Arsenal and Bayern Munich meet in a UEFA Champions League tie on Wednesday 26th November 2025 at 20:00 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for the Champions League fixture below in this match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | UEFA Champions League |
| Matchday | 5 |
| Date | Wednesday 26 November 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 20:00 GMT |
| Venue | Emirates Stadium, London |
| Broadcast | TNT Sports |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Draw | ★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score | 2-2 Draw | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★★☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ |
Analysis: Both Arsenal and Bayern come into this Champions League clash with 100% win records from their opening four group matches. However, the data suggests these teams are evenly matched in several key areas. Arsenal have been formidable defensively with four consecutive clean sheets and no goals conceded, while Bayern have been prolific in attack with 14 goals and a 60.32% shot accuracy. The head-to-head record is also tight: in their last three meetings, there has been a draw and two Bayern wins, with the most recent fixture in London ending 2-2. With both sides displaying collective strength rather than individual reliance, and neither conceding many chances, a stalemate looks a strong value play.
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Player Prop Bet: Harry Kane to Score 2+ Goals
Analysis: While Arsenal’s defence has been watertight, Bayern’s Harry Kane remains a proven threat at this level. Kane is Bayern’s leading centre-forward and will be their focal point against an Arsenal side yet to face an attack of this calibre in the group. With Bayern averaging 3.5 goals per match so far and Kane’s reputation for delivering in big European nights, the price on him to score offers value. Arsenal’s high line and willingness to press may leave space for Kane to exploit, especially given Bayern’s 88.91% pass completion and capacity to break lines.
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Both teams have secured maximum points in their four Champions League group games. Arsenal have scored 11 goals and, impressively, have not conceded. Their average possession sits at 57.78%, reflecting a proactive style.
Bayern, meanwhile, have scored 14 and conceded 3, with a slightly lower possession rate at 53.73% but a higher pass accuracy of 88.91%. Both sides are outperforming their expected goals (Arsenal: 11 goals from 7.08 xG; Bayern: 14 from 8.89 xG), underlining clinical finishing. Bayern’s attack is more potent on the numbers, but Arsenal’s defence is the standout unit.
Arsenal, under Mikel Arteta, are expected to set up with their usual 4-3-3, focusing on high pressing, ball retention, and overlapping full-backs. Their midfield trio is balanced, supporting both phases, while wide forwards like Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli provide direct threat.
Bayern, under Vincent Kompany, typically operate with a 4-2-3-1, using Joshua Kimmich as the deep-lying playmaker. Their attack is fluid, with Kane central and runners from midfield. Expect Bayern to try to exploit Arsenal’s high line with quick transitions, while Arsenal will hope to pin Bayern back with possession and width.
| Statistic | Arsenal | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Goals Scored | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 3 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 7.08 | 8.89 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 2.0 | 3.5 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2024 | Bayern München 1-0 Arsenal | UEFA Champions League |
| 09/04/2024 | Arsenal 2-2 Bayern München | UEFA Champions League |
| 07/03/2017 | Arsenal 1-5 Bayern München | UEFA Champions League |
Arsenal’s midfield anchor, Declan Rice, has been instrumental in their Champions League campaign so far. While not appearing in the tournament’s top three for passes or assists, Rice’s influence is reflected in Arsenal’s perfect defensive record. He has been at the heart of a midfield that averages nearly 58% possession, while Arsenal have won 34 tackles and 62 aerial duels across four matches. Rice’s reading of the game – supported by 23 interceptions team-wide – has stifled opposition creativity and provided the platform for quick transitions. Against Bayern’s mobile and technical midfield, Rice’s ability to shield the back four and disrupt play will be crucial. His positional sense and tactical discipline make him a key figure in this tie.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Arsenal vs. Bayern München match?
A: The odds suggest Arsenal are very slight favourites at home, but the match is finely balanced with value on the draw.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: Draw in the Match Result market is 13/5.
Q: Where can I watch the Arsenal vs. Bayern München match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports for UK viewers.
This UEFA Champions League clash between Arsenal and Bayern München promises to be a tight, high-quality encounter. Both teams are in superb form, with Arsenal boasting a flawless defensive record and Bayern showing ruthless efficiency in front of goal. While Bayern have been more prolific, Arsenal’s resilience at the back is unmatched so far. The statistical and tactical balance points towards a closely-fought contest, making the draw a strong value selection. Harry Kane’s presence for Bayern ensures the London side will be tested like never before in this group, and his anytime scorer odds stand out as a player prop. Expect a tactical battle, moments of individual brilliance, and a result that could go down to the wire.
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