Fixture Details
- Home Team: Real Mallorca
- Away Team: Osasuna
- Competition: La Liga
- Matchday: 14
- Date: Saturday 29 November 2025
- Kick-off Time: 13:00 GMT
- Venue: Visit Mallorca Estadi
Match Overview
| Match Details |
Information |
| Competition |
Primera División |
| Matchday |
14 |
| Date |
Saturday 29 November 2025 |
| Kick-off Time |
13:00 GMT |
| Venue |
Visit Mallorca Estadi |
| Broadcast |
LaLiga TV, Viaplay Sports (UK) |
Key Predictions & Confidence Score
| Market |
Prediction |
Confidence |
| Full-Time Result |
Mallorca |
★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score |
1-0 Mallorca |
★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score |
No |
★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals |
Under 2.5 |
★★★★★ |
Top Betting Tips & Value Analysis
1. Value Bet: Mallorca to Win
- Odds: 7/5 with Paddy Power
- Value Rating: ★★★★☆
Analysis: Mallorca have shown slightly better attacking output this season, netting 13 goals to Osasuna’s 10 and clocking a shot accuracy of 38.3% compared to Osasuna’s 36.56%. While both sides sit near the foot of the table, Mallorca’s home advantage at the Visit Mallorca Estadi could prove decisive, especially given Osasuna’s record of only three clean sheets (to Mallorca’s two) and a tendency to concede in away fixtures historically. Recent head-to-head meetings have been close, but Mallorca’s attacking spearhead Vedat Muriqi is in clinical form, outperforming his xG (six goals from an xG of just 3.09), which suggests Mallorca can edge a tight contest. At 7/5, the odds offer a solid value on a balanced fixture.
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2. Player Prop Bet: Vedat Muriqi to Score Anytime
- Odds: 2/1 with Sky Bet
- Value Rating: ★★★☆☆
Analysis: Muriqi is the standout attacking threat in this match, having scored six times in 12 appearances this season with an impressive 50% shot accuracy, meaning half of his shots are on target. He has been outperforming his expected goals (xG), which signals a striker in confident, clinical form. With Osasuna conceding 16 goals and producing only three clean sheets, Muriqi should find opportunities. His physical presence and sharp finishing make him a likely scorer, especially if Mallorca dominate chances at home.
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In-Depth Match Analysis
Recent Form and Performance
Both Mallorca and Osasuna find themselves in the lower reaches of the Primera División table after 13 matches, with Mallorca 16th on 12 points and Osasuna just below in 17th with 11. Neither side has been consistent, but Mallorca have managed three wins and three draws, a marginally better record than Osasuna’s three wins and two draws.
Both have struggled defensively, with Mallorca conceding 20 goals and Osasuna 16. Recent results have seen both sides involved in low-scoring, closely-fought matches—reflected by their combined tally of only 23 goals scored in 13 games each. The sides have each lost more than half their matches, but Mallorca’s slight edge in attack and home support could be a difference-maker.
Tactical Breakdown
Mallorca typically set up in a solid, compact formation, relying on quick transitions and direct play towards their forward line—especially targeting Muriqi with early balls. Their approach often sits deep, looking to absorb pressure before countering, and their 4951 passes attempted so far (with 79.86% accuracy) show a preference for structure over risk.
Osasuna, meanwhile, are marginally more active in midfield duels (645 won) and tend to press higher, looking to force turnovers in the attacking third. They have regained possession 47 times in the attacking third this season, slightly outpacing Mallorca’s 38. This could lead to a midfield battle where transitions and set pieces are crucial. Expect Mallorca to focus on solidity, while Osasuna may gamble on winning the ball back high up the pitch.
Key Player Matchups
- Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca) vs Alejandro Catena (Osasuna): Muriqi’s aerial prowess and finishing have been key, and he will test Catena’s ability to marshal Osasuna’s defence. If Catena can limit Muriqi’s touches in the box, Osasuna will boost their clean sheet chances; but if Muriqi gets service, he is the likelier match-winner.
- Samuel de Almeida Costa (Mallorca) vs Jon Moncayola (Osasuna): In midfield, Costa’s 76.94% passing accuracy and all-round play will be matched up against Moncayola’s engine and ball-winning. The winner of this duel could dictate the tempo and transition opportunities for their side.
Head-to-Head Record & Statistical Analysis
| Statistic |
Mallorca |
Osasuna |
| League Position |
16 |
17 |
| Goals Scored |
13 |
10 |
| Goals Conceded |
20 |
16 |
| xG (Expected Goals) |
12.4 |
14.3 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) |
23.2 |
17.5 |
Last 5 Meetings
| Date |
Result |
Competition |
| 10 Feb 2025 |
Mallorca 1-1 Osasuna |
Primera División |
| 24 Aug 2024 |
Osasuna 1-0 Mallorca |
Primera División |
| 14 May 2024 |
Osasuna 1-1 Mallorca |
Primera División |
| 21 Dec 2023 |
Mallorca 3-2 Osasuna |
Primera División |
| 31 Mar 2023 |
Mallorca 0-0 Osasuna |
Primera División |
Player Spotlight: Vedat Muriqi
Muriqi is Mallorca’s talisman and a proven match-winner. In the current campaign, he leads the scoring charts for both sides with six goals from 12 appearances. His shot accuracy is a standout at 50%, meaning half of his attempts have tested the goalkeeper – an exceptional figure for a striker. Notably, Muriqi has an xG of 3.09 but has scored six times, underlining his clinical nature in front of goal. While he has not yet registered an assist, his ability to create space and chances (four key passes) and act as a focal point is vital for Mallorca’s attacking structure. If Mallorca are to unlock Osasuna, expect Muriqi to be at the heart of the action.
Team News
Mallorca
- Injuries: Leo Román.
- Suspensions: None.
- Ineligible: None.
Osasuna
- Injuries: Iker Benito.
- Suspensions: None.
- Ineligible: None.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Mallorca vs. Osasuna match?
A: Mallorca are considered slight favourites, especially with home advantage and stronger attacking numbers this term. However, the fixture has been tight in recent years, and a draw is also a realistic outcome.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The best odds for Mallorca to win are 7/5. For Both Teams to Score ‘No’ there are odds of 7/10, and for Under 2.5 Goals the best price is 8/15.
Q: Where can I watch the Mallorca vs Osasuna match?
A: The match will be broadcast live in the UK on LaLiga TV and Viaplay Sports.
Conclusion & Key Takeaways
This encounter between Mallorca and Osasuna looks set to be a tight, low-scoring affair, reflecting both clubs’ recent defensive records and head-to-head history. Mallorca’s superior attack and the form of Vedat Muriqi provide the edge, but Osasuna’s competitive midfield and strong pressing game could frustrate the hosts. Key predictions are a Mallorca win, and Under 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams’ lack of firepower and solid midfields. The main betting value lies with Mallorca at home and player props involving Muriqi, while a low-scoring draw remains a significant risk.
Disclaimer & Responsible Gambling
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