Levante vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

Dean Smith 03 Mar 2026
  • Levante and Athletic Bilbao meet in a La Liga tie on Saturday 29th November 2025 at 17:30 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for the La Liga fixture below in this match preview.

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La Liga
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29 Nov
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Odds correct at the time of writing
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Fixture Details

  • Home Team: Levante
  • Away Team: Athletic Club
  • Competition: La Liga
  • Matchday: 14
  • Date: Saturday 29 November 2025
  • Kick-off Time: 17:30 GMT
  • Venue: Estadi Ciutat de València

Match Overview

Match Details Information
Competition La Liga
Matchday 14
Date Saturday 29 November 2025
Kick-off Time 17:30 GMT
Venue Estadi Ciutat de València
Broadcast LaLigaTV & Premier Sports (UK)

Key Predictions & Confidence Score

Market Prediction Confidence
Full-Time Result Athletic Club Win ★★★☆☆
Correct Score 1-2 Athletic Club ★★★☆☆
Both Teams to Score Yes ★★★★☆
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆

Top Betting Tips & Value Analysis

1. Value Bet: Athletic Bilbao to Win

  • Odds: 23/20 with Bet365
  • Value Rating: ★★★★☆

Analysis: Athletic Club are eighth in La Liga with 17 points from 13 games, whereas Levante sit 19th, having won only 2 of their 13 fixtures and conceding 24 goals – the joint second-worst record in the league. Athletic boast a superior pass accuracy (81.94%) and average nearly 50% possession, underlining their ability to control matches. While Levante have scored more than their xG suggests (16 goals from 14.45 xG), their defensive frailties and lack of clean sheets (just two) make them vulnerable. Athletic Club’s recent head-to-head record is dominant, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings. With Levante struggling to turn home advantage into points, Athletic Club are well placed to take all three points at a value price above evens.

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2. Player Prop Bet: Carlos Espí to Score Anytime

  • Odds: 16/5 with Betway
  • Value Rating: ★★★☆☆

Analysis: While neither side boasts a top league scorer, Carlos Espí has emerged as a consistent attacking threat for Levante, contributing to their tally of 9 goals scored by strikers. Levante create more big chances (23) than Athletic Club (15), and Espí’s movement in the box often puts him on the end of these opportunities. Athletic Club’s defence, despite more clean sheets, has conceded 17 goals and is susceptible to lapses, as evidenced by two mistakes leading to goals this season. Espí’s likely role as the focal point increases his anytime scorer value, especially with Levante’s strikers outperforming their expected goals so far.

In-Depth Match Analysis

Recent Form and Performance

Levante’s campaign has been beset by inconsistency, with just two victories in thirteen matches and a goal difference of -8. They have netted 16 goals—slightly above their xG of 14.45—reflecting clinical finishing, but their defensive record is poor, with 24 conceded.

Athletic Bilbao, meanwhile, have 5 wins and 2 draws from 13 matches, and a slightly negative goal difference (-5). They have underperformed their xG (12 goals from 15.33 xG), indicating a need for sharper finishing, but boast greater solidity at the back with three clean sheets.

Tactical Breakdown

Levante tend to favour a counter-attacking set-up, reflected in their lower average possession (38.95%) and a direct approach to chance creation. Their high number of big chances created (23) shows they are efficient at exploiting space when it arises.

Bilbao, in contrast, are more comfortable in possession (49.5%), with a higher pass accuracy (81.94%). Their likely 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 structure allows for flexibility, patient build-up, and width via the Williams brothers, but an underperformance in attack suggests a need for more clinical edge up front.

Key Player Matchups

  • Carlos Espí (Levante) vs Dani Vivian (Athletic Club): Espí will look to exploit any lapses in Athletic’s backline, while Vivian’s reading of the game and ability to marshal the defence will be crucial to Athletic Club’s hopes of a clean sheet.
  • Alex Berenguer (Athletic Club) vs Levante full-backs: Berenguer’s pace and directness can stretch Levante’s defence, especially given their tendency to concede chances down the flanks.

Head-to-Head Record & Statistical Analysis

Statistic Levante Athletic Club
League Position 19th 8th
Goals Scored 16 12
Goals Conceded 24 17
xG (Expected Goals) 14.45 15.33
xGA (Expected Goals Against) 22.0 12.1

Last 5 Meetings

Date Result Competition
7 Mar 2022 Athletic Club 3-1 Levante La Liga
19 Nov 2021 Levante 0-0 Athletic Club La Liga
26 Feb 2021 Levante 1-1 Athletic Club La Liga
18 Oct 2020 Athletic Club 2-0 Levante La Liga
12 Jul 2020 Levante 1-2 Athletic Club La Liga

In the last 10 meetings, Athletic Club have won 6, Levante 2, with 2 draws. Athletic have scored 16 goals to Levante’s 13 in these fixtures.

Player Spotlight: Iñaki Williams

Iñaki Williams is set to be a key figure for Athletic Club. While the league’s top scorers are elsewhere, Williams remains central to Athletic’s attacking transitions. His pace and direct running stretch defences, and although he has not been prolific this season, his off-ball movement creates space for teammates like Berenguer and Sancet. Williams’ ability to press from the front and exploit Levante’s defensive lapses could be decisive, particularly given Levante’s issues with preventing big chances (22 missed by opponents, but still 24 conceded). Look for Williams to test the back four, and his presence should be factored into any goalscorer or assist markets.

Team News

Levante

  • Injuries: Pablo Martínez.
  • Suspensions: None.
  • Ineligible: None.

Athletic Bilbao

  • Injuries: Beñat Prados, Unai Egiluz, Iñaki Williams, Maroan Sannadi.
  • Suspensions: None.
  • Ineligible: None.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Who is the favourite to win the Levante vs. Athletic Club match?
A: Athletic Club are favourites, given their superior league position, better defensive record, and dominant head-to-head record against Levante.

Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The best available odds for the main markets are: Athletic Club to win at 23/20, Draw at 5/2, and Both Teams to Score (Yes) at 10/11.

Q: Where can I watch the Levante vs. Athletic Club match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on LaLigaTV and Premier Sports for UK viewers.

Conclusion & Key Takeaways

Athletic Club’s greater consistency, balance in midfield, and historical dominance in this fixture make them strong candidates for an away win, especially with Levante struggling defensively this season. Both teams have shown a propensity for open games – Levante’s clinical strikers and Athletic’s tendency to concede suggest Both Teams to Score is a strong angle. For value, backing Athletic Club to take all three points at 23/20 stands out, while Carlos Espí offers a lively anytime scorer option for Levante. As always, check team news before placing bets, and consider the tactical matchups on the day.

Disclaimer & Responsible Gambling

All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. For more information and support, visit BeGambleAware.org. You must be 18 or over to gamble.

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