Rayo Vallecano host Osasuna in a mid-table La Liga clash where both sides are seeking to pull clear of the bottom half. The last league meeting saw Osasuna claim a 2-0 home win, but Rayo will look to leverage home advantage and their ball control to reverse the trend. Kick-off is scheduled for 13:00 GMT on Saturday 24th January 2026 at Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Matchday | 21 |
| Date | Saturday 24 January 2026 |
| Kick-off Time | 13:00 UK |
| Venue | Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas |
| Broadcast | Viaplay Sports, LaLigaTV |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Draw | ★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★☆☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★★★☆ |
Analysis: This is a match between two sides level on points and separated only by goal difference in the table, both struggling for consistency. Rayo Vallecano have just one win in their last six league games, but have proven hard to beat at home, while Osasuna have lost three of their last five away matches. The last five head-to-head meetings have produced two wins each and one draw, and both teams have similar issues in attack and defence. With neither side showing the quality to dominate, the draw at 11/5 presents a strong value option.
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Analysis: Budimir has been Osasuna’s most dangerous player this season, netting 8 goals from 51 shots. While his shot accuracy stands at 30.77% (meaning just under a third of his efforts are on target), his high volume and knack for finding space in the box make him a persistent threat. Rayo have conceded 25 goals in 20 matches (1.25 per game), so the Croatian striker will get chances. At 13/5, this price offers value considering his central role in Osasuna’s attack and his recent brace in the head-to-head fixture.
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Rayo Vallecano currently sit 13th in La Liga with 22 points from 20 matches (W5 D7 L8) and a negative goal difference of -9, having scored just 16 goals and conceded 25. Their home form has been patchy but they remain competitive, often controlling possession but struggling to convert dominance into goals. Of note, their shot accuracy is 37.7% this season, so only around 38% of their attempts are on target, contributing to their low goal tally.
Osasuna, 12th with 22 points, have been similarly inconsistent, winning 6, drawing 4, and losing 10. They have scored 21 and conceded 24 (goal difference -3). Their away record is slightly better in terms of goals scored, but the defence remains leaky, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. Osasuna’s finishing has been above expectation: they’ve netted 21 goals from an xG of 26.6, suggesting a degree of clinical edge that could regress.
Rayo Vallecano, under Iñigo Pérez Soto, favour a possession-based approach with a focus on short passing and high pressing. Their pass accuracy of 83.07% this season leads Osasuna’s 79.4%, and Rayo average more shots (271 vs 217). However, their inability to create clear-cut chances and lack of a reliable scorer remain issues. Expect Rayo to push forward in numbers, but risk being caught on the counter.
Osasuna will likely set up to absorb pressure and strike on the break, looking to exploit Rayo’s defensive vulnerabilities. Ante Budimir’s physical presence and movement will be key up front, supported by creative play from the flanks. Osasuna’s 14 assists this season (to Rayo’s 12) highlight a team that shares the creative load, though much depends on Budimir’s finishing.
| Statistic | Rayo Vallecano | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 13th | 12th |
| Goals Scored | 16 | 21 |
| Goals Conceded | 25 | 24 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2025 | Osasuna 2-0 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
| 16 Sep 2024 | Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 15 Dec 2023 | Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
Rayo’s attacking hopes will rest heavily on Jorge de Frutos, who has scored 6 goals this season from 30 shots (44.44% shot accuracy) and delivered an impressive 17 big chance assists. His pass completion rate of 79.11% shows he is reliable in possession, and his successful take-ons (43.33%) mark him as Rayo’s primary creative outlet. De Frutos’ ability to find space and create for teammates could be decisive, especially as Rayo look to unlock a sometimes porous Osasuna backline.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Rayo Vallecano vs. Osasuna match?
A: Bookmakers narrowly favour Rayo Vallecano at home, but the stats and recent form suggest this is a very even contest, with the draw an appealing option.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The best value selections are the draw in the full-time result market and Ante Budimir to score anytime, both at attractive prices for this competitive fixture.
Q: Where can I watch the Rayo Vallecano vs. Osasuna match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on Viaplay Sports and LaLigaTV for UK viewers.
This is a classic mid-table battle between two evenly matched sides, each with clear strengths and weaknesses. Rayo Vallecano’s superior passing and home advantage are offset by their struggles in front of goal, while Osasuna’s slightly more potent attack hinges on the form of Ante Budimir. With neither side convincing enough to back for the win, the draw presents the best value, and Budimir stands out as a strong candidate in the goalscorer markets. Expect a cagey encounter, with both sides likely to find the net but goals at a premium.
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