Selhurst Park plays host to a midweek Premier League contest on Wednesday 11th February 2026 as Crystal Palace take on Burnley in a fixture with important points at stake. Palace will look to use their home support to impose themselves and maintain consistency, while Burnley arrive searching for momentum as they battle to move clear of danger. Kick-off is at 19:30 GMT, with a competitive and hard-fought encounter expected in south London.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Matchday | 26 |
| Date | Wednesday 11 February 2026 |
| Kick-off Time | 19:30 |
| Venue | Selhurst Park |
| Broadcast | Sky Sports Premier League |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Draw | ★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ |
1. Value Bet: Draw
Odds: 3/1 with Bet365
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Both sides have struggled for consistency, with Palace drawing 8 of their 25 league matches so far (a draw rate of 32%), and Burnley similarly picking up 6 draws. Recent head-to-heads have also produced 2 draws in their last 5 meetings, with neither side dominant. Palace have underperformed their expected goals (xG 39.54, only 26 goals scored), suggesting ongoing issues converting chances. The Clarets, meanwhile, are more clinical than their xG implies, but overall attacking output remains modest. With both teams likely to cancel each other out, the draw at 3/1 represents solid value, particularly given Palace’s struggle to kill games off at home.
Bet365
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
New customers only. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. R
2. Player Prop Bet: Ismaila Sarr to Score Anytime
Odds: 2/1 with Sky Bet
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Ismaïla Sarr remains one of Crystal Palace’s most dangerous attacking outlets, offering pace, direct running, and a consistent goal threat from wide areas. He’s chipped in with key goals this season and is heavily involved whenever Palace transition quickly, often carrying the ball into high-value shooting positions inside the box. Burnley’s defence has struggled badly, conceding 49 league goals and showing particular vulnerability to quick, direct attackers who isolate full-backs. With Palace likely to target Burnley’s defensive weaknesses on the break, Sarr’s speed and willingness to attack the penalty area make him a strong candidate to get on the scoresheet.
Palace sit 13th in the Premier League with 32 points from 25 games, a record built largely on resilience rather than cutting edge. They have drawn more games than they have won, and their goal difference remains neutral (35 for, 35 against). Despite generating a healthy xG tally, a lack of clinical finishing has cost them points, with the Eagles missing 44 clear-cut chances—the highest among stats provided.
Burnley, 19th with just 15 points, are in dire need of results. However, their actual goals scored (25) far exceed their xG (19.64), suggesting a team that makes the most of limited opportunities. Interestingly, the Clarets’ scoring is spread across the team, with substitutes contributing 8 goals—indicative of a side that often finds late responses but seldom dominates.
Palace, under Oliver Glasner, favour a structured approach with emphasis on creating big chances from wide areas. Their pass accuracy (77.33%) and average possession (43.78%) reflect a team comfortable ceding the ball and playing on transition.
The Clarets, led by Scott Parker, operate with slightly less possession (41.66%) and pass accuracy (78.32%), often looking to soak up pressure and break quickly. While Palace struggle to convert, Burnley are opportunistic, particularly in the second half when substitutes are introduced.
Expect a cagey affair, with both sides wary of conceding first. Burnley’s defensive frailty (49 goals conceded) will be tested by Palace’s high xG, but the hosts’ profligacy in front of goal keeps things finely balanced.
| Statistic | Palace | The Clarets |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 13th | 19th |
| Goals Scored | 35 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 35 | 49 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Burnley 0-1 Palace | Premier League |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Burnley 3-0 Palace | Premier League |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Palace 0-2 Burnley | Premier League |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Burnley 1-1 Palace | Premier League |
| 20 Nov 2021 | Palace 3-3 Burnley | Premier League |
Adam Wharton has established himself as a key figure in Crystal Palace’s midfield, providing composure, balance, and intelligence at the base of the side. Comfortable receiving the ball under pressure, he plays a crucial role in linking defence to attack, using his passing range to progress play and dictate tempo. Wharton’s positional discipline and reading of the game allow Palace to stay compact while still transitioning effectively, and his work rate ensures protection in front of the back line. While his contributions don’t always show up in goals or assists, his influence on Palace’s structure and control is significant, and his ability to steady games makes him an increasingly important part of the team’s spine.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Crystal Palace vs. Burnley match?
A: Palace are favoured by the bookmakers and the data, but their finishing woes mean Burnley cannot be ruled out entirely.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The best value selections are the draw (Full-Time Result), 1-1 Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (Yes), and Under 2.5 Goals.
Q: Where can I watch the Crystal Palace vs. Burnley match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Premier League.
This fixture looks tight on paper, with both Palace and the Clarets struggling to find consistency or a ruthless streak in front of goal. Palace’s high xG and big chance creation are undermined by poor finishing, while Burnley are clinical but create little. With neither side demonstrating the quality to pull away from the other, the draw looks a strong value play.
All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. For more information and support, visit BeGambleAware.org. You must be 18 or over to gamble.
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
New customers only. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration Required. #Ad 18+
Bet £10 Get Up to £100 in Free Bets
18+. Spread betting losses can exceed deposits. T&Cs Apply. gambleaware.org
...have a look at our Top Offers!
Bet £5 Get £20 in Free Bets
Bet £10 Get £20 in Free Bets
Bet £20 & Get A £20 Free Bet
