Qarabağ and Chelsea meet in a UEFA Champions League tie on Wednesday 5th November 2025 at 17:45 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for the Champions League fixture below in this match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | UEFA Champions League |
| Matchday | 4 |
| Date | Wednesday 5 November 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 17:45 GMT |
| Venue | Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium, Baku |
| Broadcast | BT Sport (UK) |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Chelsea Win (4/11) | ★★★☆☆ |
| Correct Score | 0-2 Chelsea (13/2) | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes (3/4) | ★★★☆☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 (8/15) | ★★★☆☆ |
Analysis: Chelsea’s recent upturn in attacking form makes them strong favourites, but a clean sheet isn’t guaranteed. The Blues have scored in every European outing this season and are averaging 2.1 goals per game across all competitions. However, defensive lapses remain a concern – Chelsea have conceded in five of their last six away matches and average 1.3 goals conceded per game on the road.
Qarabağ, meanwhile, have scored in each of their last nine home fixtures and tend to play with more confidence in Baku, creating an average of 1.6 xG at home in Europe. Chelsea’s quality should ultimately shine through, but Qarabağ’s attacking threat and set-piece strength suggest they can find the net even in defeat.
Bet365
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
New customers only. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. R
Analysis: Leandro Andrade leads Qarabağ with five goals and two assists in the competition, and remarkably, he’s also created seven big chances for teammates. His pass completion rate stands at 84.4%, highlighting both his creativity and reliability in possession. Chelsea’s defensive line, while solid on paper, has conceded in all three group games. Given Andrade’s form in Europe, there’s considerable value in backing him to register an assist against a Chelsea side that can be vulnerable to quick transitions.
Betway
Bet £10 Get £60 in Free Bets
18+. T&Cs Apply. gambleaware.org
Both Qarabağ and Chelsea come into this fixture with identical records in their Champions League group: two wins and one loss from three matches, each with six points. Qarabağ have scored 6 and conceded 5 in the group, while Chelsea have netted 7 and conceded 4. Qarabağ’s attack is notably dynamic, with 21 goals scored in the competition this season (including qualifiers) and contributions from midfield, defence, and attack. Chelsea’s seven goals from three matches are in line with their xG of 3.89, suggesting the Blues are neither under- nor over-performing their attacking output, but perhaps lacking in sheer chance volume.
Qarabağ typically set up to counter-attack, using pace and width to stretch opponents and relying on technical midfielders to unlock defences. Their average possession is 45.2%, indicating a willingness to cede the ball and strike quickly. The Azerbaijani side are not especially clinical, having missed seven of their 16 big chances (44% conversion), but their attacking threat is genuine, especially when Andrade is involved.
Chelsea under Vincenzo Maresca favour a more controlled approach, averaging 55.3% possession and 90% pass accuracy. The Blues look to dominate the ball and push both full-backs high, but this leaves space in transition, something Qarabağ’s midfielders and attackers will look to exploit. Chelsea’s shot accuracy is 45.5% – meaning nearly half their efforts test the goalkeeper – but their shot volume is not especially high.
| Statistic | Qarabağ | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 13th | 11th |
| Goals Scored | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Conceded | 5 | 4 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 4.17 | 3.89 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 5.74 | 4.04 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2017 | Qarabağ 0-4 Chelsea | UEFA Champions League |
| 12 Sep 2017 | Chelsea 6-0 Qarabağ | UEFA Champions League |
Leandro Andrade is Qarabağ’s standout performer in this European campaign. With five goals and two assists, Andrade is not only Qarabağ’s top scorer but also their leading creative force, having created seven big chances for teammates. His pass accuracy of 84.4% shows his technical quality, while his xG of 0.23 per match is low for his goal return, suggesting he is finishing at a very efficient rate. Andrade’s ability to break lines, deliver key passes, and arrive late in the box marks him as the key dangerman Chelsea must contain. If Qarabağ are to breach Chelsea’s defence, expect Andrade to be involved.
Q: Who is the favourite to win the Qarabağ vs. Chelsea match?
A: Chelsea are clear favourites to win, priced at 4/11 with Bet365, reflecting their superior squad quality and historical dominance in this fixture.
Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: The best odds for a draw are 4/1, while Chelsea are 4/11 to win and Qarabağ are 15/2. For player props, Leandro Andrade is an attractive option for an assist at 9/1.
Q: Where can I watch the Qarabağ vs. Chelsea match?
A: The match will be broadcast live on BT Sport in the UK.
This UEFA Champions League clash promises to be an intriguing tactical battle. Chelsea have the technical edge and historical pedigree, but Qarabağ’s attacking intent and home advantage cannot be overlooked. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, so both teams to score at 3/4 is a solid consideration. Ultimately, Chelsea’s class may tell, but Qarabağ are capable of making life difficult.
All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. For more information and support, visit BeGambleAware.org. You must be 18 or over to gamble.
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
New customers only. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration Required. #Ad 18+
Bet £10 Get Up to £100 in Free Bets
18+. Spread betting losses can exceed deposits. T&Cs Apply. gambleaware.org
...have a look at our Top Offers!
Bet £5 Get £20 in Free Bets
Bet £10 Get £20 in Free Bets
Bet £20 & Get A £20 Free Bet
