Leeds vs Derby Predictions

Richard McTiernan 14 May 2019

Leeds have won all three meetings with Derby this season
Derby have won just one of their last ten on the road
Watch and bet on this match LIVE at Bet365

Leeds vs Derby Match Predictions

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Leeds to be promoted 5/4

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Leeds vs Derby Match Info

Date: Wednesday 14th May 2019
Kick-off: 8:00pm
Venue: Elland Road, Leeds

Leeds vs Derby Match Info

Last Three Results:

11 May 2019- Derby County 0-1 Leeds United- Championship

11 January 2019 – Leeds United 2-0 Derby County – Championship
11 August 2018 -Derby County 1-4 Leeds United- Championship

Full Head-to-Head Record:

Leeds wins: 56

Draws: 28

Derby wins: 37

Leeds vs Derby Stats

Leeds won the opening leg 1-0
Derby won just one of their last ten on the road
United won all three meetings this season

Leeds vs Derby Match Preview

A 55th Kemar Roofe goal gave Leeds a first-leg victory with a 1-0 road success at Pride Park meaning it is advantage to the Yorkshire side. County can have few issues with the scoreline as the expected goals data suggests United created what little chances there was in the opening match. The victory means they have won all three meetings with the East Midlands side this season.

At Elland Road, they have failed to win their last two but have won five of their last eight and 14 times from 23 over the whole of 2018/19. Each of their last two and six of their last nine at this ground have seen both teams score. Pablo Hernandez and Patrick Bamford both have three from their last six appearances in front of their own fans.

Derby come into this fighting against the weight of history as none of the 17 previous teams to have lost a play-off leg at home in the first match have gone on to progress to the final. They also have to go against the fact that seven of the last eight placed third-placed teams in the play-offs at this level have won their home game.

Away from Pride Park, the Rams have won just one of their last ten matches in all competitions with five draws and four defeats. Richard Keogh is an unlikely source of goals on the road recently having netted two in the last three. Three of their last five on their travels have seen both teams net.

Bookmakers can not see past a home victory and make Leeds strong favourites to come out on top here. History and home and away form for both sides suggest it is hard to take them on with Derby in this match. Rather than backing Leeds to win the match back them to be promoted as this price will not stay at these odds if they win tomorrow night.

Richard Keogh has two goals from his last three matches on the road and while by no means a prolific scorer you think if County are going to find a breakthrough here it might come from a set-piece so the odds on him to net at any time look worth a small interest.

Derby vs Leeds Betting Tips

Leeds to be promoted at 5/4 with Bet365

Richard Keogh anytime scorer at 22/1 with PaddyPower

MORE: Find predictions for more English second-tier matches on our Championship tips page. You can also see our tipsters Daily Double tips, a tasty low-risk double on today’s fixtures. We also have lots more free football tips across our site