Girona vs Alaves Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview
Girona and Deportivo Alavés meet in a La Liga tie on Saturday 8th November 2025 at 13:00 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for this Spanish top-flight fixture below in this expert match preview.
Fixture Details
- Home Team: Girona
- Away Team: Deportivo Alavés
- Competition: La Liga
- Matchday: 12
- Date: Saturday 8 November 2025
- Kick-off Time: 13:00 GMT
- Venue: Estadi Montilivi, Girona
Match Overview
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Matchday | 12 |
| Date | Saturday 8 November 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 13:00 GMT |
| Venue | Estadi Montilivi, Girona |
| Broadcast | LaLigaTV / Premier Sports |
Key Predictions & Confidence Score
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Deportivo Alavés | ★★★★☆ |
| Correct Score | 2-1 Alavés | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★☆☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 | ★★★★☆ |
Top Betting Tips & Value Analysis
1. Value Bet: Alaves to Win
- Odds: 21/10 with Sky Bet
- Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Alavés are in far superior form, sitting 8th in La Liga with 15 points from 11 games – more than double Girona’s total. The Basques have conceded just 10 goals (second best among mid-table sides), compared to Girona’s worrying 24. While Girona are at home, they’ve won just once in 11 attempts this season. Alavés have also enjoyed recent head-to-head success, winning both meetings last season (including a 1-0 victory at Montilivi). Given the disparity in defensive records and recent form, the 21/10 price for an away win rates as outstanding value in the circumstances.
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2. Player Prop Bet: Cristhian Stuani to Score Anytime
- Odds: 11/5 with BetMGM
- Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: Despite Girona’s struggles, Stuani has been razor-sharp when given the opportunity, notching 3 goals from very limited minutes and boasting a perfect 100% shot accuracy. He scored twice in just 31 minutes in his last standout appearance. With Girona desperate for goals and likely to rely heavily on their experienced Uruguayan, Stuani represents their best route to nicking a goal, especially if he starts or features prominently from the bench. His knack for finding the net in difficult situations marks him out as a value anytime scorer option.
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In-Depth Match Analysis
Recent Form and Performance
Girona: Rooted to the bottom of the table (20th) with just 7 points from 11 games, Girona have managed only one win all season. Their 10 goals scored is among the league’s lowest, while their 24 goals conceded is the worst record in La Liga. Their last six fixtures have seen a string of draws and defeats, with defensive lapses a recurring theme.
Deportivo Alavés: The Basques have been the surprise package of the campaign so far, sitting 8th with 4 wins, 3 draws and only 4 defeats. They have scored 11 and conceded just 10, with two clean sheets in the last six matches. Their away form is respectable, and they are proving difficult to break down.
Tactical Breakdown
- Girona: Typically set up in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3, Girona have tried to play progressive football, but their openness has been ruthlessly exposed. Their shot accuracy is a commendable 54.24%, but they have struggled to convert chances and protect their backline. Expect them to push forward at home, but their vulnerability to counters is a concern.
- Alavés: Alavés favour a structured 4-4-2, prioritising defensive solidity and rapid transitions. Their high tackle count (210, compared to Girona’s 143) and strong organisation have been key assets. They will likely allow Girona possession, press aggressively in midfield, and look to exploit spaces left by the hosts when they lose the ball.
Key Player Matchups
- Cristhian Stuani (Girona) v Alavés Centre-Backs: If Stuani starts, his movement and clinical finishing will test the discipline of Alavés’ central defence, who have been resilient all season.
- Carlos Vicente Robles (Alavés) v Girona Full-Backs: Robles’s creativity, ball progression, and threat from wide areas could be decisive – especially given Girona’s defensive frailties.
Head-to-Head Record & Statistical Analysis
| Statistic | Girona | Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 20th | 8th |
| Goals Scored | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Conceded | 24 | 10 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 20.2 | 9.4 |
Last 5 Meetings
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2025 | Girona 0-1 Alavés | La Liga |
| 11 Jan 2025 | Alavés 0-1 Girona | La Liga |
| 10 May 2024 | Alavés 2-2 Girona | La Liga |
| 18 Dec 2023 | Girona 3-0 Alavés | La Liga |
| 18 May 2019 | Alavés 2-1 Girona | La Liga |
Player Spotlight: Cristhian Stuani
Despite Girona’s struggles, experienced striker Cristhian Stuani remains a beacon of efficiency. With 3 goals from limited appearances and a remarkable 100% shot accuracy, Stuani has made the most of every opportunity. In his most recent standout appearance, he scored twice in just 31 minutes – underlining his ability to impact games off the bench or as a starter. While his xG is modest (0.15 per 90), this reflects both Girona’s lack of service and his clinical edge. If Girona are to get anything from this match, expect Stuani to be involved.
Team News
Girona
- Injuries: Donny van de Beek, Juan Carlos.
- Suspensions: None.
- Ineligible: None.
Deportivo Alavés
- Injuries: None reported.
- Suspensions: None.
- Ineligible: None.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Girona vs. Alavés match?
A: The odds are close, but Alavés’ superior form, defensive record, and recent head-to-head success make them the value pick to win away at Girona.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The best odds for an Alavés win are 21/10. A draw is available at 23/10, while Girona are best priced at 29/20.
Q: Where can I watch the Girona vs. Alavés match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on LaLigaTV and Premier Sports in the UK.
Conclusion & Key Takeaways
- Deportivo Alavés are a strong value pick to win at Girona given their vastly superior defensive record and current form.
- Cristhian Stuani’s finishing remains Girona’s best hope, but the hosts’ defensive woes are likely to cost them again.
- Back Alavés at 21/10 for the away win as the standout value in the match.
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