Alavés vs Getafe Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

andrewfrancis 03 Mar 2026
  • With both sides desperate to pull away from the bottom half of the table, Alavés host Getafe at Estadio de Mendizorroza in a crucial La Liga clash. Getafe have had the better of recent encounters, but Alavés have shown more creativity this season despite a lack of clinical finishing. Kick-off is at 1:00pm on Sunday, 8 February 2026, and the match can be seen live on Viaplay Sports.

La Liga
13:00
08 Feb
v
Odds correct at the time of writing
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Match Overview

Match Details Information
Competition La Liga
Matchday 23
Date Sunday, 8 February 2026
Kick-off Time 1:00pm (UK)
Venue Estadio de Mendizorroza
Broadcast Viaplay Sports

Key Predictions & Confidence Score

Market Prediction Confidence
Full-Time Result Alavés ★★★☆☆
Correct Score 1-0 Alavés ★★★☆☆
Both Teams to Score No ★★★★☆
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Under 2.5 ★★★★☆

Top Betting Tips & Value Analysis

Value Bet: Alavés to Win

Odds: 5/4 with Bet365
Value Rating: ★★★★☆

Analysis: Alavés are slight favourites at home, and for good reason. They have created more quality opportunities this season, with an expected goals (xG) tally of 26.78 compared to Getafe’s 18.29. While Alavés have only 20 goals to show for their efforts, their dominance in possession (averaging 49.76% per match) and superior pass accuracy (80.73%) suggest they are likelier to control the tempo. Getafe have scored just 16 goals and their away form has been patchy, picking up only 6 wins all season. With Getafe’s scoring output largely reliant on efficient finishing from limited chances, Alavés’ creativity and home advantage could tip the balance.

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Player Prop Bet: Lucas Boyé Anytime Goalscorer

Odds: 9/4 with Bet365
Value Rating: ★★★☆☆

Analysis: Boyé is one of Alavés’ joint top scorers this season, netting 5 times from an xG of 5.29. He also boasts a pass accuracy of 74.71%, indicating his involvement in build-up play as well as finishing. Crucially, Boyé’s shot accuracy is significantly higher than Carlos Vicente’s, suggesting he’s the most likely Alavés player to convert. Given Getafe have conceded 27 goals in 22 matches and Boyé’s knack for finding spaces between defenders, he’s a solid value pick in a low-scoring encounter.

1

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In-Depth Match Analysis

Recent Form and Performance

Alavés come into this fixture sitting 10th in La Liga, with 25 points from 22 matches. They have won 7, drawn 4, and lost 11, with a goal difference of -7. Their recent performances have been steady, if unspectacular, regularly controlling games but not always turning possession into goals. They have scored 20 times but their xG suggests they should have found the net more frequently.

Getafe, meanwhile, are 17th, just two points behind Alavés but with the same number of games played. Their attack has been less prolific, scoring only 16 goals. However, what stands out is that 15 of those goals have been assisted, indicating a heavy reliance on team moves rather than individual brilliance. Both sides have conceded 27 goals this season, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Tactical Breakdown

Alavés generally play a possession-based style, aiming to build from the back and dominate the midfield through short, accurate passing. Their average pass accuracy is 80.73%, and they maintain close to 50% of the ball in matches—impressive for a team in the bottom half. Their struggles have come in the final third, where they have underperformed their xG.

Getafe, under José Bordalás, typically favour a compact, disciplined setup, looking to frustrate opponents and strike on the counter. Their possession stats are lower (41.69%), and their pass accuracy is just 70.66%. Expect Getafe to cede territory and look for quick transitions, with Borja Mayoral a key target for breakaways.

Key Player Matchups

  • Carlos Vicente (Alavés) vs. Getafe Midfield: Vicente is Alavés’ creative engine, producing 26 big chance assists and almost 5 expected assists (xa). If he can find space between Getafe’s midfield and defence, he could unlock the visitors’ backline.
  • Borja Mayoral (Getafe) vs. Alavés Defence: Mayoral has scored 4 goals from just 8 shots on target (50% accuracy), making him a threat even if Getafe are on the back foot. Alavés’ defenders must remain alert to his movement and quick finishing.

Head-to-Head Record & Statistical Analysis

Statistic Alavés Getafe
League Position 10 17
Goals Scored 20 16
Goals Conceded 27 27

Last 5 Results

Date Result Competition
24 Sep 2025 Getafe 1-1 Alavés La Liga
9 Feb 2025 Alavés 0-1 Getafe La Liga
28 Sep 2024 Getafe 2-0 Alavés La Liga
18 May 2024 Alavés 1-0 Getafe La Liga
28 Aug 2023 Getafe 1-0 Alavés La Liga

Player Spotlight: Carlos Vicente

Carlos Vicente is arguably the most influential player on the pitch for Alavés. His statistics speak volumes: 5 goals, an exceptional 26 big chance assists, and an xa (expected assists) of 4.79. While his shot accuracy is just 20% (meaning one in five efforts troubles the keeper), it is his creativity that stands out. Vicente’s passing accuracy of 79.49% and his ability to carve out opportunities for teammates could prove decisive, especially against a deep-lying Getafe defence. In a match where margins are likely to be fine, Vicente’s vision and technical ability make him a player to watch.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Who is the favourite to win the Alavés vs. Getafe match?
A: Alavés are the favourites, with home advantage and a more creative attacking profile, despite Getafe’s recent head-to-head dominance.

Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The top value selections feature Alavés to win, Boyé as an anytime goalscorer, and under 2.5 goals, based on current form and tactical trends.

Q: Where can I watch the Alavés vs. Getafe match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on Viaplay Sports in the UK.

Conclusion & Key Takeaways

This is a pivotal fixture for both sides. Alavés have the creative edge and home advantage, but Getafe’s efficiency means they cannot be underestimated. The stats suggest a tight game, likely to be decided by a moment of quality from the likes of Carlos Vicente or Lucas Boyé. With both teams struggling for goals and favouring structured defences, under 2.5 goals looks a strong play, while Alavés’ creative strength makes them worthy favourites at a backable price.

Disclaimer & Responsible Gambling

All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. For more information and support, visit BeGambleAware.org. You must be 18 or over to gamble.

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