Alavés vs Mallorca Predictions, Odds & Preview – La Liga 25 April 2026

This La Liga relegation six-pointer sees Deportivo Alavés host Mallorca at the Estadio de Mendizorroza on Saturday afternoon, with both sides fighting desperately to preserve their top-flight status. With just two points and three places separating these struggling sides in the bottom half of the table, the stakes could hardly be higher at this crucial stage of the 2025/26 campaign.

The home side find themselves in the drop zone, sitting 18th on 33 points from 32 matches played. Under the guidance of manager Eduardo Coudet, Alavés have managed just eight victories all season, drawing nine and losing 15. Their goal difference of -12 reflects a side that has struggled at both ends of the pitch, scoring 36 goals while conceding 48.

Visitors Mallorca, managed by Jagoba Arrasate, occupy 15th position with 35 points from the same number of fixtures. Their record of nine wins, eight draws and 15 defeats demonstrates only marginally better form, with a goal difference of -9 telling a similar story of a team locked in a battle for survival. The visitors have found the net 40 times this term while shipping 49 at the other end.

Predictions Summary

La Liga Relegation Zone Table – Bottom 6

The relegation picture is extraordinarily tight. Mallorca’s two-point advantage over Alavés is the slimmest of margins, while just three points separate the visitors from the drop zone entirely. Below them, Levante sit on 32 points with basement side Real Oviedo looking increasingly doomed on 28 points.

A defeat for Alavés would be catastrophic. Not only would it allow Mallorca to open up a five-point cushion, but it would also leave the door open for Levante to potentially leapfrog them depending on results elsewhere. With only six matches remaining after this weekend, the points available are rapidly diminishing.

Team News & Squad Overview

Deportivo Alavés are managed by Eduardo Coudet, who will be demanding a response from his players after their precarious position became even more perilous. The Argentine tactician has experience in pressure situations and will know that home form is critical at this stage of the season.

Alavés have claimed just eight victories from their 32 league outings, with their 36 goals scored representing one of the more modest attacking returns in the division. Defensively, they have been breached 48 times, leaving them with that worrying -12 goal difference that could prove decisive should the points tally end level.

The home record at Mendizorroza has been a mixed bag this term, but they will be counting on their passionate supporters to create an intimidating atmosphere for this absolutely vital encounter. In relegation battles, the 12th man can often make the difference.

Mallorca, under the stewardship of Jagoba Arrasate, arrive knowing a positive result would provide significant breathing space between themselves and the relegation zone. The Basque coach has his own survival experience and will have his side drilled for the intensity this fixture demands.

The visitors have been marginally more prolific in front of goal, registering 40 strikes this season compared to Alavés’s 36. However, their defensive record is equally concerning, with 49 goals conceded highlighting vulnerabilities at the back that Alavés will look to exploit.

Mallorca’s away form will be under scrutiny, as picking up points on the road has proven challenging for many sides in the bottom half of La Liga this season. Arrasate will need his players to show character and composure in what promises to be a hostile environment.

Head-to-Head Analysis

The historical record between these two sides provides some encouragement for the home faithful. In the last 10 meetings between Alavés and Mallorca, the Vitoria-Gasteiz outfit have emerged victorious on four occasions, with Mallorca managing three wins and three matches ending in draws.

Alavés have scored 12 goals in those encounters compared to Mallorca’s 10, demonstrating a slight edge in attacking output when these teams meet. This home advantage in the head-to-head record could prove significant psychologically, giving Coudet’s men the belief they can get a result.

At the Estadio de Mendizorroza specifically, Alavés will fancy their chances of extending this positive record against their fellow strugglers. The intimate atmosphere of the stadium can make it a difficult venue for visiting teams, particularly those carrying the weight of their own relegation concerns.

Previous encounters between these sides have often been tight, tense affairs given their typically similar standing in the Spanish football pyramid. With so much on the line, Saturday’s meeting is unlikely to deviate from that pattern.

Prediction & Betting Tips

This is genuinely one of the most difficult fixtures to call, with both sides possessing similar levels of quality and equally desperate need for points. The permutations of what a win, draw or defeat means for each team creates a fascinating tactical dynamic.

Primary Prediction: Alavés Double Chance (Win or Draw) – The home side simply cannot afford to lose this match, and that desperation combined with their Mendizorroza fortress and superior head-to-head record makes them marginally the more likely to avoid defeat. At the prices available, backing Alavés with the draw as insurance offers the best value.

Both Teams to Score: Yes – Neither defence has covered themselves in glory this season, with both sides conceding approaching 50 goals. When the pressure is on, defensive organisation often suffers, and we expect both teams to find the net in what should be an open contest.

Under 2.5 Goals – Despite predicting both teams to score, the nervy nature of relegation six-pointers often leads to more cautious approaches as the match wears on. Managers become increasingly fearful of making the costly mistake, and the flow of the game can suffer as a result.

Correct Score: 1-1 Draw – If forced to pick a precise outcome, the draw appears the most probable result. Neither side can really afford to lose, which may lead to both teams adopting slightly conservative approaches. A point apiece would be far more palatable to Mallorca than Alavés, which could influence the pattern of play.

From a value perspective, the draw at 21/10 offers genuine appeal. These sides are incredibly evenly matched on paper, and the psychological weight of the occasion may ultimately cancel out any marginal technical advantages either possesses.

Match Odds Comparison

The bookmakers have Alavés as narrow favourites, which reflects both their home advantage and the desperation that comes with being in the bottom three. The draw is priced attractively at 21/10 across the board, while Mallorca are available at 12/5 for those who believe they can extend the gap to their hosts.

Where to Watch in the UK

This La Liga fixture will be available to UK viewers via Premier Sports and La Liga TV. Coverage typically begins 15-30 minutes before kick-off, allowing viewers to catch the pre-match build-up and team news.

Kick-off is scheduled for 13:00 UK time on Saturday 25th April 2026. Please check your local listings for exact broadcast details, as schedules are subject to change.

For those unable to watch live, highlights will be available on La Liga’s official YouTube channel and various sports news outlets throughout the evening.

Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Alavés vs Mallorca kick off?

The match kicks off at 13:00 UK time (14:00 local time in Vitoria-Gasteiz) on Saturday 25th April 2026.

Where is the Alavés vs Mallorca match being played?

The fixture takes place at the Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz, the home ground of Deportivo Alavés.

What are the implications of this result for the La Liga relegation battle?

This is a massive six-pointer. A win for Alavés would see them move level on points with Mallorca and potentially climb out of the relegation zone. A win for Mallorca would open up a five-point gap over Alavés and provide significant breathing space. A draw would maintain the status quo but could allow teams below Alavés to close the gap.