Bournemouth host Aston Villa at the Vitality Stadium on Saturday 7th February 2026 in a Premier League fixture that brings together two sides with slight variations in their ambitions of climbing the table. The Cherries will be looking to make home advantage count and continue their push for stability, while Aston Villa arrive with European aspirations and the attacking quality to trouble opponents away from home. Kick-off is at 15:00 GMT, with an entertaining contest expected on the south coast.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Matchday | 25 |
| Date | Saturday 7 February 2026 |
| Kick-off Time | 15:00 GMT |
| Venue | Vitality Stadium |
| Broadcast | N/A |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Aston Villa Win | ★★★★☆ |
| Correct Score | 1-2 Aston Villa | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over | ★★★☆☆ |
Odds: 6/4 with AK Bets
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Villa have showcased significant defensive solidity this season, conceding just 26 goals in 24 matches and keeping seven clean sheets. Their pass accuracy (85.1%) and average possession (53.6%) indicate a high level of control. The Cherries, by contrast, have conceded 43 and managed only six clean sheets. Villa’s recent 4-0 home win against Bournemouth and a record of four wins in the last nine H2H meetings further supports this selection. With their superior league position (3rd vs 12th) and a positive goal difference, Villa represent value for an away win, especially as their odds are above evens.
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Odds: 19/10 with SpreadEx
Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: Kroupi’s shown a willingness to shoot early and often, operating centrally and attacking the six-yard box when Bournemouth look to break at speed. Aston Villa are generally solid defensively but can be vulnerable when games open up, particularly against sides that counter quickly and target space behind the full-backs. With Bournemouth likely to spend spells without the ball and look to transition sharply, Kroupi’s movement, composure, and central role make him a credible anytime scorer option at an appealing price.
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The Cherries have been inconsistent, with just eight wins, nine draws and seven defeats from 24 league outings. They have scored 40 and conceded 43, making them one of the division’s more entertaining sides but also highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Villa are flying high in third, boasting 14 wins and a +9 goal difference. They have been particularly impressive defensively, conceding just 1.08 goals per game. Their attack, while not as prolific as their xG (36.11 compared to 35 goals scored), is efficient and supported by high possession stats.
Expect the Cherries to look for transitions and quick counters, as evidenced by their seven goals from fast breaks this season – one of the highest in the league. Their pass accuracy (79.9%) is solid, but they are less comfortable controlling matches from deep, preferring to exploit space left by possession-oriented opponents.
Villa’s approach is possession-based, using high pass accuracy and ball retention (53.6% average) to suffocate opponents and build attacks methodically. Defensively, they are compact and rarely overcommit, which explains their tight record at the back. They like to control tempo and probe for openings, often creating chances via wide play and set pieces.
| Statistic | Bournemouth | Villa |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 12th | 3rd |
| Goals Scored | 40 | 35 |
| Goals Conceded | 43 | 26 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | Aston Villa 4-0 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 10/05/2025 | Bournemouth 0-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| 26/10/2024 | Aston Villa 1-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 21/04/2024 | Aston Villa 3-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 03/12/2023 | Bournemouth 2-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
Morgan Rogers has become an increasingly important component of Aston Villa’s attacking unit, offering a blend of power, pace, and versatility across the forward line. Comfortable operating from wide areas or drifting inside, he provides direct running that stretches defences and creates space for others. Rogers is also effective in ball-carrying situations, regularly driving his side up the pitch and committing defenders, while his physical presence allows Villa to sustain pressure in advanced areas. As his confidence grows, he continues to add end product to his performances, making him a useful outlet in games where Villa look to attack with speed and intensity.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa match?
A: Villa are considered favourites based on their superior league position, defensive record, and recent head-to-head dominance.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The top value selections are Villa to win and Kroupi to score anytime, both offering attractive returns for backers.
Q: Where can I watch the Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa match?
A: The match will be not be broadcast live in the UK due to the 3pm blackout rule.
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