Sunderland vs Newcastle Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

Joe Vaughan 03 Mar 2026
  • Few would have predicted Sunderland to be occupying a higher place in the Premier League table ahead of the first Tyne/Wear derby of the campaign, but Régis Le Bris’ men are continuing to prove the doubters wrong.

    Newcastle appear to have recently turned a corner following a stuttering start to the season, but are still one point behind their fierce rivals. 

    We’ve analysed the stats ahead of Sunday’s titanic battle at the Stadium of Light, enabling us to provide you with some reliable betting advice.

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Sunderland vs Newcastle Predictions

  • Full Time Result: Draw
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • Both Teams To Score: Yes
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under
  • First Goalscorer: Chemsdine Talbi

Sunderland vs Newcastle Tips

Our Tip Methodology

At FootballTips, every prediction is shaped by a mix of data-driven analysis and informed football insight. Our contributors consider a wide range of factors before recommending a bet – from recent form and head-to-head records to tactical matchups, team news, and underlying stats.

We look for patterns in goal trends, home and away splits, player performance, and betting market movement to identify where the value lies. We don’t just tip favourites – we aim to find selections that offer a genuine edge. Whether it’s a goalscorer angle, a BTTS trend, or a high-priced underdog, each tip is backed by research and reasoning to help you bet smarter.

Why We’re Backing Draw & Under 2.5 Goals @ 11/2 with Betfred

  • Only four Premier League teams have found the net on fewer occasions than Sunderland, with the Black Cats currently sitting on 18 goals.  
  • The Wearsiders are yet to lose on home turf this term, having registered four wins and three draws across their seven fixtures at the Stadium of Light. 
  • Ahead of last month’s 4-1 hammering of Everton at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, Newcastle had only scored three away goals. 
  • Newcastle have already recorded four draws this season, with only one of these stalemates coming at St. James Park.

Why We’re Backing Bruno Guimaraes to Score or Assist @ 3/1 with Bet365

  • Having registered six direct goal involvements in his last nine Premier League appearances, Bruno Guimarães is currently in a rich vein of form.
  • The Brazilian international netted Newcastle’s opener in the recent draw with Spurs, before repeating the feat during the first half of last Saturday’s 2-1 victory over Burnley. 
  • In addition to registering three assists in the English top-flight this season, the tenacious midfielder set up two goals against Bradford as the Magpies commenced their EFL Cup defence.
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Sunderland Form/Stats

  • After a blistering start, Sunderland have only managed one win in their last six Premier League encounters.
  • Two of three draws in this recent sequence of results have produced fewer than three goals.

Newcastle United Form/Stats

  • Newcastle have accumulated 10 points from their last four league outings.
  • The Magpies have not kept a clean sheet in their last seven games in all competitions.

Player to Watch

Granit Xhaka has delivered a series of exceptional performances for Sunderland this season, as he continues to influence and inspire in his capacity as club captain.

This Swiss midfielder has leveraged his enviable mixture of physical and technical attributes in order to contribute in both attacking and defensive thirds. He’s claimed four assists, won 80 duels, created 18 significant chances, and completed more passes than any other Sunderland player. 

Xhaka has started and finished all but one of Sunderland’s 15 Premier League matches, only being withdrawn in the 72nd minute of last weekend’s 3-0 defeat to Manchester City.

Sunderland vs Newcastle Head-to-Head Record 

  • Newcastle and Sunderland haven’t met in a league fixture since March 2016, when the North-East giants played out a 1-1 draw at St. James Park. Jermain Defoe broke the deadlock on that occasion, before Aleksandar Mitrović netted a dramatic late equaliser to rescue a point for the hosts. 
  • Before losing 3-0 to Newcastle in last year’s FA Cup clash, Sunderland avoided defeat in each of the previous nine meetings with their local adversaries (won six, drew three).
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