Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

Dean Smith 04 Jul 2025

The last of the four Club World Cup semi-finalists will be confirmed when Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund face each other at the MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford on Saturday night (21:00 BST).

Real Madrid are the most successful team in Club World Cup history, lifting the trophy on five occasions, but they will be respectful of tournament debutants Borussia Dortmund, who have not tasted defeat since a 4-0 loss away to Barcelona in the opening leg of their Champions League quarter-final.

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Full Time Result: Real Madrid
Correct Score: Real Madrid 2-0
Both Teams to Score: No
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under
First Goalscorer: Vinicius Junior

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Tips

Why We’re Backing Real Madrid to win to nil against Borussia Dortmund at 9/4 with bet365

Real Madrid have won and kept a clean sheet in four of their last six matches
Los Blancos won the shot count 21 to six when winning 1-0 against Juventus in the round of 16
Real Madrid were 3-1 winners against Pachuca in the group stage despite losing defender Raul Asencio to a seventh minute red card
Borussia Dortmund registered only six shots during their 2-1 round of 16 victory over Monterrey

Real Madrid are making positive early progress under Xabi Alonso, who has them playing at a high intensity. They were comfortable 1-0 winners against Juventus and should ease past Borussia Dortmund, who have lost the shot count in three of their four Club World Cup matches.

Why We’re Backing Under 2.5 goals at 27/20 with bet365

Four of Real Madrid’s last six games have generated less than three goals
Los Blancos have adapted well to a 3-5-2 system under Xabi Alonso which seems to have struck a nice balance between defence and attack
Borussia Dortmund have registered less than 10 shots in three of their four Club World Cup fixtures

Real Madrid Form & Stats

Real Madrid have won six of their last seven matches
Los Blancos have started the scoring in each of their last six fixtures
Rising Real Madrid star Gonzalo Garcia has scored three goals in his last four appearances

Borussia Dortmund Form & Stats

Borussia Dortmund have averaged 12.3 shots per game, which is the lowest among teams left in the tournament
Dortmund have been the favourites for each of their games but they have averaged just a 48.9 per cent share of possession.

Player to Watch

Gonzalo Garcia has hogged the headlines for Real Madrid, but Vinicius Junior has been quietly impressive and may have his best moments to come. The Brazilian had a strong season, scoring 11 La Liga goals and netting eight times in the Champions League.

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head Results

Real Madrid have played Borussia Dortmund competitively on 16 occasions with eight wins for Los Blancos, three for Dortmund and five draws.

They locked horns in the Champions League league phase earlier this season, with Real winning 5-2 in the Spanish capital.

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