Real Mallorca vs Levante Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

Dean Smith 03 Mar 2026
  • Mallorca and Levante clash in a La Liga encounter on Sunday 26th October 2025 at 13:00 BST. Get comprehensive predictions, stats, and betting tips for this matchday 10 fixture below in our expert betting preview.

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26 Oct
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Odds correct at the time of writing
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Fixture Details

  • Home Team: Real Mallorca
  • Away Team: Levante
  • Competition: La Liga
  • Matchday: 10
  • Date: Sunday 26 October 2025
  • Kick-off Time: 13:00 BST
  • Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Match Overview

Match Details Information
Competition La Liga
Matchday 10
Date Sunday 26 October 2025
Kick-off Time 13:00 BST
Venue Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Broadcast LaLigaTV, Viaplay Sports, Bet365 Live Streaming

Key Predictions & Confidence Score

Market Prediction Confidence
Full-Time Result Real Mallorca Win ★★★☆☆
Correct Score 2-1 ★★★☆☆
Both Teams to Score Yes ★★★★☆
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Over 2.5 ★★★★☆

Top Betting Tips & Value Analysis

1. Value Bet: Real Mallorca to Win

  • Odds: 23/20 with Coral
  • Value Rating: ★★★☆☆

Analysis: Mallorca have shown greater efficiency in front of goal recently, converting 3 of 7 shots in their last match away to Sevilla (a 3-1 win) and boasting a shot accuracy of 45.76% this season – noticeably superior to Levante’s 36.54%. Despite both sides sitting on 8 points and having identical win rates (22%), Mallorca’s clinical edge and home advantage give them the nod.

Levante, by contrast, were beaten 3-0 at home by Rayo Vallecano last time out, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. With Mallorca’s pass accuracy slightly higher (79.87% vs 78.53%) and a positive recent trajectory, odds of 21/20 represent fair value for the home win.

2. Player Prop Bet: Vedat Muriqi to Score Anytime

  • Odds: 13/8 with Sky Bet
  • Value Rating: ★★★★☆

Analysis: Muriqi has netted 5 goals in 8 starts for Mallorca, with an impressive 58.33% shot accuracy (meaning nearly 6 in every 10 of his efforts test the goalkeeper). He has attempted 23 shots in total – more than any teammate – and remains the focal point of Mallorca’s attacks.

Facing a Levante side who have conceded 17 goals in 9 matches and just suffered a heavy defeat, Muriqi is well placed to add to his tally. The price of 13/8 offers genuine value for backers of the Kosovan forward to score at any time.

In-Depth Match Analysis

Recent Form and Performance

Real Mallorca have picked up two wins from their last five outings, with their most recent result a convincing 3-1 away win at Sevilla. Their attack has produced 10 goals in 9 league matches, underpinned by an expected goals (xG) tally of 6.82 – demonstrating a clinical edge, as they are outperforming their xG. Notably, substitutes contributed 2 goals in the last match, highlighting squad depth and impact options from the bench.

Levante, meanwhile, have also won two of their last five, but were thrashed 3-0 at home by Rayo Vallecano last time out. Despite scoring 13 goals this season (the third-worst defensive record in the division), their xG of 9.37 suggests they are finding good positions but perhaps lacking composure at critical moments. Their shot accuracy of 36.54% (fewer than 4 in 10 shots on target) is a concern, especially away from home.

Tactical Breakdown

Mallorca generally deploy a compact, direct style, focusing on quick transitions and utilising the physical presence of Muriqi up front. Their average possession sits at 43.28%, indicating a willingness to cede the ball and strike on the break. Defensively, they keep their shape well, as shown by their recent clean sheet at Sevilla.

Levante are more proactive in creating big chances (17 in 9 matches), but their attacking approach often leaves them exposed at the back. They rely heavily on wide play and overlapping full-backs, which can create space for opponents to exploit on the counter. With both teams averaging below 45% possession, expect a contest defined by directness rather than prolonged spells of control.

Key Player Matchups

  • Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca) vs. Levante Centre-Backs: Muriqi’s physicality and movement will test a Levante backline that has conceded 17 goals already. His ability to convert a high percentage of shots makes him a persistent threat.
  • Levante Wide Men vs. Mallorca Full-Backs: Levante’s tendency to create openings from wide areas (70 key passes this season) will see their wingers and full-backs push Mallorca’s defensive flanks. Mallorca’s full-backs must be disciplined and resist being drawn too high up the pitch.

Statistical Analysis

Statistic Mallorca Levante
League Position 16th 14th
Goals Scored 10 13
Goals Conceded 14 17
xG (Expected Goals) 8.1 12.7
xGA (Expected Goals Against) 16.0 14.1

Head-to-Head Record

Date Result Competition
08/01/2022 Levante 2-0 Mallorca La Liga
02/10/2021 Mallorca 1-0 Levante La Liga
09/07/2020 Mallorca 2-0 Levante La Liga
22/11/2019 Levante 2-1 Mallorca La Liga

Player Spotlight: Vedat Muriqi

As Mallorca’s leading scorer, Vedat Muriqi has been the focal point of their attack. In 646 minutes across 8 starts, he has bagged 5 goals—averaging a goal every 129 minutes. His shot accuracy stands at 58.33%, meaning nearly 6 out of every 10 of his attempts are on target. While not registering an assist, his presence creates space and opportunities for teammates, and his total of 23 shots underlines his centrality to Mallorca’s offensive play. Expect Muriqi to be heavily involved in the penalty area, both as a finisher and as a physical nuisance for Levante’s defenders.

Team News

Mallorca

  • Injuries: No confirmed injury absentees at the time of writing.
  • Suspensions: None reported.
  • Ineligible: None.

Levante

  • Injuries: No major injuries reported.
  • Suspensions: None confirmed.
  • Ineligible: None.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Who is the favourite to win the Mallorca vs. Levante match?
A: Mallorca are slight favourites, priced at 23/20. Their recent form and home advantage give them the edge, but Levante’s attacking threat shouldn’t be underestimated.

Q: What are the best betting odds for this match?
A: Mallorca to win is best priced at 23/20, a 1-1 correct score is 5/1, and Vedat Muriqi to score anytime is 13/8. Both Teams to Score (Yes) is also available at 19/20.

Q: Where can I watch the Mallorca vs. Levante match?
A: The match will be broadcast on LaLigaTV and Viaplay Sports, with live streaming available via Bet365 for eligible customers.

Conclusion & Key Takeaways

This La Liga fixture promises a tightly contested encounter between two sides of similar standing. Mallorca’s superior shot accuracy and home advantage make them slight favourites, while Levante’s capacity to create chances ensures they remain a threat. Key predictions favour a home win or a low-scoring draw, with both teams likely to find the net. Vedat Muriqi stands out as the player to watch, both as a goal threat and a talisman for Mallorca. Value can be found in backing Mallorca at odds-against, and in Muriqi to score anytime.

Disclaimer & Responsible Gambling

All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly. For more information and support, visit BeGambleAware.org. You must be 18 or over to gamble.

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