Alaves and Celta Vigo meet in a La Liga tie on Saturday 22nd November 2025 at 13:00 GMT. Find predictions, stats, and betting tips for the La Liga fixture below in this comprehensive match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Matchday | 13 |
| Date | Saturday 22 November 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 13:00 GMT |
| Venue | Mendizorrotza Stadium |
| Broadcast | LaLigaTV, Premier Sports |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Draw | ★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★★★☆ |
Analysis: This fixture brings together two sides with similar profiles: both average over 51% possession and are closely matched in shot output (Alaves: 142 shots, Celta: 139). Celta have drawn over half of their matches this season (7 out of 12), and Alaves are not far behind with 3 draws. Their last head-to-head, in January 2025, also ended level (1-1). Both struggle to convert dominance into wins and have shared points regularly. The price of 21/10 offers compelling value in a match where neither side has a clear advantage and history suggests a stalemate is likely.
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Odds: 9/1 with Unibet
Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: In a fixture where goals are often spread around, punting on an emerging goalscorer offers value. Diego Morcillo is amongst the most advanced attackers for Alavés and has featured in their last few line-ups. As neither team boasts a top-five league scorer, the market is open for a less heralded player to break the deadlock. At 9/1, Morcillo is attractively priced to net the opener, especially against a Celta side that has yet to keep a clean sheet in the league this season (18 goals conceded in 12 matches).
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Both teams are mid-table, with Celta marginally less secure at the back but slightly more productive in attack.
| Statistic | Alaves | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 10th | 13th |
| Goals Scored | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 11 | 18 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 13.43 | 12.79 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 10.3 | 17.2 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2025 | Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 16 Aug 2024 | Alaves 1-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Alaves 3-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 28 Sep 2023 | Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| 7 May 2022 | Alaves 0-4 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
Iago Aspas remains the linchpin for Celta Vigo. While he has not featured among the league’s top five scorers this season, his influence is obvious: he is at the centre of Celta’s attacking moves, providing assists, drawing fouls, and linking play. Aspas’s technical quality is underlined by Celta’s 86.3% pass accuracy – one of the league’s highest. He combines well with the likes of Ferran Jutglà and Borja Iglesias, often dropping deep to receive the ball and drawing defenders out of position. Expect Aspas to play a key role in unlocking a disciplined Alavés defence, particularly via set pieces and late runs into the box.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Alaves vs. Celta Vigo match?
A: The match is extremely close to call, with no clear favourite. Bookmakers rate Alavés marginally shorter, but the draw is a strong contender given both teams’ profiles and recent head-to-head results.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: For the draw you can get 21/10. Diego Morcillo to score first is available at 9/1. Under 2.5 goals is 8/13 with Bet365, but for value, we focus on selections of 1/1 or longer.
Q: Where can I watch the Alaves vs. Celta Vigo match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on LaLigaTV and Premier Sports in the UK.
This La Liga match-up is finely balanced. Both Alaves and Celta Vigo have technical quality and solid possession stats, but struggle to turn control into wins. With a history of close contests and both sides drawing regularly, the draw at 21/10 is the standout value. Diego Morcillo is an intriguing shout as first goalscorer at 9/1, considering Celta’s vulnerability at the back. Expect a tactical, hard-fought contest that could hinge on set pieces and individual moments of quality, especially from the likes of Iago Aspas.
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