AFCON 2025 Top Goalscorer Odds & Betting Preview
AFCON 2025 now reaches its closing weekend, and the top goalscorer market has narrowed to a clear late-stage equation. With just the third-place play-off and final remaining, opportunity now outweighs volume, and a single goal could be decisive.
At this point in the tournament, the market is driven by three factors only: current goal totals, match involvement, and remaining fixtures. Penalty responsibility and team context remain important, but with minutes now capped, late-stage efficiency – not sustained attacking output – will determine the winner.
This article reflects the latest prices and scenarios ahead of AFCON 2025’s conclusion.
AFCON 2025 Top Goalscorer Odds
| Player | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Brahim Díaz | 4/11 | Bet365 |
| Victor Osimhen | 9/2 | Unibet |
| Mohamed Salah | 13/2 | Bet365 |
| Ademola Lookman | 20/1 | Betfair |
Odds subject to change.
AFCON 2025 Top Goalscorer Favourite
Brahim Díaz – Morocco (5 goals)
Brahim Díaz enters the final as the clear favourite, holding a one-goal lead and crucially featuring in Sunday’s AFCON final. That combination — advantage plus opportunity — underpins his short price.
Morocco’s control-heavy style continues to suit Díaz’s role between the lines, allowing him to remain involved in decisive phases even as games tighten. Unlike his nearest rivals, Díaz does not need to chase — he simply needs to maintain his current position, with Morocco’s progression already guaranteeing him another 90 minutes.
At this stage, others must now outscore him, not match him.
Leading Challengers (Third-Place Play-Off)
Victor Osimhen – Nigeria (4 goals)
Osimhen remains the most credible threat numerically, sitting just one goal behind Díaz and featuring in Saturday’s third-place play-off. Nigeria’s attacking focus ensures that most high-quality chances continue to funnel through him.
However, without a final appearance, Osimhen’s path requires either a multi-goal performance or Díaz failing to add in the final. While possible, the fixture imbalance limits his upside relative to the market leader.
Mohamed Salah – Egypt (4 goals)
Salah mirrors Osimhen’s situation: one goal back and involved only in the third-place play-off. His advantage lies in penalty responsibility and Egypt’s reliance on decisive moments rather than sustained pressure.
A goal on Saturday would immediately put pressure on Díaz, but without access to the final, Salah’s route to outright victory is narrow and timing-dependent.
Outsider With Limited Upside
Ademola Lookman – Nigeria (3 goals)
Lookman remains priced as an outsider and realistically requires a high-impact performance in the third-place play-off to re-enter contention. While Nigeria’s attacking volatility can create unexpected chances, the combination of goal deficit and fixture limitation makes his path difficult.
AFCON Top Goalscorer Betting Insight (Final Weekend)
- One goal may decide the market
- Final participation carries a major structural edge
- Penalty duties still matter, but minutes now dominate
- Third-place play-off scorers must hope the final stays goalless
Betting Verdict
Brahim Díaz to finish AFCON 2025 Top Goalscorer
With a one-goal lead and guaranteed involvement in the final, Díaz holds the strongest position mathematically and tactically. While challengers have one last opportunity on Saturday, the fixture imbalance heavily favours the Moroccan playmaker heading into Sunday.
