Girona and Osasuna meet in a La Liga tie on Saturday 10th January 2026 at 17:30 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for this Spanish top-flight fixture below in this detailed match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Matchday | 19 |
| Date | 10 January 2026 |
| Kick-off Time | 17:30 GMT |
| Venue | Estadi Montilivi |
| Broadcast | LaLigaTV, Premier Sports (UK) |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Draw | ★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ |
Odds: 23/10 with 10Bet
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Girona and Osasuna are separated by just a single point in the table (Girona 18, Osasuna 19 after 18 matches), and their head-to-head record is finely balanced, with a draw and alternating wins in their last six meetings. Girona’s home advantage is offset by their leaky defence (34 goals conceded – the most in La Liga’s bottom half), while Osasuna have the edge defensively but have underperformed on their xG (23.85 vs. 18 goals). The stalemate is a genuine runner, offering value at 9/4 with Bet365, especially as both sides have drawn 10 of their combined 36 league fixtures this season.
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Odds: 2/1 with BetMGM
Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: Osasuna’s main attacking threat, Ante Budimir, has been consistently dangerous in the final third. While Budimir is not among the league’s top scorers overall, Osasuna have created 15 big chances this season and Budimir remains their focal point in attack. Girona’s defence has shipped 34 goals and kept just 2 clean sheets in 18 matches, providing fertile ground for the away side’s leading striker to get on the scoresheet. At 6/4, Budimir to score anytime offers a solid value bet against the league’s most porous defence among the mid-table sides.
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Girona come into this fixture 17th in La Liga, with 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats from 18 matches. They have scored 17 and conceded 34 – a worrying defensive record, conceding nearly two goals per game. Osasuna, meanwhile, sit 12th with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, scoring 18 and conceding 21 goals. Osasuna’s defence is notably more robust, with 5 clean sheets – more than double Girona’s tally.
Both sides have struggled for consistency: Girona have just 1 win in their last 6, while Osasuna have picked up some momentum, climbing from 16th to 12th and collecting vital points. Importantly, Osasuna’s underlying numbers (xG 23.85; xA 14.93) suggest they are creating more and better chances than their goal tally implies, hinting at possible improvement if finishing sharpens up. Girona, by contrast, have a lower xG (17.1) but their shot accuracy is higher (49.48%), indicating they are efficient but create fewer clear-cut opportunities.
Girona, coached by Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz, generally favour a possession-based game, reflected in their 47.5% average possession and impressive pass accuracy (84.66%). However, their discipline is an issue – they have picked up 34 yellow and 5 red cards, which can disrupt rhythm and leave them exposed. Expect Girona to look to build from the back, with midfielders like Donny van de Beek expected to dictate tempo.
Osasuna, under Alessio Lisci, set up to frustrate, defend in numbers, and spring on the counter. Their 44.9% possession average and lower pass accuracy (79.06%) speak to a more direct style. They have been solid at the back, with goalkeeper Sergio Herrera Piron a standout (68 saves, 68.73% passing), and have the capacity to absorb pressure before exploiting Girona’s defensive frailties.
| Statistic | Girona | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 17th | 12th |
| Goals Scored | 17 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 34 | 21 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 17.1 | 19.4 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 31.0 | 24.1 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2025 | Osasuna 2-1 Girona | La Liga |
| 29 Aug 2024 | Girona 4-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 9 Mar 2024 | Girona 2-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Osasuna 2-4 Girona | La Liga |
| 4 Jun 2023 | Osasuna 2-1 Girona | La Liga |
While much of the pre-match focus could fall on strikers or creative midfielders, Osasuna’s goalkeeper Sergio Herrera Pirón is arguably the key difference-maker ahead of this clash. Ranking second in La Liga for saves (68 in 18 games), Herrera has been instrumental in his side’s defensive solidity. His save percentage and command of the area have contributed to Osasuna’s 5 clean sheets. Herrera’s ability to marshal the backline and pull off important stops is likely to be crucial again, especially facing a Girona frontline that, while not prolific, is efficient. If Osasuna are to take something from Montilivi, expect Herrera to be busy and influential.
This La Liga fixture brings together two sides separated by just a point and with closely matched head-to-head records. Girona’s defensive issues are balanced out by their home advantage, while Osasuna’s strong defensive numbers are let down by underwhelming finishing. The value lies with the draw (9/4, Bet365) and Ante Budimir in the anytime goalscorer market (6/4, Bet365). Expect a cagey, competitive fixture with both sides likely to get on the scoresheet, but neither able to pull decisively ahead.
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