Sunderland vs Leeds Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

Joe Vaughan 03 Mar 2026
  • Sunderland welcome Leeds United to the Stadium of Light on Sunday with both teams in solid form of late.

    Heading into the clash, the Black Cats currently sit sixth in the Premier League table, just two points outside the top four.

    A few weeks ago, Leeds looked as though they might be candidates for relegation. Recent form has been superb as the club are unbeaten across their previous four matches.

    Home advantage could prove to be the decisive factor on Sunday afternoon and it will give Sunderland a perfect chance to seal another three points.

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Odds correct at the time of writing
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Sunderland vs Leeds Predictions

  • Full Time Result: Sunderland Win
  • Correct Score: 3-1
  • Both Teams To Score: Yes
  • Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over
  • First Goalscorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Sunderland vs Leeds Tips

Our Tip Methodology

At FootballTips, every prediction is shaped by a mix of data-driven analysis and informed football insight. Our contributors consider a wide range of factors before recommending a bet – from recent form and head-to-head records to tactical matchups, team news, and underlying stats.

We look for patterns in goal trends, home and away splits, player performance, and betting market movement to identify where the value lies. We don’t just tip favourites – we aim to find selections that offer a genuine edge. Whether it’s a goalscorer angle, a BTTS trend, or a high-priced underdog, each tip is backed by research and reasoning to help you bet smarter.

Why We’re Backing Sunderland & Over 2.5 Goals @ 7/2 with Sky Bet

  • Sunderland have won five Premier League games at home this season.
  • Leeds have won just one away match in the Premier League this season.
  • Eight of Leeds’ previous nine matches has featured over 2.5 goals.
  • Three of Sunderland’s last eight games has seen over 2.5 goals.
  • Leeds have the fourth-worst defensive record in the top flight this term.

Why We’re Backing Dominic Calvert-Lewin First Goalscorer @ 13/2 with Bet365

  • Calvert-Lewin has scored seven Premier League goals this season.
  • He has scored in each of his previous five top flight matches.
  • The striker opened the scoring against Crystal Palace last weekend.
  • Calvert-Lewin has scored twice against Sunderland in his career.
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Sunderland Form/Stats

  • Sunderland have lost just once in their previous five league matches.
  • The Black Cats remain sixth in the league table.
  • They have lost only four of their opening 17 top flight matches this season.

Leeds United Form/Stats

  • Leeds are unbeaten across their previous four league matches.
  • Both teams have scored in their last seven fixtures.
  • Leeds have the second best attacking record of all teams in the bottom half of the table.

Player to Watch

Dominic Calvert-Lewin joined Leeds in the summer with plenty to prove after an injury hit few seasons and it looks as though he is back to his best.

After scoring against Manchester City at the end of November, the Englishman has gone on to score in his subsequent four matches, culminating in a brace against Palace last weekend.

There is no doubt having someone of his quality will prove crucial in Leeds’ survival hopes and he could extend his scoring streak against Sunderland.

Sunderland vs Leeds Head-to-Head Record 

  • Leeds 2-1 Sunderland – 17/2/25
  • Sunderland 2-2 Leeds – 04/10/24
  • Leeds 0-0 Sunderland – 09/4/24
  • Sunderland 1-0 Leeds – 12/12/23
  • Leeds 1-1 Sunderland – 07/4/18
  • Sunderland 0-2 Leeds – 19/8/17

Sunderland have won just one of their previous six matches against Leeds dating back to 2017. Home advantage should be the decisive factor in this intriguing tie on Sunday afternoon.

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