Villarreal and Deportivo Alavés meet in a La Liga tie on Saturday 10th January 2026 at 15:15 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for the LaLiga fixture below in this match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | La Liga |
| Matchday | 19 |
| Date | 10 January 2026 |
| Kick-off Time | 15:15 GMT |
| Venue | Estadio de la Cerámica |
| Broadcast | Viaplay Sports, LaLiga TV |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Villarreal | ★★★★☆ |
| Correct Score | 2-0 Villarreal | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | No | ★★★☆☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ |
Odds: 7/1 with Betfair
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Villarreal have combined defensive solidity (7 clean sheets in 17 matches, conceding only 16 goals) with attacking efficiency, especially at home. Alavés, by contrast, have scored just 15 times in 18 games and have a poor away record, underperforming their xG and lacking cutting edge up front. Villarreal’s superior shot accuracy (48.57% of shots on target) compared to Alavés (42.67%) further supports a home clean sheet. Recent head-to-heads at Villarreal favour the hosts, who won 3-0 the last time Alavés visited. The 2-0 scoreline offers value at 7/1, reflecting Villarreal’s tendency to control games and close them out with minimal fuss.
Odds: 31/20 with BetMGM
Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: Mikautadze has quickly established himself as Villarreal’s most dangerous forward this season, regularly leading the line and getting into high-quality scoring positions. With Villarreal creating 40 big chances this campaign (the best in this fixture), and Alavés conceding 21 goals and only keeping 3 clean sheets, the odds for Mikautadze to score anytime are more generous than expected. He should get opportunities against an Alavés defence that struggles to contain mobile strikers, making this a well-priced selection.
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Villarreal are currently 3rd in LaLiga, Villarreal have won 12 of their 17 league matches, scoring 34 goals (2 per game) and conceding just 16. Their last five games have included clean sheet victories and only one defeat, underlining their consistency and defensive discipline.
Alavés are 13th, with 5 wins from 18, and have struggled for goals (15) and results away from home. Their last fixture was a 1-1 draw against Real Oviedo, and they have just one win in their last five league outings. The lack of firepower is a recurring theme despite averaging nearly 50% possession, they rarely turn it into meaningful threat.
Under Marcelino García Toral, Villarreal favour a compact, structured approach—often a 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1—prioritising quick transitions and width. They may sit deeper than usual given Alavés’ possession style, but will look to exploit spaces left behind when Alavés commit men forward.
Alavés’ Eduardo Coudet prefers a 4-1-4-1 system, built on possession and shape retention. However, their ball retention (49.94% average possession) has not translated into consistent chances or goals, largely due to a lack of creative spark and effective finishing.
| Statistic | Villarreal | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 3rd | 13th |
| Goals Scored | 34 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 16 | 21 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 28.3 | 19.4 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 20.1 | 21.2 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 8 March 2025 | Alavés 1-0 Villarreal | LaLiga |
| 9 November 2024 | Villarreal 3-0 Alavés | LaLiga |
| 10 February 2024 | Alavés 1-1 Villarreal | LaLiga |
| 22 October 2023 | Villarreal 1-1 Alavés | LaLiga |
| 30 April 2022 | Alavés 2-1 Villarreal | LaLiga |
Mikautadze has emerged as Villarreal’s most potent attacking weapon this campaign, regularly leading the frontline. His movement off the ball and ability to find space inside the penalty area have been critical to Villarreal’s attacking output. With Villarreal creating 40 big chances (highest in this matchup) and Mikautadze frequently on the end of these opportunities, he stands out as the player most likely to make the difference. His shot accuracy (Villarreal team rate: 48.57% on target) and ability to convert big chances underpin his threat.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Villarreal vs. Deportivo Alavés match?
A: Villarreal are strong favourites, given their superior league position, attacking record, and home advantage.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: Villarreal are best priced at 40/85 (Bet365) for the win, with a 2-0 correct score at 7/1 (Betfair) and Georges Mikautadze anytime scorer at 6/5 (Betfair).
Q: Where can I watch the Villarreal vs. Deportivo Alavés match?
A: The match is broadcast live on Viaplay Sports and LaLiga TV.
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