Osasuna and Celta Vigo meet in a La Liga tie on Sunday 26th October 2025 at 17:30 BST. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for the La Liga fixture below in this expert match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Matchday | 10 |
| Date | Sunday 26 October 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 17:30 BST |
| Venue | El Sadar, Pamplona |
| Broadcast | La Liga TV, Viaplay Sports |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Osasuna | ★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★☆☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 | ★★★★☆ |
Analysis: Osasuna come into this match with a solid home record and have shown greater defensive resilience than Celta Vigo, keeping two clean sheets this season compared to Celta’s none. While Celta have impressive possession (averaging 52.41%) and pass accuracy (86.52%), they have struggled to convert dominance into wins, having yet to register a victory this La Liga season (seven draws, two losses).
Osasuna’s aerial presence (174 successful headers) and ability to capitalise on set pieces could be decisive, especially with Celta’s vulnerability to defensive lapses. At 7/5, Osasuna offer decent value as slight home favourites against a Celta side that has failed to turn draws into wins.
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Analysis: Osasuna’s goalkeeper Sergio Herrera averages 4 saves per match, ranking among La Liga’s busiest keepers. With Celta Vigo attempting 103 shots this season (an average of over 11 per game) and leading the fixture in big chances created (15), Herrera is expected to be called into action regularly.
The prop bet for 4+ saves is supported by Celta’s attacking intent and Osasuna’s tendency to allow the opposition possession and shots on goal. Herrera’s reliability (two clean sheets, 36 saves overall) makes this a strong player prop angle, especially if priced at even money or above.
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Osasuna currently sit 13th in La Liga with 10 points from nine matches (three wins, one draw, five defeats), having scored 7 goals and conceded 9. They’ve managed two clean sheets and reduced their defensive mistakes in recent fixtures. While their attack has underperformed compared to an xG of 11.5, they create enough chances (8 big chances) to threaten any opponent, particularly at home.
Celta Vigo are 17th, with 7 points from nine matches. Remarkably, they have not won a single league match (seven draws, two losses). Despite this, they have scored one more goal than Osasuna (8) and are more creative in attack (15 big chances created). However, their conversion rate is poor and they have failed to keep a clean sheet all season, conceding 11 goals. Celta’s possession and passing stats are among the best outside the top six, but defensive lapses and finishing issues persist.
Osasuna, under Alessio Lisci, favour a compact 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 system, focusing on defensive organisation, pressing in midfield, and making the most of set pieces and crosses. They are strong in the air and often utilise direct play to exploit opposition weaknesses, especially at home. Their pragmatic style produces narrow scorelines and keeps matches competitive.
Celta de Vigo, led by Claudio Giráldez, are possession-oriented, preferring a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation. Their midfield is comfortable on the ball, moving play through short passes and seeking to control the tempo. However, their patient build-up has not always yielded goals, and they are vulnerable to counter-attacks and set pieces. Expect Celta to dominate the ball, but Osasuna to look for quick transitions and aerial duels in both boxes.
| Statistic | Osasuna | Celta de Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 13th | 17th |
| Goals Scored | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Conceded | 9 | 11 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 9.0 | 10.3 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 11.7 | 10.6 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-21 | Osasuna 1-2 Celta de Vigo | La Liga |
| 2023-11-04 | Celta de Vigo 0-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 2023-03-18 | Osasuna 2-1 Celta de Vigo | La Liga |
| 2022-10-09 | Celta de Vigo 1-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 2022-04-16 | Osasuna 2-0 Celta de Vigo | La Liga |
Osasuna’s goalkeeper, Sergio Herrera, has been outstanding this season. He has already made 36 saves (an average of 4 saves per match), recorded two clean sheets, and has a pass accuracy of 67.83%. Herrera’s bravery and shot-stopping have kept Osasuna competitive, especially in matches where they have conceded high possession. His command of the area and ability to organise the defence are key assets, and with Celta’s high shot volume (103 shots so far), Herrera’s performance will likely have a significant impact on the result.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Osasuna vs. Celta de Vigo match?
A: Osasuna are slight favourites, largely due to their home advantage and defensive solidity. Celta de Vigo’s inability to turn possession into wins makes them less favoured despite their creative statistics.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The best value for Osasuna to win is 7/5. The draw is priced at 9/4, and a Celta victory is 43/20. Both Teams to Score is 10/11, while Under 2.5 Goals is available at 8/11, but for value tips, Osasuna to win offers the best price among the main markets.
Q: Where can I watch the Osasuna vs. Celta de Vigo match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on La Liga TV and Viaplay Sports in the UK.
Osasuna and Celta de Vigo present contrasting styles: Osasuna’s defensive discipline and aerial strength against Celta’s high-possession, high-passing approach. While Celta edge the statistics for creativity and ball retention, Osasuna’s home form and defensive resilience tip the balance narrowly in their favour. Key predictions are for Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams likely to score. Sergio Herrera’s shot-stopping could be pivotal, and value lies with Osasuna to win at 7/5 and with the goalkeeper save prop. Celta’s winless run is unlikely to end here unless they improve their finishing.
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