Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund meet in a Bundesliga tie on Friday 31st October 2025 at 19:30 GMT. Find predictions, stats and betting tips for this Bundesliga fixture below in this comprehensive match preview.
| Match Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Competition | Bundesliga |
| Matchday | 9 |
| Date | Friday 31 October 2025 |
| Kick-off Time | 19:30 GMT |
| Venue | WWK Arena, Augsburg |
| Broadcast | Sky Sports Football / Sky Go |
| Market | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Borussia Dortmund | ★★★★☆ |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | ★★★☆☆ |
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ |
Analysis: Dortmund’s attacking edge (14 goals in 8 games) and Augsburg’s leaky defence (20 conceded, 0 clean sheets) create the ideal recipe for an away win with both teams scoring. Augsburg have scored in 7 of their last 8 home Bundesliga matches, while Dortmund have netted in every league game this term. The 1-2 away win has occurred twice in the last decade in this fixture and represents value at 15/2, especially as Augsburg have shown the ability to nick a goal even when second best.
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Analysis: Guirassy is in red-hot form, scoring 4 goals from just 8 appearances for Dortmund, with an impressive 78.57% shot accuracy (meaning nearly 4 out of every 5 of his shots are on target). Augsburg’s defensive vulnerabilities make him a prime candidate to find the net again. If seeking a longer price, consider him for First Goalscorer or to score 2+ goals, reflecting his clinical finishing and Augsburg’s tendency to concede early.
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Borussia Dortmund have started the season strongly, sitting 4th with 17 points from 8 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), and a healthy +8 goal difference. They have kept 5 clean sheets – the joint-best in the division – and scored 14 goals, conceding just 6. Recent results show consistency and defensive solidity, with their only defeat coming against top opposition.
Augsburg are languishing in 15th, picking up just 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses), with a worrying -12 goal difference. Their defensive record is the worst in the league (20 conceded), and they have yet to keep a clean sheet. However, they have shown flashes of attack, scoring in most home games but lacking the consistency or cutting edge to trouble the top sides regularly.
Augsburg, under Sandro Wagner, have leaned towards a compact 4-2-3-1, focusing on disrupt-and-counter football. Their high tackle count (127 tackles attempted, the Bundesliga’s highest) suggests they spend long spells without the ball and are reactive defensively – often under pressure, which can lead to mistakes, as reflected in their goals conceded.
Dortmund, managed by Niko Kovač, favour a dynamic 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, blending high pressing with quick transitions. They average 42.42% shot accuracy, the best in the league, and their 5 clean sheets signal both effective pressing and organisational discipline. Expect Dortmund to control possession, push their full-backs high, and use Guirassy’s movement to stretch Augsburg’s back line.
| Statistic | Augsburg | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| League Position | 15th | 4th |
| Goals Scored | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Conceded | 20 | 6 |
| xG (Expected Goals) | 8.3 | 13.6 |
| xGA (Expected Goals Against) | 16.7 | 8.0 |
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 2024-10-26 | Augsburg 2-1 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2024-05-04 | Borussia Dortmund 5-1 Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| 2023-12-16 | Augsburg 1-1 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 2023-05-21 | Augsburg 0-3 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
Guirassy has hit the ground running for Dortmund, notching 4 goals from just 8 matches, making him the club’s current top scorer. His shot accuracy stands at an elite 78.57%, meaning nearly 4 out of every 5 attempts test the keeper. He also contributed 1 assist and is central to Dortmund’s attacking transitions, often dropping deep to link play. Against Augsburg’s porous backline, his movement, strength, and confidence in front of goal could be decisive.
Borussia Dortmund enter this game as strong favourites, thanks to their defensive solidity and attacking efficiency. Augsburg’s defensive frailties and inability to keep clean sheets make an away win the likeliest result. A 1-2 scoreline provides value, while Serhou Guirassy’s form points to another strong showing from Dortmund’s main striker. Expect goals at both ends, but Dortmund’s class should prevail.
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