Atletico Madrid and Valencia meet in a La Liga tie on Saturday 13th December 2025 at 13:00 GMT. Find predictions, stats, and betting tips for this La Liga fixture below in this expert match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Matchday | 17 |
| Date | Saturday 13 December 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 13:00 GMT |
| Venue | Civitas Metropolitano, Madrid |
| Broadcast | Viaplay Sports, LaLigaTV (UK) |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Atletico Madrid Win | ★★★★★ |
| Correct Score | 2-0 Atletico Madrid | ★★★★☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | No | ★★★☆☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ |
Analysis: Atletico Madrid have kept 6 clean sheets this season and have conceded just 15 goals in 16 matches – a testament to their traditional defensive solidity. Valencia, by contrast, have managed just 14 goals all campaign and are among the lowest scorers in the league, averaging less than a goal per match. The head-to-head history is overwhelmingly in Atletico’s favour: they have won 11 of the last 17 meetings and kept Valencia scoreless in four of the last five at home. Given Atletico’s dominant shot suppression and Valencia’s struggles in attack (31.25% shot accuracy, third lowest in La Liga), this is a well-priced selection at odds-against.
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Analysis: Griezmann remains the chief attacking threat for Atletico, consistently involved in their best moves and likely to lead the line here. His experience and movement make him a major threat against a Valencia side that has conceded 23 goals in 15 games. While Griezmann does not feature in the league’s top scorers currently, his ability to find scoring chances is reflected in Atletico’s high xG (19.61) and shot volume (90 on target). With Valencia susceptible to breakdowns and Griezmann a regular penalty taker, the price of 9/5 represents fair value.
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| Statistic | Atletico Madrid | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 4th | 16th |
| Goals Scored | 28 | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 15 | 23 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 27.2 | 15.7 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 18.4 | 21.0 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2025 | Valencia 0-3 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Atletico Madrid 3-0 Valencia | La Liga |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Atletico Madrid 2-0 Valencia | La Liga |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Valencia 3-0 Atletico Madrid | La Liga |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Atletico Madrid 3-0 Valencia | La Liga |
Griezmann is Atletico’s attacking talisman, offering creativity, intelligence, and a consistent goal threat. While not currently among La Liga’s top three scorers, he leads the line for a side with 28 goals this season and is the designated penalty taker. Griezmann has contributed crucial goals in recent home victories, and his ability to drop deep, combine with midfielders, and arrive late in the box will be vital against a Valencia team that often defends in numbers. With Atletico’s high shot count and Griezmann’s experience in big matches, expect him to play a central role both as a scorer and creator.
Atletico Madrid come into this fixture with all the momentum, boasting a vastly superior goal tally, defensive record, and a history of dominance over Valencia. Simeone’s side are expected to control the tempo, create more chances, and maintain their impressive home form. Valencia’s lack of attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities make an upset highly unlikely. Our main betting tip is Atletico Madrid to win to nil at 1/1, with Griezmann as a value selection to find the net. Both are supported by form and head-to-head trends.
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