Match Overview
| Match Details |
Information |
| Competition |
La Liga |
| Matchday |
23 |
| Date |
Sunday, 8 February 2026 |
| Kick-off Time |
1:00pm (UK) |
| Venue |
Estadio de Mendizorroza |
| Broadcast |
Viaplay Sports |
Key Predictions & Confidence Score
| Market |
Prediction |
Confidence |
| Full-Time Result |
Alavés |
★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score |
1-0 Alavés |
★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score |
No |
★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals |
Under 2.5 |
★★★★☆ |
Top Betting Tips & Value Analysis
Value Bet: Alavés to Win
Odds: 5/4 with Bet365
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Alavés are slight favourites at home, and for good reason. They have created more quality opportunities this season, with an expected goals (xG) tally of 26.78 compared to Getafe’s 18.29. While Alavés have only 20 goals to show for their efforts, their dominance in possession (averaging 49.76% per match) and superior pass accuracy (80.73%) suggest they are likelier to control the tempo. Getafe have scored just 16 goals and their away form has been patchy, picking up only 6 wins all season. With Getafe’s scoring output largely reliant on efficient finishing from limited chances, Alavés’ creativity and home advantage could tip the balance.
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Player Prop Bet: Lucas Boyé Anytime Goalscorer
Odds: 9/4 with Bet365
Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: Boyé is one of Alavés’ joint top scorers this season, netting 5 times from an xG of 5.29. He also boasts a pass accuracy of 74.71%, indicating his involvement in build-up play as well as finishing. Crucially, Boyé’s shot accuracy is significantly higher than Carlos Vicente’s, suggesting he’s the most likely Alavés player to convert. Given Getafe have conceded 27 goals in 22 matches and Boyé’s knack for finding spaces between defenders, he’s a solid value pick in a low-scoring encounter.
1
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In-Depth Match Analysis
Recent Form and Performance
Alavés come into this fixture sitting 10th in La Liga, with 25 points from 22 matches. They have won 7, drawn 4, and lost 11, with a goal difference of -7. Their recent performances have been steady, if unspectacular, regularly controlling games but not always turning possession into goals. They have scored 20 times but their xG suggests they should have found the net more frequently.
Getafe, meanwhile, are 17th, just two points behind Alavés but with the same number of games played. Their attack has been less prolific, scoring only 16 goals. However, what stands out is that 15 of those goals have been assisted, indicating a heavy reliance on team moves rather than individual brilliance. Both sides have conceded 27 goals this season, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Tactical Breakdown
Alavés generally play a possession-based style, aiming to build from the back and dominate the midfield through short, accurate passing. Their average pass accuracy is 80.73%, and they maintain close to 50% of the ball in matches—impressive for a team in the bottom half. Their struggles have come in the final third, where they have underperformed their xG.
Getafe, under José Bordalás, typically favour a compact, disciplined setup, looking to frustrate opponents and strike on the counter. Their possession stats are lower (41.69%), and their pass accuracy is just 70.66%. Expect Getafe to cede territory and look for quick transitions, with Borja Mayoral a key target for breakaways.
Key Player Matchups
- Carlos Vicente (Alavés) vs. Getafe Midfield: Vicente is Alavés’ creative engine, producing 26 big chance assists and almost 5 expected assists (xa). If he can find space between Getafe’s midfield and defence, he could unlock the visitors’ backline.
- Borja Mayoral (Getafe) vs. Alavés Defence: Mayoral has scored 4 goals from just 8 shots on target (50% accuracy), making him a threat even if Getafe are on the back foot. Alavés’ defenders must remain alert to his movement and quick finishing.
Head-to-Head Record & Statistical Analysis
| Statistic |
Alavés |
Getafe |
| League Position |
10 |
17 |
| Goals Scored |
20 |
16 |
| Goals Conceded |
27 |
27 |
Last 5 Results
| Date |
Result |
Competition |
| 24 Sep 2025 |
Getafe 1-1 Alavés |
La Liga |
| 9 Feb 2025 |
Alavés 0-1 Getafe |
La Liga |
| 28 Sep 2024 |
Getafe 2-0 Alavés |
La Liga |
| 18 May 2024 |
Alavés 1-0 Getafe |
La Liga |
| 28 Aug 2023 |
Getafe 1-0 Alavés |
La Liga |
Player Spotlight: Carlos Vicente
Carlos Vicente is arguably the most influential player on the pitch for Alavés. His statistics speak volumes: 5 goals, an exceptional 26 big chance assists, and an xa (expected assists) of 4.79. While his shot accuracy is just 20% (meaning one in five efforts troubles the keeper), it is his creativity that stands out. Vicente’s passing accuracy of 79.49% and his ability to carve out opportunities for teammates could prove decisive, especially against a deep-lying Getafe defence. In a match where margins are likely to be fine, Vicente’s vision and technical ability make him a player to watch.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Alavés vs. Getafe match?
A: Alavés are the favourites, with home advantage and a more creative attacking profile, despite Getafe’s recent head-to-head dominance.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The top value selections feature Alavés to win, Boyé as an anytime goalscorer, and under 2.5 goals, based on current form and tactical trends.
Q: Where can I watch the Alavés vs. Getafe match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on Viaplay Sports in the UK.
Conclusion & Key Takeaways
This is a pivotal fixture for both sides. Alavés have the creative edge and home advantage, but Getafe’s efficiency means they cannot be underestimated. The stats suggest a tight game, likely to be decided by a moment of quality from the likes of Carlos Vicente or Lucas Boyé. With both teams struggling for goals and favouring structured defences, under 2.5 goals looks a strong play, while Alavés’ creative strength makes them worthy favourites at a backable price.
Disclaimer & Responsible Gambling
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