Burnley vs Liverpool Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

Joe Vaughan 03 Mar 2026

League leaders Liverpool make the short journey to Turf Moor on Sunday, as they prepare to face Burnley at 2pm in the Premier League.

The Reds have started with three wins from three games and now face a Clarets team that won their first home game of the season, when beating Sunderland 2-0.

Arne Slot will know the champions have not yet been at their best and with many of his players flying back from international duty this week, it might take a while to get going.

Premier League

14:00

14 Sep

Home

9/1

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Draw

47/10

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Away

4/11

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Odds correct at the time of writing

Burnley vs Liverpool Predictions

Full Time Result: Liverpool Win
Correct Score: 1-2
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
First Goalscorer: Hugo Ekitike

Burnley vs Liverpool Tips

Our Tip Methodology

At FootballTips, every prediction is shaped by a mix of data-driven analysis and informed football insight. Our contributors consider a wide range of factors before recommending a bet – from recent form and head-to-head records to tactical matchups, team news, and underlying stats.

We look for patterns in goal trends, home and away splits, player performance, and betting market movement to identify where the value lies. We don’t just tip favourites – we aim to find selections that offer a genuine edge. Whether it’s a goalscorer angle, a BTTS trend, or a high-priced underdog, each tip is backed by research and reasoning to help you bet smarter.

Why We’re Backing Draw HT/Liverpool FT @ 18/5 with BetMGM

Six of Liverpool’s eight Premier League goals have come in the second half.
The Reds’ winning goals in the first three matches have been scored in 88, 90 +10 and 83 minutes.
The majority of the visitors’ squad have been away on international duty in the last week.

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Why We’re Backing Hugo Ekitike First Goalscorer @ 17/4 with Betfred

Ekitike scored the opener in his first two games – the Community Shield vs Crystal Palace and the win over Bournemouth.
The Frenchman seems certain to start, with Alexander Isak still working on his fitness after missing pre-season.
Ekitike has an xG of 1.22 after his first three league appearances.

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Burnley Form/Stats

Burnley have failed to score in their last four home meetings with Liverpool.
The Clarets have scored two goals in both of their home matches this term, against Sunderland in the league and Derby in the EFL Cup.

Liverpool Form/Stats

Liverpool have averaged 2.6 goals per game across their first three league games.
The Merseysiders have won on their last six visits to Turf Moor, including a 0-2 win on Boxing Day 2023.
Liverpool’s clean sheet against Arsenal was their first in eight Premier League matches.
Mohamed Salah has never scored at Turf Moor and has bagged just once in 10 appearances against the Clarets.

Player to Watch

Hugo Ekitike has made a big impact since his summer move to Anfield from Eintracht Frankfurt, with two goals in his opening three league appearances.

Despite the record-breaking addition of Alexander Isak on transfer deadline day, Ekitike is expected to lead the line at Burnley with questions over the Swede’s match fitness.

Nobody in the Liverpool squad has had more shots than the French forward, who has five across the first three matches.

Burnley vs Liverpool Head-to-Head Record

Liverpool 3-1 Burnley (Feb 2024)
Burnley 0-2 Liverpool (Dec 2023)
Burnley 0-1 Liverpool (Feb 2022)
Liverpool 2-0 Burnley (Aug 2021)
Burnley 0-3 Liverpool (May 2021)

Over 2.5 Goals would have landed in four of the last six meetings between the teams at Turf Moor.

Both teams have scored in just two of their last eight match-ups and both of those games were at Anfield.

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