Aston Villa vs Bologna Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

Luke Hamilton 03 Mar 2026
  • Examine predictions, stats and betting tips for the Europa League match between Aston Villa and Bologna on Thursday 25th September at 8pm.

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25 Sep
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Odds correct at the time of writing
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Aston Villa vs Bologna Predictions

  • Full Time Result: Aston Villa Win
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • Both Teams To Score: No
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
  • First Goalscorer: Harvey Elliott

Aston Villa vs Bologna Tips

Our Tip Methodology

At FootballTips, every prediction is shaped by a mix of data-driven analysis and informed football insight. Our contributors consider a wide range of factors before recommending a bet – from recent form and head-to-head records to tactical matchups, team news, and underlying stats.

We look for patterns in goal trends, home and away splits, player performance, and betting market movement to identify where the value lies. We don’t just tip favourites – we aim to find selections that offer a genuine edge. Whether it’s a goalscorer angle, a BTTS trend, or a high-priced underdog, each tip is backed by research and reasoning to help you bet smarter.

Why We’re Backing Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/5 with BetMGM

  • Both Aston Villa and Bologna have shown strong defensive organisation in recent matches, with Villa conceding few clear-cut chances at home and Bologna boasting one of Serie A’s lower xGA figures this season.
  • A majority of Bologna’s away games in 2025/26 have finished with under 2.5 goals, reflecting their conservative approach on the road.
  • Unai Emery and Vincenzo Italiano both favour compact mid-blocks and calculated build-up play, often resulting in fewer high-tempo, end-to-end sequences.
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Why We’re Backing Remo Freuler to be Carded @ 7/2 with Sky Bet

  • Freuler plays as Bologna’s primary ball-winning midfielder, tasked with breaking up opposition attacks – a role naturally prone to tactical fouls.
  • Historically, Freuler averages over 1.5 fouls per 90 minutes and has received a steady stream of bookings across Serie A and international play.

Aston Villa Form/Stats

  • Winless in their last five matches.
  • 3.85xG indicating underperformance in attack.

Bologna Form/Stats

  • They’re having similar scoring problems to Villa having only netted three goals in the Italian top division so far.
  • The Red and Blues have lost both of their two away games this term.

Player to Watch

Lewis Ferguson has been Bologna’s heartbeat since moving to Italy, and under Vincenzo Italiano he’s taken another step up as the side’s box-to-box leader. Ferguson combines a tireless engine with a knack for arriving late in the area, and his willingness to press aggressively in midfield gives Bologna an edge against technically stronger teams.

What makes Ferguson particularly interesting in this tie is his adaptability. With Bologna’s poor away form, Italiano often tasks him with dropping deeper to win second balls and orchestrate counters, meaning he’ll be directly involved in the game’s central battles against the likes of Boubacar Kamara and John McGinn.

Aston Villa vs Bologna Head-to-Head Record

Aston Villa and Bologna have faced off only once in October 2024 when the hosts ran out as 2-0 winners at Villa Park in a Champions League group phase match.

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