Chelsea vs Benfica Predictions
- Full Time Result: Chelsea Win
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- First Goalscorer: Joao Pedro
Chelsea vs Benfica Tips
Our Tip Methodology
At FootballTips, every prediction is shaped by a mix of data-driven analysis and informed football insight. Our contributors consider a wide range of factors before recommending a bet – from recent form and head-to-head records to tactical matchups, team news, and underlying stats.
We look for patterns in goal trends, home and away splits, player performance, and betting market movement to identify where the value lies. We don’t just tip favourites – we aim to find selections that offer a genuine edge. Whether it’s a goalscorer angle, a BTTS trend, or a high-priced underdog, each tip is backed by research and reasoning to help you bet smarter.
Why We’re Backing Chelsea to Win & Both Teams to Score @ 9/4 with Sky Bet
- Chelsea are averaging around two goals per league game across all competitions, showing they have the firepower to win outright.
- The Blues’ defensive frailties continue, having conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches, suggesting their clean-sheet reliability is low and BTTS is a realistic angle.
- Under Enzo Maresca, Chelsea’s press/high line often leaves space behind, which suits counter-attacking sides and leads to chances for the opponent.
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Why We’re Backing Evangelos Pavlidis to Score @ 11/4 with 10Bet
- In the 2025/26 Liga NOS, Pavlidis has scored 3 goals in 6 matches, averaging 0.57 goals per 90 minutes, which puts him among the better finishers in the league so far.
- His expected goals (xG) in Liga NOS is about 0.72 per 90, suggesting he’s getting good scoring chances, not just low-probability shots.
- He takes a decent volume of shots, with 23 total shots (about 4.36 per 90), and nearly half (11) on target.
- Pavlidis has shown he can score both at home and away meaning he isn’t just comfortable in a familiar environment, which could help in a tougher matchup like vs Chelsea.
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Chelsea Form/Stats
- Chelsea average 13 total shots per match.
- Of those, they have about 4.60 shots on target per match.
Benfica Form/Stats
- Their average expected goals (xG) per match is 1.98 overall, with higher xG at home (2.51) and lower away (1.44).
- Conversion rate: approximately 11% of their shots result in goals.
Player to Watch
Chelsea vs Benfica Head-to-Head Record
- Chelsea have won all five of the major competitive encounters recorded in recent history against Benfica.
- Overall goals scored in Chelsea vs Benfica: 13 goals, Benfica 10 goals.
- Chelsea beat Benfica 2-1 away in Lisbon in the 2011-12 Champions League quarter-finals on aggregate and defeated them 4-1 in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Round of 16.
