Nottingham Forest vs Derby Preview

Richard McTiernan 06 Nov 2019

Nottingham Forest vs Derby predictions for their Championship match on Saturday
We are backing Forest to claim local bragging rights against their rivals Derby
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Nottingham Forest manager Sabri Lamouchi (PA Images)

Nottingham Forest vs Derby Match Prediction

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Nottingham Forest 6/5

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Nottingham Forest vs Derby Match Info

Date: Saturday 9th November 2019

Kick-off: 12:30pm

Venue: City Ground, Nottingham

Nottingham Forest vs Derby Head-to-Head

Last Three Results:

27 August 2019- Nott’m Forest 3-0 Derby – EFL Cup

25 February 2019- Nott’m Forest 1-0 Derby- Championship

17 December 2018- Derby 0-0 Nott’m Forest- Championship

Full Head-to-Head Record:

Nott’m Forest wins: 41

Derby wins: 37

Draws: 26

Matches played: 104

Nottingham Forest vs Derby Stats

Forest have won three of their last four at home
Derby are winless in six on the road
These sides met in the League Cup in August and Forest won 3-0

Nottingham Forest vs Derby Match Preview

Nottingham Forest got into this East Midlands derby on the back of a morale boosting 2-1 road success at Luton with a goal each for Lewis Grabban and Sammy Ameobi. The expected goals data suggests they road their luck and that a draw would have been a fairer reflection.

At the City Ground, the Tricky Trees lost last time here to Hull but prior to that were unbeaten in four winning three of these. Only two sides (Leeds and Sheffield Wednesday) have a better home defence in the division than Forest who have conceded just five here.

Derby also got a confidence boosting victory as they saw off Middlesbrough 2-0 to claim a deserved three points. A Tom Lawrence brace made the difference and it was a welcome return to form for the midfielder whose off-field issues have been making more news than his performances.

Away from Pride Park, the Rams have struggled this campaign losing each of their last two and going winless in six. Five of the seven goals County have scored on the road this campaign have come before the interval.

It is hard to see past a home victory here in this East Midlands derby given that Forest have already beaten Derby 3-0 at this ground this season in the League Cup. The Tricky Trees have won three of their last four at home while the Rams are without a win in six on the road.

Neither side are especially prolific in front of goal so backing a home victory and under 4.5 goals in the match is an extra way to squeeze a little bit of value out of the fixture.

Nottingham Forest vs Derby Betting Tips

Forest to win the game @ 6/5 with Bet365

Forest to win and under 4.5 goals @ 7/5 with PaddyPower

MORE: Find predictions for more English second- tier matches on our Championship tips page. You can also see our tipsters Both Teams To Score tips, a tasty accumulator bet on today’s fixtures. Follow our latest bets on Twitter at http://twitter.com/footballtips