Leeds United welcome Nottingham Forest to Elland Road on Friday 6th February 2026 in a high-stakes Premier League clash, with both sides eager to build momentum as the season enters a crucial phase. Leeds will look to harness their intense home atmosphere and high-tempo style to put pressure on the visitors, while Nottingham Forest arrive aiming to stay compact and exploit opportunities on the counter. Kick-off is at 20:00 GMT, with a competitive and hard-fought encounter expected under the lights at Elland Road.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Matchday | 25 |
| Date | Friday 6 February 2026 |
| Kick-off Time | 20:00 |
| Venue | Elland Road |
| Broadcast | Sky Sports Main Event |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Draw | ★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★☆☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★☆☆☆ |
Odds: 12/5 with 10Bet
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Both sides are level on points (26) and almost identical in goal difference (-11), with the last 10 meetings between these clubs featuring three draws. Leeds and The Tricky Trees have struggled for consistent form, as reflected in their league positions (16th and 17th respectively). Recent head-to-head history also points to a closely contested fixture, while neither attack boasts elite firepower. The Whites have drawn eight times in 24 league games, highlighting the frequency of stalemates. With both mid-table, a cagey contest with shared spoils represents strong value at the current price.
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Odds: 4/1 with Sky Bet
Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: Morgan Gibbs-White is Nottingham Forest’s main creative and attacking outlet, often operating between the lines and arriving late into the box. He averages over two shots per game and is central to Forest’s chance creation, whether from open play or set pieces. Leeds’ high-pressing style can leave space in behind, particularly when games open up at Elland Road, which suits Gibbs-White’s ability to exploit gaps and carry the ball into dangerous areas. With Forest likely to rely on moments of quality on the counter, their talisman looks a strong anytime scorer option at a generous price.
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Leeds enter this clash sitting 16th, with six wins, eight draws, and ten defeats from 24 matches. They have found the net 31 times, but their conversion rate is concerning, missing 34 big chances from 38 created. The Whites have struggled to turn promising passages of play into goals, reflected in an expected goals (xG) of 35.4 but only 31 actual goals. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding 42 times (1.75 per game).
The Tricky Trees are a place below in 17th but only on goal difference and have seven wins, five draws, and twelve losses from 24 games. Their attack has been more efficient, scoring 24 goals from 27 big chances, missing only 20. Forest’s shot accuracy is higher than Leeds (38.2% vs 33.7%), but they too concede frequently, letting in 35 goals so far. Both teams are struggling at the wrong end of the table, and their recent results suggest little to separate them.
Daniel Farke’s Leeds typically look to play on the front foot, with aggressive pressing and quick transitions. However, their profligacy in front of goal and a leaky defence have cost them points. Expect Leeds to line up with a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3, focusing on getting their wingers and full-backs forward, but they may leave space in behind.
Sean Dyche’s Forest are more pragmatic, often setting up in a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1. The Tricky Trees have shown they can be more clinical when chances arise, but they do not dominate possession (48.0% average) or carve out as many opportunities as their hosts. Dyche will likely set up his side to frustrate Leeds, soak up pressure, and exploit any defensive lapses on the counter.
| Statistic | Leeds | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 16th | 17th |
| Goals Scored | 31 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 42 | 35 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov 2025 | Nottingham Forest 3–1 Leeds | Premier League |
| 04 Apr 2023 | Leeds 2–1 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 05 Feb 2023 | Nottingham Forest 1–0 Leeds | Premier League |
| 08 Feb 2020 | Nottingham Forest 2–0 Leeds | Championship |
| 10 Aug 2019 | Leeds 1–1 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
Gnonto has emerged as one of the most dynamic attacking outlets for The Whites. Operating primarily from the left, his direct running, pace, and willingness to take on defenders have provided Leeds with much-needed width and unpredictability. Gnonto’s recent performances have seen him regularly create chances, and while his finishing has not been prolific, his ability to drive into dangerous areas is crucial for Farke’s side. With Leeds lacking a standout goalscorer, Gnonto’s creativity and energy could be the difference-maker in a tight encounter. Watch for his duels with Forest’s right-back, as breaking the defensive line could unlock Forest’s compact setup.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Leeds vs. Nottingham Forest match?
A: With both sides level on points and almost identical records, the market reflects a very even contest. Leeds are marginal favourites at home, but a draw is also strongly fancied given their respective forms.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The top selections for this match are the Draw in the Full-Time Result market, 1-1 Correct Score, and Both Teams to Score – Yes. Each offers strong value based on the clubs’ attacking and defensive metrics.
Q: Where can I watch the Leeds vs. Nottingham Forest match?
A: The match is scheduled to be shown live on Sky Sports Main Event. Please check local listings for confirmation of date and time.
This clash between Leeds and Nottingham Forest is a classic relegation six-pointer, with both sides desperate to pull clear of danger. Though The Whites create more opportunities, their wastefulness in front of goal has cost them, while the Tricky Trees are more clinical but less creative. Both teams are defensively suspect, which supports the value in Both Teams to Score. With history and form pointing to little between these outfits, the draw stands out as an excellent value bet. Backing a 1-1 correct score at longer odds also makes sense in a game where neither side is expected to dominate.
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