Osasuna welcome Mallorca to the Estadio El Sadar on Saturday afternoon for this La Liga clash, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 GMT. The hosts will be looking to bounce back from their narrow defeat to Valencia last time out, while the visitors are desperate to halt a worrying run of form that has seen them lose four of their last five league fixtures.
Osasuna have established themselves as a formidable force on home soil this season, and the bookmakers have installed them as clear favourites at around 8/11. Mallorca, meanwhile, have struggled on their travels and will need to produce something special to come away from Pamplona with anything to show for their efforts.
| Market | Prediction | Confidence | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Osasuna Win | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Osasuna have won 3 of last 4 home matches; Mallorca lost 4 of last 5 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Osasuna kept clean sheets in 2 of last 5; Mallorca failed to score in 3 of last 5 |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | 4 of last 5 Osasuna home games went under; 3 of last 5 Mallorca away games under |
| Correct Score | 1-0 to Osasuna | ⭐⭐⭐ | Tight contests historically; low-scoring fixture expected |
The hosts are managed by Alessio Lisci, who has done an admirable job keeping Osasuna competitive in the upper half of the La Liga table. Lisci typically sets his side up in a 4-2-3-1 formation that prioritises defensive solidity while allowing creative freedom to the attacking midfielders.
In goal, Sergio Herrera remains the established first-choice keeper, with Aitor Fernández providing capable backup. The defensive unit is anchored by centre-back Alejandro Catena, who has been a commanding presence at the heart of the backline. Enzo Boyomo and Jorge Herrando provide additional defensive cover and competition for places.
At full-back, Juan Cruz and Abel Bretones offer width and attacking thrust down the flanks, while Valentin Rosier provides experience and versatility. Javi Galán adds further depth to the defensive ranks.
The midfield duo of Jon Moncayola and Lucas Torró offers the perfect blend of industry and creativity. Moncayola has been particularly impressive with his ability to control the tempo of matches, while Torró provides the defensive screening that allows the more attack-minded players to flourish.
Further forward, Aimar Oroz has been a revelation this season, operating in the number 10 role with intelligence and technical quality. Rubén García and Moi Gómez provide width and creativity from the flanks, while Kike Barja offers a direct option on the right wing.
Up front, Ante Budimir remains the focal point of the attack. The Croatian striker has been in excellent form this campaign, using his physicality and movement to trouble opposition defences. Raúl García provides an alternative option through the middle, while young Víctor Muñoz offers pace and dynamism from the bench.
The visitors are under the guidance of Martín Demichelis, the former Bayern Munich defender who is looking to instil his tactical philosophy at the Iberostar Estadi. Demichelis has typically favoured a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formation, though results have been mixed since his appointment.
Between the sticks, Iván Cuéllar (known as “Pichu”) brings a wealth of experience, while Leo Román and Lucas Bergström provide competition for the goalkeeper’s jersey. Nil Torreguitart is another option in the goalkeeping department.
The defensive line is marshalled by captain Antonio Raíllo, a no-nonsense centre-back who leads by example. He is partnered by Martin Valjent, with Marash Kumbulla and Iliesse Salhi providing additional central defensive options. At full-back, Johan Mojica offers attacking threat from the left, while Pablo Maffeo is a dynamic presence on the right flank. Toni Lato and Luis Orejuela add depth to the defensive unit.
In midfield, Sergi Darder is the creative hub of the team, responsible for dictating play and supplying the forwards. Omar Mascarell provides defensive cover and experience, while Manu Morlanes and Samú Costa offer energy and tenacity in the middle of the park. Pablo Torre, on loan from Barcelona, brings technical quality and vision, while Antonio Sánchez and Jan Salas provide additional options.
The attacking department is led by Vedat Muriqi, the Kosovo international striker who possesses strength and aerial ability. Abdón Prats offers a different option with his movement and link-up play, while Takuma Asano provides pace and trickery from the flanks. Mateo Joseph is a promising young forward, and Zito Luvumbo offers direct running and creativity. Justin Kalumba and Jan Virgili are additional attacking options available to Demichelis.
These two sides have met on 11 occasions in recent years, with the record remarkably balanced. Osasuna have claimed victory in 3 of those encounters, Mallorca have won 2, and the remaining 6 matches have ended in draws. Both teams have scored 15 goals apiece in these fixtures, highlighting how evenly matched they have been historically.
The most recent meeting between the sides came on 29 November 2025, when they played out a 2-2 draw at the Iberostar Estadi. That result was typical of this fixture, with neither side able to establish dominance over the other.
Looking back at their previous encounters at El Sadar, Osasuna have enjoyed the upper hand. On 24 August 2024, they secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Mallorca on home soil. Prior to that, on 14 May 2024, the two teams drew 1-1 in Pamplona. Osasuna also claimed a 1-0 win on 14 January 2023, demonstrating their ability to grind out results against this opposition at home.
Mallorca’s last victory at El Sadar came on 22 May 2022, when they secured a 2-0 win. However, that result stands as something of an anomaly in recent years, with Osasuna generally proving difficult to break down on their own patch.
The historical record suggests this is likely to be a tight, cagey affair. Six of the last 11 meetings have ended in draws, and only three of those matches have seen more than 2.5 goals scored. Both teams have found the net in just five of the last 11 encounters, pointing towards the value in the under 2.5 goals and “no” in the both teams to score markets.
Osasuna head into this fixture with a mixed bag of results from their last five La Liga outings:
Valencia 1-0 Osasuna (01/03/2026) – A frustrating away defeat at the Mestalla, where Osasuna were unable to break down a stubborn Valencia defence despite creating several decent chances.
Osasuna 2-1 Real Madrid (21/02/2026) – A sensational result for Lisci’s men, defeating the reigning champions at El Sadar. This victory demonstrated Osasuna’s quality and resilience against the division’s elite.
Elche 0-0 Osasuna (13/02/2026) – A goalless draw away from home, where defensive solidity was the order of the day. Neither side created enough clear-cut opportunities to warrant all three points.
Celta de Vigo 1-2 Osasuna (06/02/2026) – An impressive away victory at Balaídos, with Osasuna showing their counter-attacking prowess and defensive organisation.
Osasuna 2-2 Villarreal (31/01/2026) – A thrilling encounter at El Sadar that ended honours even. Osasuna twice came from behind to secure a point against a dangerous Villarreal side.
That run of results shows a side capable of competing with the best teams in the division, particularly at home. The victory over Real Madrid will have given the squad tremendous confidence, and they will be eager to build on that performance against Mallorca.
Mallorca’s recent form makes for concerning reading, with four defeats in their last five league matches:
Mallorca 0-1 Real Sociedad (28/02/2026) – A narrow home defeat where Mallorca were unable to convert their chances against a well-organised Real Sociedad side.
Celta de Vigo 2-0 Mallorca (22/02/2026) – A disappointing away display, with Mallorca failing to score and looking vulnerable at the back.
Mallorca 1-2 Real Betis (15/02/2026) – Another home defeat, conceding twice in the first half and unable to mount a successful comeback despite a spirited second-half showing.
Barcelona 3-0 Mallorca (07/02/2026) – A heavy defeat at the Camp Nou, where the gulf in class between the sides was evident. Mallorca struggled to contain Barcelona’s attacking threats throughout.
Mallorca 4-1 Sevilla (02/02/2026) – The one bright spot in an otherwise miserable run, with Mallorca producing an excellent attacking display to thrash Sevilla at home.
That 4-1 victory over Sevilla showed what Mallorca are capable of when everything clicks, but the subsequent four defeats suggest a side lacking confidence and struggling for consistency. Their inability to keep clean sheets has been particularly problematic, conceding in four of their last five matches.
| Bookmaker | Osasuna Win | Draw | Mallorca Win | Claim Offer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 8/11 | 13/5 | 18/5 | Claim Offer |
| Paddy Power | 8/11 | 5/2 | 18/5 | Claim Offer |
| Sky Bet | 8/11 | 5/2 | 18/5 | Claim Offer |
| BetMGM | 4/6 | 13/5 | 4/1 | Claim Offer |
| BoyleSports | 4/6 | 5/2 | 18/5 | Claim Offer |
| Betfred | 8/11 | 12/5 | 4/1 | Claim Offer |
Best Price for Osasuna Win: BoyleSports & BetMGM at 4/6
Best Price for Draw: bet365 & BetMGM at 13/5
Best Price for Mallorca Win: Betfred & BetMGM at 4/1
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Claim Offer |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 21/20 | 4/6 | Claim Offer |
| Paddy Power | 1/1 | 8/11 | Claim Offer |
| Sky Bet | 1/1 | 8/11 | Claim Offer |
| BetMGM | 1/1 | 8/11 | Claim Offer |
| BoyleSports | 1/1 | 4/6 | Claim Offer |
| Betfred | 11/10 | 4/6 | Claim Offer |
Best Price for BTTS Yes: Betfred at 11/10
Best Price for BTTS No: BoyleSports at 4/6
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Claim Offer |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 6/5 | 4/6 | Claim Offer |
| Paddy Power | 6/5 | 4/7 | Claim Offer |
| Sky Bet | 6/5 | 8/13 | Claim Offer |
| BoyleSports | 11/10 | 8/13 | Claim Offer |
Best Price for Over 2.5: bet365, Paddy Power & Sky Bet at 6/5
Best Price for Under 2.5: Paddy Power at 4/7
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The hosts are rightly favourites for this encounter given their superior home form and Mallorca’s recent struggles. Osasuna’s victory over Real Madrid at El Sadar demonstrated their capabilities, and they should have enough quality to see off a Mallorca side that has lost four of their last five matches.
The 8/11 available with bet365, Paddy Power and Sky Bet represents reasonable value, though punters looking for slightly better odds might consider BoyleSports or BetMGM at 4/6. Given Osasuna’s strong home record and Mallorca’s poor away form, the home win looks the most likely outcome.
This selection holds significant appeal based on the historical head-to-head record between these sides. Six of the last 11 meetings have ended in draws, and only three of those matches have featured more than 2.5 goals. Both teams have struggled for goals in recent weeks, with Mallorca failing to score in three of their last five outings.
Osasuna have kept things tight at home, with four of their last five home matches going under the 2.5 goal line. The 4/7 with Paddy Power is a shade skinny, but the 8/13 with Sky Bet or BoyleSports offers better value for those who believe this will be a low-scoring affair.
Given Mallorca’s struggles in front of goal and Osasuna’s solid defensive record at El Sadar, the “no” option in the both teams to score market looks attractive. Mallorca have failed to find the net in three of their last five matches, while Osasuna have kept clean sheets in two of their last five outings.
The 4/6 with BoyleSports represents the best price available, though the 8/11 with Paddy Power, Sky Bet and BetMGM is also worth considering for those who want to back a slightly shorter price with a more established bookmaker.
For those looking for a bigger price, the 1-0 correct score in favour of Osasuna appeals. This fixture has a history of tight, cagey encounters, and Osasuna have shown they can grind out narrow victories at home. The 1-0 scoreline has occurred in two of the last four meetings between these sides at El Sadar, making the 11/2 with bet365 an attractive proposition.
The Croatian striker has been in excellent form this season and will be the main threat to the Mallorca defence. His physical presence and movement in the box make him a constant danger from crosses and set-pieces. Budimir has a knack for scoring decisive goals in tight matches, and Osasuna will look to him to break the deadlock.
The midfield maestro dictates the tempo of Osasuna’s play and is crucial to their attacking transitions. His ability to find space and pick out passes in the final third will be key to unlocking a Mallorca defence that has looked vulnerable in recent weeks.
The Kosovo international remains Mallorca’s most potent attacking threat despite their recent struggles. His aerial ability and hold-up play can cause problems for any defence, and Osasuna will need to be wary of his presence in the box from crosses and set-pieces.
The creative hub of the Mallorca side, Darder’s ability to dictate play and supply the forwards will be crucial if the visitors are to get anything from this match. His vision and passing range can unlock even the most organised defences, and Osasuna will need to limit his influence.
Osasuna under Alessio Lisci typically set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation that prioritises defensive solidity while allowing creative freedom to the attacking midfielders. The double pivot of Moncayola and Torró provides excellent protection for the back four, while the full-backs offer width and attacking thrust.
Against Mallorca, expect Osasuna to press high up the pitch and look to win the ball back quickly in dangerous areas. They will look to feed Budimir early and allow him to bring the midfield runners into play. Set-pieces could also prove crucial, with Catena and Budimir both posing aerial threats.
Mallorca, under Martín Demichelis, have favoured a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formation, though results have been mixed. They will likely look to sit deep and hit Osasuna on the counter-attack, using the pace of Asano and the physicality of Muriqi to cause problems. However, their defensive frailties in recent weeks suggest they will be vulnerable if Osasuna can establish control of midfield.
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The Estadio El Sadar is one of the most atmospheric venues in Spanish football, and Osasuna’s passionate fanbase will create an intimidating environment for the visiting Mallorca players. The stadium’s steep stands and close proximity to the pitch generate a cauldron-like atmosphere that has helped Osasuna to some excellent home results this season.
Mallorca will need to handle the pressure of playing in front of a hostile crowd, something they have struggled with in recent away fixtures. The visitors’ confidence is already low after four defeats in five matches, and any early setback could see them crumble under the El Sadar spotlight.
This looks like a match that Osasuna should win, given their superior home form and Mallorca’s recent struggles. The hosts have shown they can compete with the division’s elite teams, as evidenced by their victory over Real Madrid, and they should have enough quality to see off a Mallorca side lacking in confidence.
The historical head-to-head record suggests this is likely to be a tight, cagey affair, and the under 2.5 goals market looks the best value play. Osasuna’s defensive solidity at home, combined with Mallorca’s struggles in front of goal, points towards a low-scoring encounter.
Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 4/7 with Paddy Power
Alternative: Osasuna Win at 8/11 with bet365
Longshot: Osasuna 1-0 Correct Score at 11/2 with bet365
The combination of Osasuna’s home strength and Mallorca’s poor away form makes the home win the most likely outcome, but the value lies in the goals markets where the under 2.5 and both teams to score “no” options look attractive. Expect a hard-fought contest with Osasuna ultimately prevailing by a narrow margin.
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