April 2024 | Newcastle United 1-1 Everton | Premier League |
| 7 December 2023 | Everton 3-0 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| 27 April 2023 | Everton 1-4 Newcastle United | Premier League |
Newcastle United have won 2 of these eight, Everton have won 4 and 2 were drawn. Those matches produced 25 goals at 3.12 a game, both teams scored in 5 and 5 went over 2.5. That is context for the goals markets rather than the main case for the result.
Where the Game Will Be Decided
Newcastle United have created 13 big chances and 27 shots on target, with 8.59 xG. Everton have created 20 big chances and 38 shots on target, with 9.58 xG.
Newcastle United most recently lost to Everton 1-3 away in the League Cup; beat Crystal Palace 2-0 away in the Premier League. Everton most recently beat Newcastle United 3-1 at home in the League Cup; lost to Arsenal 0-2 away in the Premier League. Competition labels matter here: a cup or European result is not presented as league form.
The crucial issue is whether the selected side’s advantages can outweigh the figures that point the other way. That keeps the conclusion tied to the actual balance of evidence, rather than simply listing every stat as though it supports the same team. Newcastle United need to make their better spells count; Everton will be dangerous if the game turns toward the areas where their figures are stronger. Both sides need to be decisive when the clearest opening arrives, rather than simply accumulating possession without a decisive final action.
Newcastle United vs Everton Odds
| Market | Selection | William Hill | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | The Draw | 5/2 | 28.6% |
| Both Teams To Score | Yes | 4/7 | 63.6% |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 4/6 | 60.0% |
| Result & BTTS | Draw & Yes | 10/3 | 23.1% |
The William Hill prices imply 28.6% for the main result, 63.6% for both teams to score and 60.0% for over 2.5 goals. That is a market view of the likely shape of the game, not proof that every part of the statistical case points the same way.
Betting Tips
The Draw is the selection, on a table gap of a single point. The underlying numbers do not split evenly, though: Everton lead on big chances, shots on target and expected goals. Newcastle United’s home advantage is what balances the call.
Both Teams To Score is the supporting goals angle because the selected scoreline needs both attacks to contribute. It complements the result call rather than replacing it; our football tips this weekend cover the wider card.
Where the Value Is
The market gives the draw an implied probability of 28.6%. The price is therefore asking the selection to win more often than not, while the counter-case remains part of the assessment.
Draw & Yes is the higher-priced combination, while Over 2.5 Goals is the simpler alternative. The goals bets suit a match in which both sides have a credible route to the net.
Prediction
The Draw is preferred, but only on the elements that genuinely favour it. The opposing evidence is acknowledged rather than repurposed as a reason for the pick.
Predicted score: 1-1.
Newcastle United vs Everton: Your Questions Answered
When is Newcastle United vs Everton?
The match is on 2 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 GMT.
Where is the match being played?
It takes place at St. James' Park.
What is the main prediction?
The Draw is the lead call.
What is the correct-score prediction?
The scoreline pick is 1-1.
When are the lineups confirmed?
The confirmed teams are announced before kick-off. Team News covers the relevant absences and doubts.
More from FootballTips: Read our Bet of the Day, acca tips and other match previews.
