Mallorca and Sevilla go head-to-head in a crucial La Liga clash at the Iberostar Estadi on Monday 2nd February 2026. With both sides struggling defensively and sitting in the lower half of the table, the stakes are high as each team looks for momentum heading into the latter stages of the season. Kick-off is at 20:00 GMT, live on LaLigaTV.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Matchday | 22 |
| Date | Monday 2 February 2026 |
| Kick-off Time | 8:00pm GMT |
| Venue | Iberostar Estadi |
| Broadcast | LaLigaTV |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Draw | ★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ |
Odds: 11/5 with Bet365
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Both Mallorca and Sevilla have struggled for consistency this season, with neither side able to claim a defensive edge (both conceding 33 goals in 21 matches). Their last five head-to-heads have produced three draws, including a 1-1 stalemate at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan last February and a goalless draw in Mallorca in August 2024. The draw is further supported by both sides’ tendency to squander big chances (Mallorca 23, Sevilla 19 missed) and their similar shot accuracy (Mallorca 38.82%, Sevilla 38.93%). With little to separate them in terms of attacking output and defensive frailty, the odds-against price for a share of the points looks attractive.
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Odds: 13/8 with Sky Bet
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Vedat Muriqi has netted 14 of Mallorca’s 24 league goals this season – an astonishing 58% of their total output. With a shot accuracy of 47.06% (meaning nearly 1 in 2 of his attempts hit the target), he is not only Mallorca’s focal point but one of La Liga’s most efficient finishers. Sevilla have conceded in each of their last five away games and produced just four clean sheets all season. Given Muriqi’s aerial ability (92 duels won) and Sevilla’s struggles defending set pieces (just 1 headed goal scored, suggesting weakness at both ends), the Kosovan striker is well-placed to be the difference-maker in front of goal.
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Mallorca come into this fixture sitting 18th with just five wins from 21 matches (24% win rate). They have managed to outscore their xG (24 goals from 20.39 xG), but defensive frailties persist with 33 conceded. Their home form has been patchy but they did claim an impressive 3-1 victory away at Sevilla earlier this season.
Meanwhile, Sevilla find themselves 12th with seven wins and three draws from 21 games. Their 28 goals represent a substantial overperformance (+7.08) against their 20.92 xG, but, like Mallorca, they have been porous at the back. Sevilla’s away record is particularly concerning, with just a handful of points taken from their last six on the road.
Mallorca, under Jagoba Arrasate, typically deploy a compact, counter-attacking system, often a 4-2-3-1 or 5-3-2, with Muriqi providing a direct aerial target. They are comfortable ceding possession (average 44.2%) and look to exploit set pieces and transitions, as reflected in their 70 corners and 5 headed goals.
Sevilla, by contrast, favour a more possession-based approach (54.3% average), with a focus on ball retention (82.09% pass accuracy). However, their attack lacks a prolific central figure, with their strikers contributing only six goals between them. Expect Sevilla to dominate the ball, but Mallorca’s threat on the break and at dead balls could be decisive.
| Statistic | Mallorca | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 18th | 12th |
| Goals Scored | 24 | 28 |
| Goals Conceded | 33 | 33 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Sevilla 1-3 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 24 Feb 2025 | Sevilla 1-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 27 Aug 2024 | Mallorca 0-0 Sevilla | La Liga |
| 22 Apr 2024 | Sevilla 2-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Mallorca 1-0 Sevilla | La Liga |
Vedat Muriqi’s importance to Mallorca cannot be overstated. He has scored nearly 60% of their league goals this term, boasting a shot accuracy of nearly one in every two efforts on target. Not only is he a threat from open play, but he is also dominant in the air, contributing five headed goals. His ability to hold up the ball and bring teammates into play has been vital to Mallorca’s counter-attacking style. Against a Sevilla defence that has struggled to keep clean sheets, Muriqi’s physicality and poacher’s instinct could prove decisive.
This La Liga contest sees two evenly-matched teams meet at a critical juncture in the season. Mallorca’s reliance on Vedat Muriqi is clear, while Sevilla’s more distributed attack is offset by defensive vulnerabilities. With both sides overperforming their xG and neither showing a clear defensive advantage, the draw emerges as the value play, particularly given the recent head-to-head record. Muriqi’s form and Sevilla’s set-piece weakness offer a strong case for the Kosovan striker to find the net. Expect a competitive, hard-fought match with few clear-cut chances.
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