Sunderland vs Leeds United Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds
Sunderland and Leeds United meet with their league positions pointing in different directions. Our sunderland vs leeds united prediction starts with Sunderland in 20th on 4 points and Leeds United in 7th on 10.
Leeds United have created 9 big chances and put 28 shots on target across seven league games, while conceding 6. That balance is stronger than Sunderland’s 18 big chances, 28 shots on target and 14 conceded.
Sunderland are at home and Leeds United have their own route through the game, so the straight result is preferred over a wider-margin call. The recommendation is Leeds United to win, with the scoreline read kept consistent with that view.
The table is only the starting point. This preview weighs the chance creation, defensive record and recent results behind those positions before settling on a selection, then tests whether home advantage or the visitors’ recent performances can genuinely alter that balance.
Sunderland vs Leeds United Predictions
| Market | Selection | William Hill | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Leeds United to win | 7/5 | 3 stars |
| Correct score | 1-2 | 8/1 | 3 stars |
Leeds United have created 9 big chances and put 28 shots on target across seven league games, while conceding 6. That balance is stronger than Sunderland’s 18 big chances, 28 shots on target and 14 conceded. That is why the match-result selection takes priority, while 1-2 expresses the same likely match shape.
Team News
Sunderland: Romaine Mundle and Habib Diarra are unavailable. Reinildo is suspended.
Leeds United: Joe Rodon and Harry Wilson are unavailable, while Mateo Joseph remains out with a knee injury.
Head-to-Head
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 3 March 2026 | Leeds United 0-1 Sunderland | Premier League |
| 28 December 2025 | Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United | Premier League |
| 17 February 2025 | Leeds United 2-1 Sunderland | Championship |
| 4 October 2024 | Sunderland 2-2 Leeds United | Championship |
| 9 April 2024 | Leeds United 0-0 Sunderland | Championship |
| 12 December 2023 | Sunderland 1-0 Leeds United | Championship |
| 7 April 2018 | Leeds United 1-1 Sunderland | Championship |
| 19 August 2017 | Sunderland 0-2 Leeds United | Championship |
Sunderland have won 2 of these eight, Leeds United have won 2 and 4 were drawn. The games produced 15 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 and over 2.5 goals landing in 2. The sample includes more than one division.
Where the Game Will Be Decided
Sunderland have scored 6 league goals and conceded 14; Leeds United have scored 9 and conceded 6. The more useful split is chance quality: Sunderland have created 18 big chances and recorded 28 shots on target, against Leeds United’s 9 and 28.
Sunderland most recently drew with Lech Poznań 1-1 away; lost to Bournemouth 0-2 away. Leeds United most recently drew with Manchester United 1-1 at home; lost to Arsenal 1-2 away. That form, rather than a raw goals total, explains why this match can turn on who converts the clearer openings.
Sunderland vs Leeds United Odds
| Market | Selection | William Hill | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Leeds United to win | 7/5 | 41.7% |
| Both Teams To Score | Yes | 4/5 | 55.6% |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 11/10 | 47.6% |
| Match result & BTTS | Leeds United & Yes | 4/1 | 20.0% |
The William Hill board makes the game’s balance clear. The main selection is a cleaner route than the combination market.
Betting Tips
Leeds United to win is the lead selection. Leeds United have created 9 big chances and put 28 shots on target across seven league games, while conceding 6. That balance is stronger than Sunderland’s 18 big chances, 28 shots on target and 14 conceded. The counterpoint is that sunderland are at home and leeds united have their own route through the game, so the straight result is preferred over a wider-margin call..
The supplementary goals angle is Both Teams To Score, which fits the projected score without asking for a different match narrative.
Where the Value Is
The market implies a 41.7% chance of Leeds United to win. Leeds United have created 9 big chances and put 28 shots on target across seven league games, while conceding 6. That balance is stronger than Sunderland’s 18 big chances, 28 shots on target and 14 conceded. That gives the straight outcome the clearest fit between the numbers and the match read.
Leeds United & Yes is the higher-priced combination to consider, but it needs both parts of the game to land. The selection to avoid is the opposing outright result: it would require the underlying chance-creation picture to reverse.
Prediction
Leeds United have created 9 big chances and put 28 shots on target across seven league games, while conceding 6. That balance is stronger than Sunderland’s 18 big chances, 28 shots on target and 14 conceded. Sunderland are at home and Leeds United have their own route through the game, so the straight result is preferred over a wider-margin call.
Predicted score: 1-2.
Sunderland vs Leeds United: Your Questions Answered
When is Sunderland vs Leeds United?
The match is on 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 GMT.
Where is the match being played?
It takes place at Stadium of Light.
What is the main prediction?
Leeds United To Win is the lead call.
What is the correct-score prediction?
The scoreline pick is 1-2.
When are the lineups confirmed?
The confirmed teams are released before kick-off; the Team News section covers the material absences and doubts.
More from FootballTips: Read the Premier League predictions, our Bet of the Day and other match previews.
