Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Tips
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Get the latest predictions, team news and betting tips for the Champions League last-16 first leg tie between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid on Tuesday 4th March (8pm GMT).
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Predictions
- Full Time Result: Draw
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Over 2.5 Goals: No
- First Goalscorer: Julian Alvarez
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Tips
Tip 1
The Argentina has been a success since switching the Premier League and Man City for Spain and Atletico over the summer, scoring 21 goals in 40 matches.
This tally includes six in the Champions League, with five of those coming in his last four outings on the top European stage.
Alvarez has netted seven in his last 10, most recently providing the winner against Athletic Bilbao over the weekend.
He also scored in the 1-1 draw with Madrid last month and is a fantastic price to make the net bulge in this first leg.
Tip 2
The last three meetings between these two have ended in a draw, while Madrid have to go back five matches since the last time they beat their rivals.
Since first legs tend to be cagey affairs on the whole and some key players are missing for both sides here, we like the angle of another stalemate.
Under 2.5 goals has paid out in four of the last five head-to-heads, including both of this season’s derbies.
17/26 of Atletico’s La Liga matches this season have also seen two or fewer goals.
Real Madrid Form, Team News & Predicted Line-Up
Los Blancos slipped down into third in the La Liga standings this weekend after being beaten 2-1 by Real Betis away from home on Saturday evening.
Jude Bellingham misses the first leg of this knockout match through suspension, while Eder Militao, Dani Carvajal, Dani Ceballos and Jesus Vallejo are all also sidelined through injury.
Real Madrid Predicted XI: Courtois; Valverde, Rudiger, Asencio, Mendy; Tchouameni, Camavinga; Rodrygo, Diaz, Vinicius; Mbappe.
Atletico Madrid Form, Team News & Predicted Line-Up
Diego Simeone’s side did the business last weekend in regards to league duties, winning 1-0 at home to Athletic Bilbao, however, the previous weekend’s draw meant that Barcelona leapfrogged them into 1st in the Spanish top flight.
Both Cesar Azpilicueta and Koke are unavailable on accounts of leg related injuries for the visitors.
Atletico Madrid Predicted XI: Oblak; Molina, Le Normand, Gimenez, Galan; Llorente, De Paul, Barrios, Lino; Griezmann, Alvarez.
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head Record
Last Five Results:
- 08/02/25: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid – La Liga
- 29/09/24: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid – La Liga
- 04/02/24: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid – La Liga
- 18/01/24: Atletico Madrid 4-2 Real Madrid – Copa del Rey
- 10/01/24: Real Madrid 5-3 Atletico Madrid – Spanish Super Cup
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