Valencia vs Levante Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview
Valencia and Levante meet in a La Liga tie on Friday 21st November 2025 at 20:00 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for this La Liga fixture below in this expert match preview.
Fixture Details
- Home Team: Valencia
- Away Team: Levante
- Competition: La Liga
- Matchday: 13
- Date: Friday 21 November 2025
- Kick-off Time: 20:00 GMT
- Venue: Mestalla, Valencia
Match Overview
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Matchday | 13 |
| Date | Friday 21 November 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 20:00 GMT |
| Venue | Mestalla, Valencia |
| Broadcast | LaLigaTV, Premier Sports (UK) |
Key Predictions & Confidence Score
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Draw | ★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ |
Top Betting Tips & Value Analysis
1. Value Bet: Draw (Full-Time Result)
- Odds: 13/5 with SpreadEx
- Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Both sides have struggled for wins this season – Valencia with 2 wins in 12 matches (17% win rate), and Levante with the same. Their last 10 head-to-head encounters have produced 4 draws, including 2 of the last 5 meetings. Both have negative goal differences and are just a point apart in the table, reflecting evenly matched weaknesses. Valencia’s home advantage is offset by their low scoring (11 in 12) and Levante’s ability to create big chances (23 so far). With neither team inspiring full confidence and a history of stalemates, the draw at generous odds is a value play.
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2. Player Prop Bet: Hugo Duro to Score Anytime
- Odds: 9/5 with Betway
Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: With no Valencia or Levante player featuring among La Liga’s top scorers, finding a match-winner is tough. However, Hugo Duro has featured regularly in attack for Valencia and is involved in a side that has created 17 big chances from midfield and wide areas. Levante have conceded 23 goals this season (almost 2 per game) and allow a high number of shots on target (their opponents have a 50% shot accuracy rate). This increases the appeal of Valencia’s leading forward to find the net, especially with Levante’s defensive vulnerabilities on the road.
In-Depth Match Analysis
Recent Form and Performance
Both Valencia and Levante come into this fixture languishing near the foot of the table. Valencia are 17th (10 points, -10 goal difference) with just 2 wins, while Levante are 19th (9 points, -7 goal difference) with an identical win record but slightly worse defensive numbers. Valencia have scored 11 and conceded 21 (1.75 conceded per match), Levante have scored more (16) but let in 23 (almost 2 per game). In their last 6 matches, neither side has managed more than one win, with draws and narrow defeats characterising their campaigns.
Historically, Valencia have the edge at home, but recent results – including four draws in the last ten meetings – point to a finely balanced contest. Notably, both teams have failed to turn possession into goals: Valencia average 46.4% possession with 81.3% pass accuracy, but this has only yielded 11 goals. Levante play with less of the ball (38.8% possession, 77.5% pass accuracy), but are more direct, with a 50% shot accuracy. Levante’s overperformance compared to their xG (16 goals from 13.91 xG) demonstrates clinical finishing, while Valencia’s output mirrors their expected numbers (11 from 11.92 xG).
Tactical Breakdown
Valencia, under Carlos Corberán, favour a compact, possession-based approach, aiming to control the game through midfield and stretch play with overlapping full-backs. However, their lack of cutting edge in the final third has been a recurring issue, highlighted by their modest tally of big chances (17) and only 3 goals from strikers. Expect them to set up in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3, looking to dominate territory but potentially struggling to create clear-cut opportunities.
Levante, coached by Julián Calero, are more direct and counter-attacking. They are content to cede possession, breaking quickly through the flanks and relying on their strikers—responsible for 9 of their 16 league goals. Their transition play is supported by a higher shot volume and efficiency: 126 shots (43 on target, 50% accuracy) and 23 big chances created. Expect Levante to sit deep, absorb pressure, and look to exploit Valencia’s defensive gaps on the counter.
Key Player Matchups
- Hugo Duro vs. Manu Sánchez: Valencia’s main goal threat, Duro, will likely face Levante’s left-back Manu Sánchez. Duro’s movement will be crucial against a defence that has allowed 23 goals this season. If Sánchez can contain him, Levante’s chances of a clean sheet improve significantly.
- Javi Guerra vs. Oriol Rey: The midfield battle between Valencia’s energetic Guerra and Levante’s holding player Rey could dictate the game’s tempo. Guerra’s ability to break lines will be tested by Rey’s positional discipline.
Head-to-Head Record & Statistical Analysis
| Statistic | Valencia | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 17th | 19th |
| Goals Scored | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 21 | 23 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 11.92 | 13.91 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 18.4 | 20.5 |
Last 5 Results
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 30 April 2022 | Valencia 1-1 Levante | LaLiga |
| 20 December 2021 | Levante 3-4 Valencia | LaLiga |
| 12 March 2021 | Levante 1-0 Valencia | LaLiga |
| 13 September 2020 | Valencia 4-2 Levante | LaLiga |
| 12 June 2020 | Valencia 1-1 Levante | LaLiga |
Player Spotlight: Hugo Duro
One of Valencia’s most influential figures in attack, Hugo Duro, is expected to play a central role. Although Valencia’s strikers have only scored 3 goals this season, Duro’s off-ball movement and work rate create space for the midfielders – responsible for 5 goals. He remains a focal point for Valencia’s attacks, often dropping deep to link play, and is a consistent threat inside the box.
Duro’s ability to exploit Levante’s leaky defence (23 goals conceded) makes him a top candidate for an anytime goalscorer bet. He is also involved in a high number of Valencia’s big chances (17 created), and with Levante’s tendency to allow shots on target, Duro’s influence in this match could be decisive.
Team News
Valencia
- Injuries: Filip Ugrinic.
- Suspensions: None.
- Ineligible: None.
Levante
- Injuries: Pablo Martínez.
- Suspensions: None.
- Ineligible: None.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Valencia vs. Levante match?
A: With both teams struggling for form and just a point separating them in the table, the match is finely balanced. Bookmakers price the draw as a real possibility, and recent head-to-heads support this view.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The best odds for a draw are 13/5. For Hugo Duro to score anytime at 9/5. Both teams to score is also attractively priced given the sides’ defensive records.
Q: Where can I watch the Valencia vs. Levante match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on LaLigaTV and Premier Sports in the UK.
Conclusion & Key Takeaways
Valencia and Levante are both in need of points and have shown vulnerabilities in defence throughout the season. While Levante possess a more potent attack (16 goals) and higher shot accuracy, Valencia’s home advantage and balanced (if unspectacular) possession game keep them competitive. The draw presents value given the teams’ similar profiles, and Hugo Duro is well positioned to exploit Levante’s defensive frailties. As always, consider all angles and bet responsibly.
Disclaimer & Responsible Gambling
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