Congo DR vs Benin Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

Dean Smith 03 Mar 2026
  • Congo DR and Benin meet in an Africa Cup of Nations tie on Tuesday 23rd December 2025 at 12:30 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for the AFCON fixture below in this match preview.

African Cup of Nations
12:30
23 Dec
v
Odds correct at the time of writing
Match Preview Background

Fixture Details

  • Home Team: Congo DR
  • Away Team: Benin
  • Competition: Africa Cup of Nations
  • Matchday: 1
  • Date: Tuesday 23 December 2025
  • Kick-off Time: 12:30 GMT
  • Venue: Al-Barid Stadium stadium, Rabat city

Match Overview

Match Details Information
Competition Africa Cup of Nations
Matchday 1
Date Tuesday 23 December 2025
Kick-off Time 12:30 GMT
Venue Al-Barid Stadium stadium, Rabat city
Broadcast All 4

Key Predictions & Confidence Score

Market Prediction Confidence
Full-Time Result Draw ★★★☆☆
Correct Score 0-0 Draw ★★☆☆☆
Both Teams to Score No ★★★☆☆
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆

Top Betting Tips & Value Analysis

1. Value Bet: Benin Draw No Bet

  • Odds: 3/1 with BetMGM
  • Value Rating: ★★★★☆

Analysis: While Congo DR are favourites at home, the value lies in Benin at a generous 3/1. Both teams are entering the qualification campaign fresh, with no competitive games played so far in this group. Benin have historically set up to frustrate on the road and, with the pressure on Congo DR as hosts, the draw-no-bet angle covers the possibility of a surprise, especially given the unpredictable nature of early qualification matches where teams are still finding rhythm and chemistry.

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2. Player Prop Bet: Steve Mounié to Score Anytime

  • Odds: 9/2 with Sky Bet
  • Value Rating: ★★★☆☆

Analysis: Steve Mounié remains Benin’s primary attacking threat. His physical presence and aerial ability offer a unique problem for any defence, especially in a tight game where set pieces could prove decisive. This bet offers notable value, considering Mounié’s role as a focal point and his proven record for both club and country.

In-Depth Match Analysis

Recent Form and Performance

There are no recent competitive results to draw upon for either side this season. Both Congo DR and Benin finished the previous campaign outside direct qualification spots, but both will be motivated to start strongly.

Tactical Breakdown

Congo DR under coach Sébastien Desabre typically favour a 4-3-3 setup, focusing on structured defending and quick transitions to the flanks. With a squad featuring attackers such as Cédric Bakambu and Théo Bongonda, expect Congo DR to attack with purpose but retain a disciplined defensive shape. Benin, led by Gernot Rohr, are known for their pragmatic approach, often setting up in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2, prioritising defensive solidity and looking to hit on the counter through pacey forwards like Steve Mounié and Jodel Dossou.

Key Player Matchups

  • Cédric Bakambu (Congo DR) vs Olivier Verdon (Benin): Bakambu’s movement and experience will test Verdon’s positional sense and aerial prowess. If Bakambu can find space behind Benin’s backline, Congo DR’s chances of a breakthrough improve significantly.
  • Chancel Mbemba (Congo DR) vs Steve Mounié (Benin): This battle in both penalty areas could be decisive, especially from set pieces. Mbemba’s leadership and reading of the game will be crucial in containing Mounié’s aerial threat.

Head-to-Head Record & Statistical Analysis

Statistic Congo DR Benin
League Position N/A N/A
Goals Scored 0 0
Goals Conceded 0 0
xG (Expected Goals) N/A N/A
xGA (Expected Goals Against) N/A N/A

Last 2 Meetings

  • 14 November 2021: DR Congo 2-0 Benin – World Cup Qualification CAF
  • 6 September 2021: Benin 1-1 DR Congo – World Cup Qualification CAF

Player Spotlight: Steve Mounié

Mounié stands out as Benin’s primary goal threat. Known for his physical style and prowess in the air, he offers a direct option both from open play and set pieces. While official stats for the current campaign are yet to be recorded, Mounié’s international pedigree and leadership make him a pivotal figure. He will be tasked with holding up play and capitalising on any defensive lapses from Congo DR, especially given the lack of recent match rhythm for either team. Punters should watch for his involvement on corners and free-kicks, where his aerial ability can turn the tide.

Team News

Congo DR

  • Injuries: Joris Kayembe.
  • Suspensions: None.
  • Ineligible: None.

Benin

  • Injuries: None.
  • Suspensions: None.
  • Ineligible: None.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Who is the favourite to win the Congo DR vs. Benin match?
A: Congo DR are the clear favourites, with best industry odds at 8/13, reflecting their perceived superiority on home soil.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: Congo DR are 8/13 to win, the draw is 12/5, and Benin to win is available at 5/1. For both teams to score, ‘No’ is 8/15, while a 1-0 correct score for Congo DR is 4/1.
Q: Where can I watch the Congo DR vs. Benin match?
A: All 4 will be broadcasting Congo DR vs Benin for UK viewers.

Conclusion & Key Takeaways

This AFCON clash is set up as a cagey affair, with Congo DR the bookmakers’ choice given home advantage and squad depth. However, Benin’s defensive discipline and counter-attacking ambition offer scope for an upset at significant value. Key battles, particularly involving Steve Mounié for Benin, could decide the contest. With both teams just starting their campaigns, a low-scoring game is likely, making ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ and ‘Both Teams to Score: No’ attractive propositions. Punters seeking value should consider Benin in the draw-no-bet market or look to player props around Mounié.

Disclaimer & Responsible Gambling

All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. For more information and support, visit BeGambleAware.org. You must be 18 or over to gamble.

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