Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: Both teams have been in excellent attacking form, and with plenty to play for in the Bundesliga title race, expect an entertaining encounter at the Mercedes-Benz-Arena. Our top pick is Both Teams to Score – Yes at 4/9, while value seekers should consider Over 2.5 Goals given the attacking talent on display.
Market
Prediction
Best Odds
Bookie
Match Result
Draw
14/5
bet365
Both Teams to Score
Yes
4/9
bet365
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5
TBC
bet365
Match Preview
Third-placed Stuttgart welcome second-placed Borussia Dortmund to the Mercedes-Benz-Arena on Saturday evening for what promises to be an enthralling Bundesliga encounter. Kick-off is scheduled for 17:30 GMT on April 4, 2026. With both teams firmly in the hunt for Champions League qualification and Dortmund keeping the pressure on league leaders Bayern Munich, this clash carries significant implications for the top end of the table.
Stuttgart have been one of the surprise packages of the Bundesliga season under the guidance of Sebastian Hoeneß, playing an attractive brand of attacking football that has seen them accumulate 53 points from 27 matches. Their return of 56 goals scored is a testament to their offensive capabilities, though defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern with 36 goals conceded.
Borussia Dortmund, meanwhile, have enjoyed a strong campaign under Niko Kovač and currently sit eight points adrift of Bayern Munich at the summit. With 61 points from 27 games, Die Schwarzgelben have been remarkably consistent, losing just twice all season. Their goal difference of +30 highlights their quality at both ends of the pitch, scoring 58 while conceding only 28.
Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Odds
The bookmakers have this fixture as a very tight affair, with little to separate the two sides. Stuttgart’s impressive home record has seen them installed as slight favourites, while Dortmund’s quality and title aspirations ensure they remain competitive in the betting. The odds reflect the closely contested nature of this Bundesliga blockbuster.
Stuttgart manager Sebastian Hoeneß has built a formidable attacking unit this season, with a squad that blends youth and experience effectively. The Swabians will look to their key attackers to trouble the Dortmund defence, with the likes of Ermedin Demirovic and Deniz Undav providing the goal threat. The German tactician has implemented an exciting brand of football that has taken the Bundesliga by storm.
In midfield, the composure of Angelo Stiller has been crucial to Stuttgart’s build-up play, while Atakan Karazor provides the defensive protection that allows the more creative players to flourish. The wide areas are likely to feature Chris Fuhrich and Jamie Leweling, both of whom have been in excellent form throughout the campaign.
Defensively, Stuttgart have shown some vulnerability this season, conceding 36 goals in 27 matches. The centre-back pairing will need to be at their best to contain Dortmund’s potent attack. Alexander Nubel remains the first-choice goalkeeper and will need to produce a big performance against his former club’s rivals.
Borussia Dortmund
Niko Kovac has moulded this Dortmund side into a well-organised, high-pressing unit that has lost just twice in the Bundesliga this season. The squad depth at his disposal is enviable, with quality options in every position. The Croatian manager has brought a winning mentality to Signal Iduna Park.
Up front, Serhou Guirassy has been prolific since his arrival, while the pace and trickery of Karim Adeyemi and Maximilian Beier provide the perfect complement. The midfield trio of Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Brandt, and Emre Can offers the perfect balance of creativity, work rate, and experience.
Defensively, Dortmund have been the second-meanest side in the division, conceding just 28 goals. The centre-back partnership of Waldemar Anton and Nico Schlotterbeck has been particularly impressive, while the ever-reliable Gregor Kobel provides the last line of defence.
The recent history between these two sides has been evenly contested, with Dortmund holding a slight advantage in the overall head-to-head record. In their last 15 meetings, Dortmund have won 7, Stuttgart have won 6, and there have been 2 draws. The goal tally also favours Dortmund marginally at 33-27.
The reverse fixture earlier this season produced a thrilling 3-3 draw at Signal Iduna Park, with both teams showcasing their attacking capabilities. Stuttgart twice came from behind to earn a valuable point, demonstrating their resilience against one of the league’s elite sides.
Last season saw Stuttgart complete a memorable double over Dortmund, winning 2-1 at Signal Iduna Park in February 2025 before recording an emphatic 5-1 victory at home in September 2024. Those results will give the hosts confidence that they can get a positive result against their more illustrious opponents.
Historically, matches between these sides have been high-scoring affairs. Their last five encounters have produced 3, 3, 6, 3, and 6 goals respectively, suggesting that neutral spectators are in for a treat on Saturday evening.
Stuttgart Form
Stuttgart head into this fixture in excellent form, having taken 10 points from their last four Bundesliga matches. Their recent run includes a commanding 4-0 victory over Wolfsburg, a hard-fought 2-2 draw away at Mainz, a narrow 1-0 win against RB Leipzig, and a stunning 5-2 triumph away at Augsburg. This impressive sequence has cemented their place in the top three.
That 5-2 victory at Augsburg was particularly impressive, with Stuttgart demonstrating their clinical finishing by scoring five goals from their limited chances. The ability to win away from home against stubborn opposition bodes well for their ability to compete with Dortmund.
At the Mercedes-Benz-Arena, Stuttgart have been formidable this season, and their home form has been a key factor in their rise to third place. The passionate support of the Stuttgart faithful creates an intimidating atmosphere that few visiting teams have been able to handle.
The Swabians have scored 56 goals this season, the third-highest tally in the division behind Bayern Munich and Dortmund themselves. Their attacking philosophy under Hoeness means they will not sit back and defend against Dortmund; instead, they will look to take the game to their opponents.
Borussia Dortmund Form
Dortmund arrive at the Mercedes-Benz-Arena riding a three-game winning streak that has kept their slim title hopes alive. They have secured victories against Koln (2-1 away), Augsburg (2-0 at home), and Hamburger SV (3-2 at home) to maintain the pressure on league leaders Bayern Munich.
The victory against Hamburger SV was a character-building performance, with Dortmund having to come from two goals down at half-time to win 3-2. That display of resilience and mental fortitude will serve them well in what promises to be a challenging away fixture.
With just two defeats all season, Dortmund have been the model of consistency under Kovac. Their defensive solidity has been the foundation of their success, though they have shown a slight vulnerability when playing away from Signal Iduna Park against the top sides.
The title race may be slipping away, with Bayern holding a nine-point advantage, but Dortmund know that any slip-up could prove fatal to their aspirations. A victory in Stuttgart would be a significant statement of intent and would keep the pressure on the leaders heading into the final stretch of the season.
Key Players to Watch
Stuttgart
Deniz Undav has been a revelation this season, leading the line with power and precision. His ability to hold up the ball and bring others into play makes him the focal point of Stuttgart’s attack. Against Dortmund’s high defensive line, his movement in behind could prove crucial.
Angelo Stiller is the metronome in midfield, dictating the tempo and providing the creative spark. His passing range allows Stuttgart to switch play quickly and exploit the wide areas. If he can find space between the lines, he has the quality to unlock any defence.
Borussia Dortmund
Serhou Guirassy has been in sensational form since joining Dortmund, and his physicality and finishing ability make him a constant threat. Stuttgart’s defenders will need to be at their best to contain the powerful Guinean striker.
Julian Brandt brings creativity and intelligence to Dortmund’s midfield. His ability to find pockets of space and deliver defence-splitting passes could be the key to unlocking Stuttgart’s backline. The battle between him and Stiller in midfield will be fascinating to watch.
Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
This fixture has all the ingredients for a classic Bundesliga encounter. Both teams are in excellent form, both possess quality in the final third, and both have plenty to play for. Stuttgart will be keen to maintain their position in the top four, while Dortmund need to keep winning to maintain any hope of catching Bayern Munich.
The head-to-head record suggests a closely contested match, and the recent 3-3 draw between these sides earlier this season demonstrated how evenly matched they are. Stuttgart’s home advantage could prove decisive, but Dortmund’s superior squad depth and experience in big matches makes them dangerous opponents.
With both teams favouring an attacking approach and neither defence looking particularly watertight, goals should be on the menu. The over 2.5 goals market looks appealing, while both teams to score appears almost certain given the attacking talent on display. Stuttgart’s backline has leaked goals against top opposition this season.
Our prediction is for a high-scoring draw. Stuttgart have the quality to trouble Dortmund at home, but the visitors’ resilience and ability to grind out results should see them return to the Ruhr with a point. A 2-2 draw looks a likely outcome, offering value for punters seeking an entertaining encounter.
The match kicks off at 17:30 GMT on Saturday, April 4, 2026, at the Mercedes-Benz-Arena in Stuttgart. Check your local listings for broadcast information, with the game expected to be shown on major sports channels across Europe and beyond.
For those looking to add extra excitement to the match, remember to check out our recommended bookmakers for the best odds and promotions. Always gamble responsibly and within your means. Set limits and never chase losses when betting on football matches.
New customers only. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration Required. #Ad 18+