Benin and Senegal meet in an Africa Cup of Nations tie on Tuesday 30th December 2025. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for the Africa Cup of Nations fixture below in this match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | CAF Africa Cup of Nations |
| Matchday | Group Stage |
| Date | 30 December 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 19:00 (UK time) |
| Venue | |
| Broadcast | Sky Sports, SuperSport, CAFOnline.com |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Senegal Win | ★★★★☆ |
| Correct Score | Benin 0-2 Senegal | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | No | ★★★☆☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ |
Senegal have made a strong start to their Africa Cup of Nations campaign, sitting top of the group with four points from two matches (one win, one draw), scoring four goals and conceding just one. Their attacking metrics are impressive: an average of 19.5 shots per game and 66.1% average possession, with 88.94% pass accuracy, highlighting their technical superiority and dominance in most areas of the pitch.
Benin, by contrast, have recorded one win and one defeat, scoring just once and conceding once. Their games have been tight, with matches averaging just one goal either way. Benin maintain a possession average of 56% and a pass accuracy of 84.62%, but their shot accuracy is just 23.81% — only 6 of 22 shots have been on target in their two group matches.
Gernot Rohr’s Benin are likely to set up conservatively, focusing on defensive organisation and disciplined shape. Their approach so far has relied on a compact back line with occasional forays forward, usually through set pieces or quick transitions led by Steve Mounié. Benin’s defenders, especially Yohan Cedric Benjamin Roche, have been key in both defence and in launching rare attacks.
Senegal under Pape Bouna Thiaw typically play a possession-based game, pressing high and seeking to overload midfield with technical players like Pape Matar Sarr and Ismaila Sarr. The presence of Nicolas Jackson up front provides a direct threat, while wide players such as Ismail Joshua Jakobs and Sadio Mané stretch the play and create space. Expect Senegal to dominate the ball and try to break down Benin’s deep block, utilising their superior passing and movement in the final third.
| Statistic | Benin | Senegal |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 3rd | 1st |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | Not available | Not available |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | Not available | Not available |
Senegal’s Nicolas Jackson has emerged as a crucial figure in this tournament. In two group matches, he has scored twice, leading the team’s goal tally. Jackson boasts a 42.86% shot accuracy — meaning that nearly 43% of his efforts test the goalkeeper — and a remarkable 90.38% pass accuracy for a striker, demonstrating both efficiency and technical quality. He also leads Senegal with four big chance assists, underlining his ability to create as well as finish. With Benin likely to sit deep, Jackson’s movement and ability to find space in the box could be decisive.
This Africa Cup of Nations clash sees group leaders Senegal take on a defensively resilient Benin side. With Senegal’s attacking power, technical superiority, and recent form, they are justifiably favourites. However, Benin’s defensive organisation cannot be underestimated, making the draw a value play at 4/1. Nicolas Jackson and Sadio Mané are the key players to watch in attack for Senegal, while Benin will look to frustrate and hit on the break. Expect a measured approach from both, with Senegal likely edging a low-scoring contest. Key betting angles include backing the draw at value odds, and Mané to score first in a tight game.
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