Parma vs Pisa Predictions, Odds & Preview – Serie A 25 April 2026

George Fisher 13 May 2026

The Serie A relegation battle reaches its final, desperate stages this Saturday as Parma welcome basement-dwelling Pisa to the Stadio Ennio Tardini. With just five matches remaining in the 2025/26 campaign, the mathematics are brutally simple for the visitors: Pisa must win virtually every remaining fixture and hope for an extraordinary combination of results elsewhere to have any hope of preserving their top-flight status beyond this season.

Currently rooted to the foot of the table on just 18 points from 33 games, Oscar Hiljemark’s side have won only twice all season—a frankly astonishing record that has left them staring Serie B in the face. The former Genoa midfielder turned manager faces what can only be described as an impossible task, yet football has taught us time and again that miracles can happen when desperation meets opportunity.

For Parma, the situation is markedly different. Sitting in 14th place with 39 points, Carlos Cuesta’s men are mathematically safe from the drop but have endured a difficult campaign by their own standards. The Crociati have struggled for goals all season, managing just 24 in 33 outings—the same tally as bottom-placed Pisa, remarkably—but their defensive record has proven the difference between safety and the scrapheap.

Serie A Relegation Battle: The Bottom Five

The relegation picture in Italy’s top flight has been one of the most gripping storylines throughout this campaign, and as we enter the final stretch, the battle to avoid the drop remains fierce with multiple clubs still looking over their shoulders.

PositionTeamPointsPlayedGoal Difference
16Cagliari3333-8
17Lecce2833-15
18Cremonese2834-19
19Hellas Verona1833-28
20Pisa1833-36

The situation at the bottom makes for fascinating reading. Cagliari occupy the final safe position in 16th with 33 points, five clear of the drop zone, though they will be watching nervously as the chasing pack still have time to mount a charge. Both Lecce and Cremonese sit on 28 points, with Cremonese having played a game more than their rivals, putting them at a slight disadvantage in the survival race.

Then comes the remarkable scenario at the very bottom. Both Hellas Verona and Pisa are locked on 18 points, with Verona’s superior goal difference keeping them just above the abyss. However, with such a slender margin separating them, Pisa know that any positive result here would drag their rivals back into the mire and potentially spark a final-day showdown for the ages.

Predictions & Betting Tips Summary

MarketPredictionConfidenceReasoning
Match ResultParma Win⭐⭐⭐⭐Home advantage against a side with just 2 wins all season
Both Teams to ScoreYes⭐⭐⭐Both teams have struggled defensively; Pisa have conceded 60 goals
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5⭐⭐⭐⭐Parma have scored only 24 goals in 33 league games
Correct ScoreParma 1-0⭐⭐⭐Tight contest expected with Pisa fighting for survival

Parma Team News & Squad Overview

Carlos Cuesta has overseen a campaign that will ultimately be remembered as one of consolidation rather than glory, but the young Spanish manager has at least ensured Parma’s Serie A status for another season. The Crociati’s problems have been primarily in front of goal—scoring just 24 times in 33 matches is a woeful return for a top-flight side, and it’s something Cuesta will surely look to address in the summer transfer window.

Defensively, Parma have been far from perfect, shipping 40 goals, but when compared to Pisa’s 60 conceded, they look like a fortress. The spine of the team has been crucial to their survival, with goalkeeper Zion Suzuki providing a reliable last line of defence. The Japanese international has been one of the standout performers in a difficult season.

The squad available to Cuesta includes several attacking options who will be eager to prove their worth. Gabriel Strefezza and Pontus Almqvist provide width and creativity from the flanks, while the likes of Mateo Pellegrino and Matija Frigan offer central striking threats. Argentine midfielder Adrián Bernabé has been a key creative force from deeper positions, with Hans Nicolussi Caviglia and Nahuel Estévez providing energy and tenacity in the middle of the park.

Young American talent Benjamín Cremaschi adds youthful exuberance to the midfield, while defenders like Lautaro Valenti, Alessandro Circati, and Enrico Delprato have formed a reasonably solid backline despite occasional lapses. Franco Carboni and Emanuele Valeri offer options at full-back, with Sascha Britschgi providing additional cover.

Parma Squad: Gabriel Strefezza, Pontus Almqvist, Mateo Pellegrino, Matija Frigan, Jacob Ondrejka, Adrián Bernabé, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Nahuel Estévez, Mandela Keita, Benjamín Cremaschi, Gaetano Oristanio, Lautaro Valenti, Alessandro Circati, Enrico Delprato, Franco Carboni, Emanuele Valeri, Sascha Britschgi, Zion Suzuki.

Pisa Team News & Squad Overview

Oscar Hiljemark’s first season in charge of Pisa has been nothing short of a nightmare. The former Sweden international midfielder took over with hopes of establishing the Tuscans as a competitive Serie A force after their promotion, but instead finds himself presiding over a campaign that looks destined to end in immediate relegation back to Serie B.

The statistics make grim reading for Pisa supporters. Just two wins in 33 league matches represents the worst record in the division by some distance, and their goal difference of minus 36 is the joint-worst alongside their plight at the foot of the table. Having conceded 60 goals while scoring only 24, it’s clear where the problems lie—pretty much everywhere.

Yet Hiljemark still has some talented individuals at his disposal who could yet produce a miracle. Mattéo Tramoni offers creativity in the final third, while the pace and trickery of Samuel Iling-Junior on the wing could trouble Parma’s backline. Rafiu Durosinmi and Stefano Moreo lead the attacking line, though neither has found the consistency required at this level.

The midfield engine room features experienced campaigners like Michel Aebischer and Marius Marin, with Calvin Stengs adding technical quality on his day. The evergreen Juan Cuadrado, now in the veteran stage of his career, brings invaluable experience from his time at top clubs, while youngsters like Ebenezer Akinsanmiro represent the future of the club—though that future may well be in the second tier.

Defensively, the presence of Raúl Albiol provides leadership and organisational qualities that have been sorely lacking, with Simone Canestrelli and Arturo Calabresi forming a makeshift backline that has struggled against Serie A’s better attacks. Felipe Loyola and Samuele Angori provide additional options, while goalkeeper Simone Scuffet has been kept busy all season despite his best efforts.

Pisa Squad: Mattéo Tramoni, Samuel Iling-Junior, Rafiu Durosinmi, Stefano Moreo, Henrik Meister, Filip Stojilkovic, Michel Aebischer, Calvin Stengs, Marius Marin, Juan Cuadrado, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Mehdi Léris, Raúl Albiol, Simone Canestrelli, Arturo Calabresi, Felipe Loyola, Samuele Angori, Simone Scuffet.



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Head-to-Head History

Unfortunately, there is limited top-flight history between these two clubs to draw upon. Pisa’s sporadic appearances in Serie A throughout their history mean that meetings between these sides at this level have been few and far between. What we do know is that Parma will be favourites based on current form and league position, but derby matches—or matches with this much riding on them—often produce unexpected results.

The lack of recent head-to-head data means we must look at broader trends to assess how this fixture might play out. Parma’s home record against the bottom six has been solid if unspectacular this season, while Pisa’s away form has been truly dismal, picking up just a handful of points on their travels.

Match Prediction & Analysis

From a purely analytical standpoint, this match should be a straightforward home victory. Parma have everything required to see off a Pisa side that has struggled all season: home advantage, superior quality, and the confidence of knowing their Serie A status is already secured. Pisa, meanwhile, arrive at the Tardini with the weight of the world on their shoulders, needing three points simply to keep their mathematical hopes alive.

However, football rarely follows the script when desperation is involved. Hiljemark’s men have nothing to lose and everything to gain, which can make them dangerous opponents. If they can score first, they may be able to hold onto a lead in a way they haven’t managed often enough this season. The presence of experienced heads like Cuadrado and Albiol could prove crucial in keeping the team organised and focused.

That said, Parma’s defensive solidity—relative to their opponents—should see them through. Cuesta will be keen for his side to finish the season on a positive note, and a win against the bottom club would help restore some confidence after a difficult campaign. The home side’s superior attacking options, particularly the creativity of Bernabé and the pace of Strefezza and Almqvist, should be enough to unlock a Pisa defence that has conceded 60 goals already.

Our prediction is a home win for Parma, but don’t be surprised if Pisa make them work for it. A 1-0 or 2-0 victory for the Crociati seems the most likely outcome, with the visitors giving their all but ultimately falling short against superior opposition.

Betting Tips & Best Bets

Parma to Win: At odds of around 11/10, the home victory represents decent value given the gulf in class and form between these sides. Pisa’s away record is abysmal, and Parma should have enough to see them off.

Under 2.5 Goals: With Parma scoring just 24 goals in 33 games and Pisa’s attack struggling for consistency, this could be a low-scoring affair. Both teams have found the back of the net just 24 times this season—a remarkable statistic that suggests goals will be at a premium.

Both Teams to Score – No: Given Parma’s defensive solidity relative to Pisa’s attacking struggles, there’s every chance the visitors will fail to find the net. Pisa have gone without scoring in numerous matches this season, and Parma could keep a clean sheet here.

Correct Score – Parma 1-0: For those looking for bigger odds, a 1-0 home win offers attractive returns. It’s a scoreline that fits the narrative of a tight contest where Parma’s quality eventually tells.

Latest Match Odds

Here are the latest odds from the UK’s leading bookmakers for this Serie A relegation clash:

BookmakerParma WinDrawPisa WinClaim Offer
bet36511/1021/105/2Claim Offer
Paddy Power11/1021/105/2Claim Offer
Sky Bet11/1021/105/2Claim Offer
BetMGM11/1021/105/2Claim Offer
BoyleSports11/1021/105/2Claim Offer
Betfred11/1021/105/2Claim Offer
Betway11/1021/105/2Claim Offer
William Hill11/1021/105/2Claim Offer


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Where to Watch Parma vs Pisa in the UK

UK viewers can catch all the action from the Stadio Ennio Tardini live on Premier Sports, which holds the broadcasting rights for Italian football in the United Kingdom. Coverage typically begins 15-30 minutes before kick-off, giving fans the chance to soak up the pre-match atmosphere and team news.

Kick-off is scheduled for 14:00 UK time on Saturday, 25th April 2026. For those unable to watch live, highlights will be available on various sports news platforms and the Premier Sports website following the conclusion of the match.

Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Parma vs Pisa kick off?

The match kicks off at 14:00 UK time on Saturday, 25th April 2026, at the Stadio Ennio Tardini in Parma.

Who are the managers for Parma and Pisa?

Parma are managed by Carlos Cuesta, while Pisa are under the guidance of Oscar Hiljemark.

Can Pisa still avoid relegation?

Mathematically, yes, but it would require a minor miracle. With just five games remaining and sitting bottom of the table on 18 points, Pisa would need to win virtually all their remaining fixtures while hoping results elsewhere go their way. Realistically, they are all but relegated.

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