Aston Villa vs Man City Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

Dean Smith 03 Mar 2026

Two teams who have won their last three Premier League games will meet at Villa Park on Sunday afternoon (2pm kick-off – live on Sky Sports Main Event), as Aston Villa and Man City go head-to-head.

Premier League

14:00

26 Oct

Home

10/3

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Draw

14/5

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Away

22/25

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Odds correct at the time of writing

City have moved to within three points of the league leaders Arsenal, after four wins and a draw in their last five league matches.

Having failed to win any of their first five Premier League matches, Villa have also turned things around in the last month and have moved up to 11th in the standings.

Aston Villa vs Man City Predictions

Full Time Result: Draw
Correct Score: Aston Villa 1-1 Man City
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Under
First Goalscorer: Morgan Rogers

Aston Villa vs Man City Tips

Our Tip Methodology

At FootballTips, every prediction is shaped by a mix of data-driven analysis and informed football insight. Our contributors consider a wide range of factors before recommending a bet – from recent form and head-to-head records to tactical matchups, team news, and underlying stats.

We look for patterns in goal trends, home and away splits, player performance, and betting market movement to identify where the value lies. We don’t just tip favourites – we aim to find selections that offer a genuine edge. Whether it’s a goalscorer angle, a BTTS trend, or a high-priced underdog, each tip is backed by research and reasoning to help you bet smarter.

Why we’re backing Draw @ 11/4 with bet365

Both teams go into this game off the back of midweek European matches, City on Wednesday and Villa on Thursday, and that could lead to a slow start.
Villa have drawn four matches in the Premier League this season.
City have failed to win on their last three visits to Villa Park.

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Why we’re backing under 2.5 goals @ 11/10 with bet365

Under 2.5 Goals has landed in two of the last three meetings between the two sides at Villa Park.
There have been two or less goals scored in each of City’s last three games in all competitions.

Why we’re backing Morgan Rogers to score at any time @ 7/2 with bet365

Rogers scored his first league goal of the season in the win at Tottenham last weekend.
The Villa ace also scored in England’s recent 3-0 friendly win over Wales.
Rogers scored the crucial second goal in Villa’s 2-1 win over City last season

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Team Form/Stats

City have conceded just one goal in their last three Premier League games.
Crystal Palace are the only visiting team to score more than one goal at Villa Park this season.
Pep Guardiola’s men have scored in every away match so far this term.
Villa are unbeaten in their last three home meetings with City – with two wins and a draw.

Player to Watch: Erling Haaland

Erling Haaland is taking all of the headlines at the moment, but Savinho has had a big impact for City in recent weeks.

The Brazilian looks to have established himself on the right wing and has claimed two assists in the last two games, against Villarreal and Everton.

Man Utd vs Brighton Head-to-Head Record

Manchester City have not won any of the last three meetings at Villa Park and will be attempting to avoid a third straight loss in front of the Holte End.

Man City 2-1 Aston Villa (April 22, 2025)
Aston Villa 2-1 Man City (December 21, 2024)
Man City 4-1 Aston Villa (April 3, 2024)
Aston Villa 1-0 Man City (December 6, 2023)

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