Cremonese vs Lazio Preview, Predictions & Betting Tips | FootballTips

George Fisher 13 May 2026

Monday evening sees a crucial Serie A fixture at the Stadio Giovanni Zini as relegation-threatened Cremonese host eighth-placed Lazio in a match that carries significant weight for both sides. Kick-off is scheduled for 17:30 GMT+1.

Cremonese find themselves in a desperate position, sitting 18th in the table with just 28 points from 34 matches. With only four games remaining in the season, the Grigiorossi are in serious danger of dropping out of Italy’s top flight. Lazio, meanwhile, are locked in a battle for European qualification and will view this as a golden opportunity to close the gap on the teams above them.

Match Predictions Summary

Market Prediction Confidence Reasoning
Match Result Lazio Win ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Lazio have 20 more points than Cremonese; superior quality in attack with Boulaye Dia and Mattia Zaccagni
Both Teams to Score Yes ⭐⭐⭐ Cremonese fighting for survival at home; Lazio have conceded in 8 of last 10 away matches
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Over 2.5 ⭐⭐⭐ Cremonese must attack; Lazio have quality forwards; four of last five Lazio games went over
Correct Score 1-2 Lazio ⭐⭐⭐ Tight contest expected but Lazio’s quality should see them through

Cremonese vs Lazio Odds Comparison

The bookmakers have made Lazio clear favourites for this encounter, with the Biancocelesti available at best odds of 13/10. Cremonese are priced as underdogs despite home advantage, while the draw offers reasonable value.

Match Result Odds

Bookmaker Cremonese Win Draw Lazio Win Claim Offer
bet365 11/5 9/4 13/10 Claim Offer
Paddy Power 11/5 2/1 5/4 Claim Offer
Sky Bet 2/1 2/1 7/5 Claim Offer
Betfred 2/1 9/4 13/10 Claim Offer
BetMGM 85/40 9/4 6/5 Claim Offer
BoyleSports 2/1 2/1 5/4 Claim Offer
William Hill 2/1 2/1 13/10 Claim Offer

Both Teams To Score Odds

Bookmaker Yes No Claim Offer
bet365 10/11 10/11 Claim Offer
Paddy Power 5/6 5/6 Claim Offer
Betfred 10/11 4/5 Claim Offer
Sky Bet 4/5 10/11 Claim Offer
William Hill 5/6 5/6 Claim Offer

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Team News & Squad Analysis

Cremonese

Manager: Marco Giampaolo

The Grigiorossi are fighting for their Serie A survival and will look to experienced campaigners to lead the charge. The squad features a blend of Serie A veterans and exciting attacking talent.

Key Players:

  • Jamie Vardy – The former Leicester City striker brings Premier League winning experience and a predatory instinct in front of goal. At 39, he remains a dangerous finisher.
  • David Okereke – The Nigerian forward has pace and trickery to trouble any defence.
  • Antonio Sanabria – The Paraguayan striker offers physical presence and aerial threat.
  • Milan Djuric – A towering target man who provides a focal point for Cremonese’s attack.
  • Marco Silvestri – The experienced goalkeeper will need to be at his best to keep Lazio at bay.

Squad Overview: Goalkeepers include Marco Silvestri, Emil Audero, Adrián Malovec, and Lapo Nava. The defence features Federico Baschirotto, Sebastiano Luperto, Matteo Bianchetti, Federico Ceccherini, and Giuseppe Pezzella. Midfield options include Warren Bondo, Morten Thorsby, Alberto Grassi, Youssef Maleh, and Martín Payero. Attackers include Federico Bonazzoli, Faris Moumbagna, Alessio Zerbin, and Nouroudine Faye alongside Vardy, Okereke, Sanabria, and Djuric.

Lazio

Manager: Maurizio Sarri

The Biancocelesti remain under the guidance of Maurizio Sarri, whose possession-based, high-intensity style has produced mixed results this season. Lazio possess genuine quality throughout their squad and will be confident of taking all three points.

Key Players:

  • Boulaye Dia – The Senegalese forward has been a revelation since arriving and remains Lazio’s primary goal threat.
  • Mattia Zaccagni – The Italian winger provides creativity, set-piece delivery, and an eye for goal.
  • Pedro – The veteran Spanish forward brings Champions League winning experience and clinical finishing.
  • Daniel Maldini – Son of Paolo and grandson of Cesare, the young attacker is beginning to make his own name in Serie A.
  • Ivan Provedel – One of Serie A’s finest goalkeepers and a commanding presence between the posts.
  • Alessio Romagnoli – The former Milan captain anchors the defence with leadership and composure.

Squad Overview: Goalkeepers include Ivan Provedel, Edoardo Motta, Nicolò Pannozzo, and Alessio Furlanetto. The defence features Alessio Romagnoli, Adam Marusic, Samuel Gigot, Oliver Provstgaard, Luca Pellegrini, Nuno Tavares, Elseid Hysaj, Mario Gila, and Patric. Midfield options include Mattia Zaccagni, Manuel Lazzari, Nicolò Rovella, Danilo Cataldi, Kenneth Taylor, Reda Belahyane, Toma Basic, and Fisayo Dele-Bashiru. Attackers include Boulaye Dia, Pedro, Gustav Isaksen, Daniel Maldini, Matteo Cancellieri, Tijjani Noslin, Saná Fernandes, and Petar Ratkov.

Serie A Table Context

Cremonese’s situation makes grim reading. With 28 points from 34 matches (6 wins, 10 draws, 18 defeats), they sit second from bottom and six points adrift of safety. Their goal difference of -25 tells the story of a side that has struggled at both ends of the pitch – scoring just 26 goals while conceding 51.

Lazio occupy eighth place with 48 points from their 34 fixtures (12 wins, 12 draws, 10 losses). While European qualification remains mathematically possible, the Biancocelesti need a strong finish to overturn the deficit to the top six. Their +4 goal difference (37 scored, 33 conceded) reflects a season of inconsistency.

The gap between these sides is stark – 20 points separate them in the standings, and Lazio have played one match fewer in terms of available points remaining.

Tactical Analysis

Cremonese’s Approach

Manager Marco Giampaolo typically favours a possession-based 4-3-3 system, though results have been difficult to come by. Against superior opposition like Lazio, Cremonese may look to sit deeper and utilise the pace of Okereke and Vardy’s movement to counter-attack. Set pieces could prove crucial – the aerial threat of Djuric and Sanabria gives them a route to goal against Lazio’s sometimes vulnerable defence.

Lazio’s Approach

Maurizio Sarri’s 4-3-3 relies heavily on patient build-up play, positional rotations, and quick combinations in the final third. Zaccagni will look to drift inside from the left, while the full-backs – likely Marusic and Pellegrini or Tavares – provide width. The midfield trio of Rovella, Cataldi, and one of Belahyane or Dele-Bashiru must control tempo and prevent Cremonese from gaining momentum.

Lazio’s defensive vulnerabilities on the counter could be exposed if they overcommit, which is precisely what Cremonese will hope for.

Key Betting Insights

Lazio to Win: At 13/10 with bet365, this represents solid value. The gulf in class between these sides is significant, and Lazio have far more riding on this match than mere pride. Cremonese’s home advantage is mitigated by their poor record at the Zini.

Both Teams to Score – Yes: Priced at 10/11 with bet365. Cremonese have found the net in 6 of their last 8 home matches, while Lazio have kept just 2 clean sheets in their last 10 away games. With the hosts desperate for points, they will commit bodies forward.

Over 2.5 Goals: Available around evens. Four of Lazio’s last five matches have seen three or more goals, and Cremonese’s need to attack should create an open contest.

Anytime Goalscorer – Boulaye Dia: The Lazio forward has been in excellent form and will fancy his chances against a defence that has conceded 51 goals this season.

Head-to-Head History

The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a 2-1 victory for Lazio at the Stadio Olimpico, with goals from Zaccagni and Dia securing the points. Historically, Lazio have dominated this fixture, though Cremonese did claim a memorable victory in their last top-flight encounter during the 2022/23 season.

The Stadio Giovanni Zini has witnessed some spirited displays from the home side against big clubs this season, but converting fighting performances into points has been their Achilles’ heel.

Our Verdict

This fixture presents a classic clash of motivations. Cremonese are fighting for their Serie A lives and will throw everything at Lazio, particularly in the opening exchanges. However, the quality differential is substantial, and Maurizio Sarri’s side possess the technical ability and attacking firepower to exploit spaces left by the hosts.

We anticipate an open, entertaining contest with Lazio ultimately prevailing. Cremonese may find the net given their desperation and Lazio’s defensive frailties, but the visitors should have enough to secure the three points.

Best Bet: Lazio to win and Both Teams to Score – available as a combined bet at enhanced odds with most major bookmakers.

Score Prediction: Cremonese 1-2 Lazio

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All odds correct at time of publication. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

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