Zambia and Morocco meet in an Africa Cup of Nations tie on Tuesday 29th December 2025 at 19:00 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for this highly anticipated fixture below in our expert match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | CAF Africa Cup of Nations |
| Matchday | Group Stage |
| Date | Tuesday 29 December 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 19:00 GMT |
| Venue | Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium |
| Broadcast | Sky Sports Football, BBC iPlayer (UK) |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Draw | ★★★★★ |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | ★★★★☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ |
Value Bet: Draw
Odds: 5/1 with Betfair
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: While Morocco are the clear favourites, Zambia have proven themselves difficult to break down, conceding just once in their opening two matches and drawing both. Morocco have also drawn one of their two group fixtures so far. Both sides average just 0.5 goals conceded per game, and with Morocco occasionally wasteful (five big chances missed in two matches), a low-scoring draw is not out of the question. The draw, priced at 5/1, offers outstanding value for punters willing to back a cagey group-stage encounter.
Player Prop Bet: Brahim Diaz to Score Anytime
Odds: 7/4 with SkyBet
Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Brahim Diaz has been Morocco’s main attacking inspiration, scoring twice already in this tournament and boasting a shot accuracy of 66.7%, meaning two out of every three of his attempts are on target. Diaz has also created two big chances for teammates, underlining his consistent involvement in the final third. Facing a Zambia side that allows an average of 8.5 shots per game, Diaz is likely to get opportunities to add to his tally. At 7/4, he represents strong value to find the net.
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Morocco top the group with four points from two games, having scored three goals and conceded just once. Their performances have been marked by control and attacking intent, as seen in their average of 65.8% possession and 87.9% pass accuracy across the group stage. They have created four clear-cut chances but have also missed five big opportunities, showing a slight lack of ruthlessness in front of goal.
Zambia are fourth in the group with two points from two games. They have yet to taste defeat but have struggled in attack, scoring just once and registering only two shots on target from 17 attempts (just 9.1% on target rate). However, they have been defensively sound, keeping one clean sheet and conceding only once, relying on a compact setup to frustrate stronger opposition.
Morocco are expected to maintain their high-possession, high-press approach, looking to dominate the ball and force errors from Zambia. Their midfielders are comfortable in possession and recycle the ball efficiently, primarily through short passes and intelligent movement. Out wide, the likes of Brahim Diaz can create overloads and exploit space between Zambia’s full-backs and centre-backs.
Zambia are likely to set up defensively, with a focus on disciplined lines and quick transitions. Their attacking players, such as Patson Daka and Fashion Sakala, will be tasked with stretching the Moroccan backline on the counter, but the lack of cutting edge in front of goal thus far is a concern. Expect Zambia to soak up pressure and try to capitalise on set pieces or isolated breakaways.
| Statistic | Zambia | Morocco |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 4th | 1st |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | Not available | Not available |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | Data not available | Data not available |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2025 | Fixture | CAF Africa Cup of Nations |
| 8 Sep 2025 | Zambia 0-2 Morocco | CAF Qualifiers |
| 7 Jun 2024 | Morocco 2-1 Zambia | CAF Qualifiers |
Brahim Diaz has been the creative spark for Morocco throughout this tournament, scoring twice already and contributing two big chance assists. His technical ability is matched by excellent decision-making, completing 86.7% of his passes and striking 66.7% of his shots on target. Diaz is most dangerous when drifting between the lines, linking midfield and attack. His influence will be critical in breaking down Zambia’s disciplined defence, and his recent form suggests he is primed to play a decisive role once again.
Morocco are deserved favourites based on their superior technical quality, attacking output, and defensive solidity. Zambia have been resilient and difficult to break down, but unless they can find more attacking spark, Morocco’s class should tell. Key betting angles include value on the draw and Brahim Diaz to score, while a low-scoring affair is also a distinct possibility. Expect Morocco to dominate possession and chances, but Zambia’s defensive discipline could keep the contest close.
All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. For more information and support, visit BeGambleAware.org. You must be 18 or over to gamble.
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