Fulham vs Manchester United Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds
Craven Cottage closes out the Premier League weekend on Sunday afternoon, with two sides in the bottom half who both need the points more than the plaudits. Our Fulham vs Manchester United prediction is about whether United’s midweek problems follow them down the Thames.
Fulham are 18th on one point, four scored and seven conceded in the Premier League table, and winless. Manchester United are 13th on four, seven scored and seven conceded, having lost the derby and then gone out of the League Cup to Brighton on Wednesday. United are evens favourites, Fulham 12/5 and the draw 13/5.
The raw table makes this look grim for both, but the underlying pattern is more interesting: Fulham’s home games have been full of goals, and United’s season has swung between a 5-2 win and a 0-2 defeat at Hull. Neither defence has convinced anyone yet.
Fulham vs Manchester United Predictions
| Market | Selection | William Hill | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | Yes | 8/15 | 3/5 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 8/15 | 3/5 |
| Match Result | Manchester United | 1/1 | 2/5 |
Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 lead the card: Fulham’s two home league games both finished 3-2, and United have scored seven and conceded seven. United are the result selection at the lowest confidence on the card — they have lost both away games and arrive off consecutive defeats, but Fulham have one point.
Team News
Fulham are without Tom Cairney (knee, until October) and Kenny Tete, who is in concussion protocol after taking a ball to the face last weekend, while Ryan Sessegnon faces a late fitness test at 50%. Joachim Andersen’s suspension is served — he started Tuesday’s 3-2 League Cup win at West Ham — and Emile Smith Rowe and Antonee Robinson also started. Fulham have used 4-2-3-1 in every match this season.
Manchester United are missing Matthijs de Ligt (back), Carlos Baleba (ankle), Amad Diallo (ankle) and Manuel Ugarte (knee), with Luke Shaw rated 50% and Thomas Heaton 25%. Mason Mount and Benjamin Sesko both started Wednesday’s 3-2 League Cup defeat to Brighton, as did Marcus Rashford and Leny Yoro. United have used 4-2-3-1 in every match, and Wednesday was their third game in seven days.
Head-to-Head
| Date | Fixture | Score | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Manchester United vs Fulham | 3-2 | Yes |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Fulham vs Manchester United | 1-1 | Yes |
| 2 Mar 2025 | Manchester United vs Fulham (FA Cup) | 1-1 | Yes |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Fulham vs Manchester United | 0-1 | No |
| 16 Aug 2024 | Manchester United vs Fulham | 1-0 | No |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Manchester United vs Fulham | 1-2 | Yes |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Fulham vs Manchester United | 0-1 | No |
| 28 May 2023 | Manchester United vs Fulham | 2-1 | Yes |
United have won five of the last eight and lost only once — but that defeat came in this fixture’s recent past, and Fulham have drawn two of the last three. The most recent meeting, in February, finished 3-2 to United, and the last two at Craven Cottage were decided by a single goal.
The record points to a tight away win more often than not — United’s last three wins at this ground were all by the odd goal. What the record cannot account for is Wednesday: United arrive off back-to-back defeats for the first time this season.
Where the Game Will Be Decided
Fulham’s home games have been decided by chaos, not control: 2-3 against Chelsea and 2-3 against Crystal Palace, with the attack producing and the defence leaking late. United’s away games have been the opposite — a 0-2 defeat at Hull and a 2-2 draw at Everton — so the question is which pattern the evening takes.
The calendar is the other anchor. United played Wednesday night, their third match in seven days including the derby; Fulham played Tuesday and won, with Andersen and Smith Rowe starting. Tired legs against a side that has lost both home games by the odd goal suggests a long, open evening rather than a cagey one.
Fulham vs Manchester United Odds
| Selection | William Hill | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match Result | ||
| Fulham | 12/5 | 29.4% |
| Draw | 13/5 | 27.8% |
| Manchester United | 1/1 | 50.0% |
| Both Teams To Score | ||
| Yes | 8/15 | 65.2% |
| No | 13/10 | 43.5% |
| Total Goals | ||
| Over 2.5 | 8/15 | 65.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 13/10 | 43.5% |
United at evens is an implied 50.0% — William Hill trusting the head-to-head over the current form of either side. The goals lines are short: Both Teams To Score Yes and Over 2.5 both 8/15, reflecting two defences that have conceded seven each in four games.
Betting Tips
Both Teams To Score Yes at 8/15 is the lead selection. Fulham’s home games have both finished 3-2, United have failed to keep a clean sheet in three of four, and the last meeting between these sides produced five goals. It is a short price, but the evidence points only one way.
Over 2.5 at 8/15 is the supporting call — Fulham’s season is averaging 2.8 goals a game and United’s 3.5. United at evens is the result selection at two stars: the head-to-head says they win this fixture, but they have lost both away games and played Wednesday night, so it is the weakest leg on the card.
Where the Value Is
Fulham’s 29.4% is the number worth dwelling on. A home side, against a team that has lost both away games and played three matches in seven days, priced at under one chance in three — the price is all head-to-head, and the current evidence argues with it.
The combination is Manchester United & Both Teams To Score at 12/5, an implied 29.4% for the exact shape of February’s 3-2. The one to avoid is Under 2.5 Goals at 13/10 — it asks two sides conceding at nearly two a game to keep it tight, and neither has managed that against comparable opposition.
Prediction
Fulham are due a break at home, but United’s record in this fixture is the strongest trend on the card — and their midweek defeat is more likely to sharpen than deflate them. Goals at both ends, decided late.
Prediction: Fulham 1-2 Manchester United. Consistent with United as the result selection, with Over 2.5, and with Both Teams To Score.
Fulham vs Manchester United: Your Questions Answered
What time is Fulham vs Manchester United?
Kick-off is 16:30 BST on Sunday 20 September 2026 at Craven Cottage.
Where are Fulham and Manchester United in the Premier League table?
Fulham are 18th with one point from four games; Manchester United are 13th with four points.
How could Fulham line up against Manchester United?
Fulham have used 4-2-3-1 in every match this season. Cairney and Tete are out, and Sessegnon is 50%. Andersen started on Tuesday after his suspension, and Smith Rowe and Robinson also started at West Ham.
How could Manchester United line up against Fulham?
United have used 4-2-3-1 in every match. De Ligt, Baleba, Amad and Ugarte are out; Shaw is 50%. Mount, Sesko and Rashford all started on Wednesday.
What are the odds for Fulham vs Manchester United?
William Hill price Fulham at 12/5, the draw at 13/5 and Manchester United at evens. Both Teams To Score Yes is 8/15, Over 2.5 Goals is 8/15, and United & Both Teams To Score is 12/5. Prices can move before kick-off.
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