Tunisia and Uganda meet in an Africa Cup of Nations tie on Tuesday 23rd December 2025 at 20:00 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for the AFCON 2025 fixture below in this match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | CAF Africa Cup of Nations |
| Matchday | 1 |
| Date | Tuesday 23 December 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 20:00 GMT |
| Venue | Stade Prince Moulay Abdellah Olympique Annex, Rabat |
| Broadcast | All 4 |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Draw | ★★★★☆ |
| Correct Score | 0-0 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | No | ★★★☆☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 | ★★★★☆ |
Analysis: With both teams lacking recent competitive data and the match marking the start of their Africa Cup of Nations campaign, there is value in backing Uganda to avoid defeat. Uganda is the underdog at 9/2 for the outright win, but a more conservative approach is to back them or the draw. With both teams yet to play a match this season and no recent head-to-head history, Tunisia’s price of 4/6 may be too short. Uganda’s squad features several players plying their trade abroad, and the lack of historical data means this fixture could be tighter than the odds suggest. As tournament openers are often cagey, the double chance market offers strong value at odds-against.
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Analysis: With a complete absence of attacking, passing, or xG data for both sides in recent matches or seasons, and both teams struggling for goals in previous campaigns, a goalless draw is a plausible outcome. Tournament openers can be tense affairs with few chances, and the lack of attacking data from either squad further supports a low-scoring contest.
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Previous tournaments have shown that both nations can be defensively resolute, but with no recent match data, it is difficult to draw firm statistical conclusions. Both sides will be eager to start their campaign positively, which may lead to a cautious approach.
Tunisia are traditionally organised and pragmatic, often favouring a solid defensive structure and a measured build-up. The squad includes established defenders such as Ali Maâloul and Montassar Omar Talbi, suggesting a likely back four with a disciplined midfield shield. Tunisian managers typically prioritise controlling possession and limiting opposition chances, which could continue here.
Uganda are known for their athleticism and disciplined shape, often adopting a compact 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 formation. With Paul Joseph Put at the helm, Uganda could focus on stifling Tunisia’s creative players and targeting set-pieces or counter-attacks for their own chances. Expect a game with few clear-cut opportunities and both sides placing emphasis on defensive solidity.
| Statistic | Tunisia | Uganda |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | N/A | N/A |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 0 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | N/A | N/A |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | N/A | N/A |
| 20 Jan 1962 | Tunisia v Uganda | L | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| 09 Mar 1978 | Uganda v Tunisia | L | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| 27 Feb 1999 | Tunisia v Uganda | L | 6-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| 10 Apr 1999 | Uganda v Tunisia | L | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| 04 Jan 2017 | Tunisia v Uganda | L | 2-0 | International Friendly |
One of Tunisia’s most experienced campaigners, Ali Maâloul provides defensive stability and composure on the left flank. While no recent match data is available, Maâloul’s leadership and ability on set-pieces make him a key figure for Tunisia. He is likely to be influential in both defensive phases and providing width going forward, especially if Tunisia look to attack down the left. His reliability could be crucial in a tight, low-scoring encounter.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Tunisia vs. Uganda match?
A: Tunisia are the favourites according to bookmakers, priced at 4/6, while Uganda are outsiders at 9/2.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The best odds for Tunisia to win are 4/6, the draw is 12/5, and Uganda are 9/2. Value can be found backing Uganda or Draw (Double Chance) at 7/5, and 0-0 correct score at 7/1.
Q: Where can I watch the Tunisia vs. Uganda match?
A: The match will be broadcast on All 4 for UK viewers.
This CAF Africa Cup of Nations opener between Tunisia and Uganda shapes up as a tight contest, with both teams lacking recent statistical data and neither side having played a match this season. Tunisia are priced as favourites but may not offer value at short odds, while Uganda’s resilience suggests the underdog or draw markets are worth consideration. Expect a low-scoring affair, with the 0-0 correct score and under 2.5 goals both looking like plausible outcomes. Keep an eye on Ali Maâloul’s influence in a match likely to be decided by fine margins.
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