Two sides mired in the Premier League relegation battle square off as Burnley host West Ham at Turf Moor. Both clubs are desperate for points to spark a turnaround in their respective seasons. Kick-off is at 15:00 on Saturday 7th February 2026, and the pair are desperate for points to improve their fortunes at the tail-end of the table.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Matchday | 25 |
| Date | Saturday 7 February 2026 |
| Kick-off Time | 15:00 GMT |
| Venue | Turf Moor |
| Broadcast | N/A |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Draw | ★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score | 2-2 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over | ★★★☆☆ |
Odds: 5/2 with Betfred
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Both clubs have struggled defensively, conceding a combined 95 goals in 48 Premier League matches this season (Burnley 47, West Ham 48). With both defences liable to errors and each attack containing players capable of producing big moments – Bowen for the Hammers, Anthony for the Clarets – this fixture has all the ingredients for a high-scoring, end-to-end contest. The statistics support goals: Burnley average 0.71 goals conceded per match at home, while West Ham average 1.96 away. Attacking metrics are solid too, with West Ham generating 27.39 xG and Burnley 16.84 xG this term. The last meeting finished 3-2 and four of the last six contests between these sides have seen three or more goals.
Betfred
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Odds: 21/10 with 10Bet
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Bowen is West Ham’s standout attacking threat, netting eight goals from an xG of 4.93 – an overperformance that underscores his clinical edge this campaign. He is also responsible for 17 key passes and four big chances created, so he is always involved in the final third. The Clarets have managed just three clean sheets all season, and given their defensive frailties, Bowen is well-placed to find the net. With Burnley likely to push forward at home, Bowen’s ability to exploit space on the break only strengthens the appeal of this selection.
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Burnley arrive at this crunch fixture on the back of a chastening 3-0 away defeat to Sunderland. The Clarets have found wins hard to come by with just three all season, and they sit 19th in the table. Offensively, they have netted 25 goals in 24 matches (averaging 1.04 per game) but have conceded 47, the second-worst record in the league.
West Ham’s confidence will not be much higher after a 3-2 defeat away to Chelsea. The Hammers have lost 14 times already this campaign and have the league’s leakiest defence. However, their attack is more potent than Burnley’s, with 29 goals scored and an xG tally of 27.39 indicating they are creating good chances, even if their conversion rate could improve.
The Clarets, under Scott Parker, have leaned towards a possession-based game with an average possession share of 41.15% and a pass accuracy of 77.97%. However, their lack of incision and defensive fragility has cost them dearly. Expect Parker’s men to press high early, looking to use wide areas and set-pieces – where defenders like Hartman have contributed significantly – to create danger.
The Hammers, managed by Nuno Espírito Santo, favour a more direct approach, utilising pace in wide areas and the creativity of Bowen to unlock defences. With a slightly higher possession share of 42.58% and pass accuracy of 79.24%, West Ham are marginally tidier on the ball. Their best performances have come when they can transition quickly, exploiting the opposition’s defensive gaps.
| Statistic | Burnley | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 19 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 25 | 29 |
| Goals Conceded | 47 | 48 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | West Ham 3-2 Burnley | Premier League |
| 10 Mar 2024 | West Ham 2-2 Burnley | Premier League |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Burnley 1-2 West Ham | Premier League |
| 17 Apr 2022 | West Ham 1-1 Burnley | Premier League |
| 12 Dec 2021 | Burnley 0-0 West Ham | Premier League |
Bowen has been the Hammers’ talisman this term, leading the line with eight Premier League goals from 24 appearances. Not only is he finding the net, but he is also central to West Ham’s creative output, producing 17 key passes and four big chances created. His shot accuracy stands at an impressive 51.72%, meaning over half of his attempts work the goalkeeper. Bowen’s ability to drift into dangerous positions, combined with his work ethic, makes him a constant threat and the most likely match-winner on the pitch.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Burnley vs. West Ham match?
A: Neither side is a clear favourite, with both struggling for consistency. The draw looks the likeliest outcome based on current form and head-to-head record.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The top value tips are Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals and Jarrod Bowen to score anytime, which both provide strong value given the teams’ defensive issues and attacking strengths.
Q: Where can I watch the Burnley vs. West Ham match?
A: The game will be broadcast live in the UK on Sky Sports Main Event.
This clash pits two of the league’s most porous defences against each other. Both teams carry attacking threat – particularly Bowen for West Ham and Anthony for Burnley – and the statistical evidence suggests another open game. The draw looks a solid play, but the best value is found in goals markets and player props. Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals offers a generous price, while Bowen’s form makes him a prime candidate to get on the scoresheet again.
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