Liverpool and PSV meet in a UEFA Champions League tie on Wednesday 26th November 2025 at 20:00 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for the Champions League fixture below in this match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | UEFA Champions League |
| Matchday | 5 |
| Date | Wednesday 26 November 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 20:00 GMT |
| Venue | Anfield |
| Broadcast | TNT Sport, UEFA.tv |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Liverpool Win | ★★★★☆ |
| Correct Score | 3-1 Liverpool | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 | ★★★★☆ |
Analysis: Liverpool come into this Champions League clash with a strong record, boasting 9 points from 4 games and a healthy +5 goal difference. Their underlying data backs up their form: they have the highest expected goals (xG) in the group (9.94) and average 56.6% possession, indicating a side confident on the ball. By contrast, PSV have managed 9 points but from a much lower xG (4.51), suggesting their goal return may not be sustainable.
Liverpool’s defence has conceded just 4 goals – one of the best records in the group – compared to PSV’s 7, and the Dutch side have yet to keep a clean sheet. At Anfield, Liverpool’s intensity and attacking variety (9 goals shared across defenders and midfielders) should be enough to see them win by two clear goals or more.
Sky Bet
Bet 5p Get £30 in Free Bets
18+. T&Cs Apply. gambleaware.org
Analysis: Guus Til may not sit among the Champions League’s leading scorers, but his role in PSV’s attacking structure makes him a genuine anytime goalscorer threat against Liverpool. Til excels at timing late runs into the box and finding space between midfield and defence – a pattern that has repeatedly exposed Liverpool this season. With PSV generating a steady volume of shots in Europe and creating high-value chances from wide areas, Til is well positioned to profit from second balls, cut-backs and transitional moments.
Liverpool have also already shown vulnerability against midfield runners, conceding multiple chances from untracked surges through the centre, and their aggressive press can leave pockets of space just outside the area. Til’s knack for arriving unnoticed and finishing quickly makes him one of PSV’s more overlooked but high-upside scoring options for Wednesday’s tie.
Paddy Power Bet £5 Get £40 in Free Bets 18+. T&Cs Apply. gambleaware.org
1
Claim Offer
Excellent
Review
Liverpool are in decent European form, winning 3 of their 4 Champions League matches so far, with no draws and only 1 defeat. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 4, reflecting both attacking potency and defensive stability. Their only defensive blip came away, but at Anfield they have been formidable. PSV, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency with just 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in their last 4 group games. Despite matching Liverpool’s goal tally, their xG of 4.51 suggests overperformance, and with 7 goals conceded, defensive frailties are apparent. PSV’s away performances in Europe have historically been patchy and their lack of clean sheets is a concern.
Arne Slot’s Liverpool are likely to adopt a proactive 4-3-3, focusing on high pressing and quick transitions. Their balanced goal distribution—4 from defenders, 4 from midfielders, shows adaptability and threat from multiple sources.
PSV, under Peter Bosz, typically favour possession-based football (58.8% average possession) in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3, but their shot accuracy is notably poor at just 22.2%. Liverpool’s pressure could force errors from PSV’s back line, and the Dutch side must improve their ball retention in dangerous areas to avoid being overrun. Expect Liverpool to target PSV’s full-backs with overlapping runs and cut-backs, while PSV may look to exploit Liverpool’s high line with quick balls in behind.
| Statistic | Liverpool | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 8th | 18th |
| Goals Scored | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Conceded | 4 | 7 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 9.94 | 4.51 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 4 | 7 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2025 | PSV 3-2 Liverpool | UEFA Champions League |
| No further head-to-head meetings between these sides found in recent seasons. | ||
Hugo Ekitike has quickly grown into one of PSV’s most dynamic attacking outlets in Europe. Though he isn’t among the Champions League’s most prolific forwards, his underlying performance indicators are strong. PSV’s front line thrives on vertical movement and quick combinations, and Ekitike’s ability to operate on the shoulder of defenders fits perfectly within that framework. His blend of pace and physicality allows him to create separation in tight areas, while his willingness to attack the penalty spot has already produced several high-quality chances.
PSV have generated a healthy volume of shots in the competition, and Ekitike’s involvement continues to rise as he adapts to their rhythm. His link-up play with the wingers and advanced midfielders is becoming increasingly influential, especially in transition. Given Liverpool’s vulnerability to direct runners and their tendency to leave space behind the defensive line when pressing high, Ekitike’s movement could be a decisive factor in stretching the back four and creating opportunities both for himself and the attackers around him.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Liverpool vs. PSV match?
A: Liverpool are the favourites to win at Anfield, based on their superior recent form, underlying metrics, and home advantage.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The standout value is Liverpool -1 Asian Handicap at even money with Sky Bet.
Q: Where can I watch the Liverpool vs. PSV match?
A: The match will be broadcast live in the UK on TNT Sports and UEFA.tv.
Liverpool approach this Champions League tie in better form and with more convincing underlying numbers than their Dutch opponents. With the highest xG in the group, a well-organised defence, and multiple attacking threats, they look well-placed to take all three points at Anfield. PSV’s finishing has outstripped their chance quality so far, but their shot accuracy and defensive issues suggest regression may be imminent. The best value appears to be backing Liverpool on a handicap, with PSV’s Guus Til to find the net a tempting player prop angle. Expect goals at both ends, but the Reds should have enough to prevail.
All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. For more information and support, visit BeGambleAware.org. You must be 18 or over to gamble.
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
New customers only. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration Required. #Ad 18+
Bet £10 Get Up to £100 in Free Bets
18+. Spread betting losses can exceed deposits. T&Cs Apply. gambleaware.org
